Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Middlesbrough's hosting Norwich in a clash of opposite trajectories.** Boro are wavering after a hammering at Palace, while Norwich are absolutely buzzing on a four-win streak. 🔥
Middlesbrough have won just three of their last five and looked toothless against Crystal Palace. Norwich, meanwhile, are the league's in-form side — they've barely put a foot wrong and demolished Sheffield United last time out. This is a proper momentum matchup.
Key storylines:
- **Norwich's injury crisis** is sneaky brutal with five players out, but they're rolling hard enough that it barely matters so far
- **Middlesbrough need a reaction** after getting dismantled 3-0 away; home form at the Riverside is their only shelter right now
- **K. Joseph vs Norwich's backline** — Boro's striker will need to be sharp against a solid if depleted defence
Expected lineups:
- **Middlesbrough**: R. Vítek, L. Ayling, A. Malanda, G. Edmundson, C. Brittain, A. Morris, M. Peart-Harris, R. McGree, M. Whittaker, W. Lankshear, K. Joseph
- **Norwich City**: V. Kovačević, B. Chrisene, J. Córdoba, R. McConville, J. Stacey, K. McLean, P. Mattsson, O. Schwartau, A. B. Slimane, A. Brooks, M. Touré
Prediction:
**Norwich 2–1 Middlesbrough.** Norwich's form is too hot right now; Boro might nab one but won't have the bite to flip this.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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