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Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
Birmingham City
Chris Davies
Birmingham City
Middlesbrough
Birmingham City
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Middlesbrough
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Birmingham City 2-2 Middlesbrough.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
85'
Middlesbrough
Corner, Middlesbrough.
70'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
69'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
59'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
55'
Goal! Birmingham City 1-1 Middlesbrough. L. Millar (Birmingham City) scores, assisted by J. Solís.
55'
Birmingham City
Offside, Birmingham City.
52'
Attempt blocked. B. Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham City), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
50'
Attempt missed. C. Vicente (Birmingham City), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Birmingham City 0-1 Middlesbrough.
45+2'
Attempt missed. T. Iwata (Birmingham City), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.
45'
1 minute of added time.
45'
Goal! Birmingham City 0-1 Middlesbrough. M. Arfsten (Middlesbrough) scores, assisted by A. Cozier-Duberry.
38'
Middlesbrough
Corner, Middlesbrough.
38'
Attempt blocked. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.06.
37'
Middlesbrough
Offside, Middlesbrough.
27'
Middlesbrough
Corner, Middlesbrough.
21'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
18'
Birmingham City
Corner, Birmingham City.
10'
Attempt blocked. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.16.
2'
Attempt blocked. A. Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.
1'
Kick-off: Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
113201 EUR · live
Home
25.0 · implied 4.0%
39.7%
+35.7 vs price
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
33.1%
-58.6 vs price
Away
22.0 · implied 4.5%
27.2%
+22.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
21801 EUR · live
Under
3.45 · implied 29.0%
62.8%
+33.9 vs price
Over
1.4 · implied 71.4%
37.2%
-34.3 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
24'
L. Vázquez · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
45'
⚽
M. Arfsten · assist A. Cozier-Duberry0–1
55'
⚽
L. Millar · assist J. Solís1–1
59'
⚽
R. McGree2–1
63'
🔁
S. Berhalter ◂ R. McGree
63'
🔁
T. Conway ◂ M. Peart-Harris
71'
🔁
M. Ducksch ◂ L. Vázquez
74'
🔁
J. Sarmiento ◂ A. Cozier-Duberry
83'
🔁
S. Paik ◂ J. Stansfield
86'
🔁
K. Joseph ◂ A. Phillips
86'
🔁
N. Borges ◂ M. Arfsten
88'
P. Neumann · Argument
88'
⚽
A. Malanda2–2
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
🔁
P. Roberts ◂ C. Vicente
Coaches
Chris DaviesKim Hellberg 
Recent form
Birmingham CityWADerby County2-1
LANorwich City1-2
DHWolverhampton2-2
DHSouthampton1-1
WAWrexham2-1
MiddlesbroughDHMillwall2-2
WHNorwich City4-3
LACrystal Palace0-3
WAQueens Park Rangers1-0
DABurnley1-1
About this match
**Birmingham and Boro meet in a perfectly balanced Championship tussle** — both sides sitting pretty at 2W-2D-1L, and historically this fixture is no picnic (Boro hold the edge over 36 games). 🔥
Blues are dealing with injuries to Gray and Leonard, but they've grinded out wins on the road and held their own against quality. Middlesbrough's form is all over the place — they've battered Norwich 4-3 at home, then got spanked 3-0 at Palace. Neither team is firing on all cylinders.
Key storylines:
- **Stansfield** leads Birmingham's attack and will face a Boro backline missing Conway's contributions
- **Lankshear** carries weight for Middlesbrough's chance creation, but the Blues midfield pairing of Iwata and Solís should provide defensive shape
- St. Andrew's hosting trends toward tight affairs; possession vs pragmatism could decide it
Expected lineups:
- **Birmingham City**: Beadle, Cochrane, Klarer, Neumann, Osayi-Samuel, Iwata, Solís, Millar, Stansfield, Vicente, Priske
- **Middlesbrough**: Vítek, Brittain, Malanda, Jones, Ayling, Morris, Berhalter, Lankshear, McGree, Joseph, Strelec
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both teams have the talent to carve chances but lack the clinical edge to separate today. Lean to a cagey, competitive afternoon. ⚪
Where to watch
Betano
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
V Sport ExtraViaplay
Match facts
Stadium
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
City
Birmingham
Kickoff
19 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Birmingham City
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Middlesbrough
1
J. Beadle
5.9
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
6.4
5
P. Neumann
6.2
4
C. Klarer
6.7
20
A. Cochrane
7.1
24
T. Iwata
6.6
14
J. Solís
6.8
16
P. Roberts
↑ 90'
8
S. Paik
6.3
↑ 83'
17
L. Millar
7.7
33
M. Ducksch
6.4
↑ 71'
1
R. Vítek
7.1
12
L. Ayling
6.9
30
N. Borges
6.7
↑ 86'
29
A. Malanda
6.3
2
C. Brittain
7.3
10
A. Morris
7.1
6
S. Berhalter
6.3
↑ 63'
22
K. Joseph
6.3
↑ 86'
16
J. Sarmiento
6.5
↑ 74'
9
T. Conway
6.4
↑ 63'
7
W. Lankshear
6.3
Substitutes
21GR. Allsop
2DE. Laird
25DK. Lund
3DL. Buchanan
23DD. Fry
7MC. Vicente↓ 90'6.3
28MJ. Stansfield↓ 83'6.0
40MM. Mazwi
32FL. Vázquez↓ 71'6.0
Coach: Chris Davies
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.23Expected goals (xG)2.14
15Total shots15
5Shots on target4
3Big chances3
5Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target6
4Blocked shots5
7Shots inside box13
8Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed2
-0.19Goals prevented-1.02
Attack
25Touches in box29
73Final third entries55
1Offsides0
11Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
366Passes399
271Accurate passes319
17/64 (27%)Long balls22/53 (42%)
7/25 (28%)Crosses8/19 (42%)
30Throw-ins17
Duels
42Duels58
28/72 (39%)Ground duels44/72 (61%)
15/31 (48%)Aerial duels16/31 (52%)
6/20 (30%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)
13Dispossessed7
Defending
13Tackles27
38Tackles won52
5Interceptions8
23Clearances39
51Recoveries47
Discipline
11Fouls11
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
0Big saves2
10Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.73 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.40 @ 1xBet
1X2Middlesbrough to win 39% · 2.70 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.75 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.85 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.62 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
Who winsBirmingham to win (DNB) 54% · 1.96 @ Betsson
1X2Birmingham to win 35% · 3.10 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.73 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.70
Birmingham City
3.55
Draw
2.40
Middlesbrough
Double Chanceconsensus
1.55
Birmingham City or Draw
1.29
Birmingham City or Middlesbrough
1.40
Draw or Middlesbrough
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes
2.30
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.15
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.15
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50
2.18
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.71
Over 3.50
1.43
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.95
Birmingham City
1.78
Middlesbrough
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
3.77
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.62
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50
2.05
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.14
Over 10.50
1.68
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.60
Over 11.50
1.45
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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