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Blackburn Rovers
Cardiff City
Blackburn Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cardiff City
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City.
90+7'
Attempt blocked. A. Robertson (Cardiff City), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
90+3'
Attempt blocked. M. Baradji (Blackburn Rovers), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.
90+2'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
90+2'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
90+1'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
90+1'
Attempt saved. T. Cantwell (Blackburn Rovers), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
89'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
85'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
84'
Blackburn Rovers
Offside, Blackburn Rovers.
82'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
80'
Attempt saved. A. Kargbo (Blackburn Rovers), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.
80'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
77'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
74'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
70'
Attempt missed. M. Baradji (Blackburn Rovers), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.20.
66'
Attempt saved. O. Afolayan (Blackburn Rovers), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
65'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
65'
Attempt saved. J. Fevrier (Blackburn Rovers), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.
62'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
61'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
55'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
53'
Goal! Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City. C. Robinson (Cardiff City) scores, assisted by J. Moylan.
47'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Cardiff City.
45+1'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
45'
1 minute of added time.
38'
Goal! Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Cardiff City. T. Cantwell (Blackburn Rovers) scores, assisted by R. Morishita.
30'
Cardiff City
Offside, Cardiff City.
26'
Attempt blocked. A. Guðjohnsen (Blackburn Rovers), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.
26'
Blackburn Rovers
Corner, Blackburn Rovers.
21'
Blackburn Rovers
Offside, Blackburn Rovers.
16'
Blackburn Rovers
Offside, Blackburn Rovers.
13'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
8'
Blackburn Rovers
Offside, Blackburn Rovers.
1'
Kick-off: Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
91110 EUR · live
Home
1.31 · implied 76.3%
67.2%
-9.2 vs price
Away
29.0 · implied 3.4%
23.4%
+20.0 vs price
Draw
4.9 · implied 20.4%
9.4%
-11.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
19695 EUR · live
Over
1.31 · implied 76.3%
67.6%
-8.7 vs price
Under
4.3 · implied 23.3%
32.4%
+9.1 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
28'
⚽
A. Guðjohnsen1–0
38'
⚽
T. Cantwell · assist R. Morishita2–0
Half-time · 2–0
53'
⚽
C. Robinson · assist J. Moylan2–1
60'
🔁
C. Willock ◂ C. Ashford
63'
🔁
M. Baradji ◂ A. Guðjohnsen
64'
🔁
J. Fevrier ◂ R. Morishita
71'
🔁
I. Davies ◂ C. Robinson
71'
🔁
D. Turnbull ◂ J. Colwill
74'
🔁
A. Kargbo ◂ O. Afolayan
78'
🔁
C. Scanlon ◂ D. Lawlor
78'
🔁
R. Kpakio ◂ J. Bagan
83'
🔁
J. Garrett ◂ K. Montgomery
Full-time · 2–1
90'+6
T. Cantwell · Foul
Coaches
Tony MowbrayBrian Barry-Murphy 
Recent form
Blackburn RoversDAPortsmouth2-2
WHMillwall3-1
LHSheffield United1-2
LAPreston North End1-2
DALincoln City0-0
Cardiff CityWHCharlton Athletic3-1
LABolton Wanderers0-1
DHStoke City1-1
LAPortsmouth0-2
LAQueens Park Rangers1-2
About this match
**Blackburn's home fortress meets a wounded Cardiff side in a battle of mid-table inconsistency** 🏟️ Both teams are stuttering through September, but Rovers have the comfort of Ewood Park and a steadier recent record.
Blackburn's bounced between wins and draws lately, though they've let in the odd heavy defeat. Cardiff are genuinely struggling — just one win in five and missing four key players including defensive stalwarts R. Colwill and C. Chambers. That's a problem when you're already leaky.
Key storylines:
- **Blackburn's home record** could be the difference here; they've been more reliable at Ewood than on the road
- **Cardiff's injury crisis** in defence leaves O. Tanner and the backline seriously stretched against **T. Cantwell** and **S. Morsy**'s midfield control
- **K. Montgomery** and the Rovers attack need to punish a depleted visiting side early
Expected lineups:
- **Blackburn Rovers**: A. Pears, H. Pickering, S. McLoughlin, H. Carter, R. Alebiousu, T. Atcheson, S. Morsy, T. Cantwell, R. Morishita, O. Afolayan, K. Montgomery
- **Cardiff City**: N. Trott, J. Bagan, G. Osho, K. Bielik, P. Ng, A. Robertson, J. Moylan, C. Willock, J. Colwill, O. Tanner, Y. Salech
Prediction:
**Blackburn 2–0 Cardiff** — home edge and Cardiff's injury list tip it Rovers' way. 🎯
Where to watch
Paramount+
Viaplay
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Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
Ewood Park
City
Blackburn
Kickoff
10 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Blackburn Rovers
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Cardiff City
22
B. Tóth
6.1
2
R. Alebiousu
6.7
17
H. Carter
7.9
15
S. McLoughlin
6.9
3
H. Pickering
6.6
8
S. Morsy
7.0
30
J. Garrett
6.7
↑ 83'
11
J. Fevrier
6.7
↑ 64'
10
T. Cantwell
8.2
7
A. Kargbo
6.5
↑ 74'
24
M. Baradji
6.8
↑ 63'
1
N. Trott
6.0
38
P. Ng
6.2
44
R. Kpakio
7.2
↑ 78'
4
G. Osho
6.7
23
C. Scanlon
6.9
↑ 78'
18
A. Robertson
7.3
8
J. Moylan
6.9
11
O. Tanner
6.4
14
D. Turnbull
6.8
↑ 71'
16
C. Willock
6.9
↑ 60'
39
I. Davies
6.7
↑ 71'
Substitutes
1GA. Pears
6DT. Atcheson
27DG. Beyuku
39DH. Pates
31MK. Montgomery↓ 83'7.5
25MR. Morishita↓ 64'6.8
14MD. De Neve
21FO. Afolayan↓ 74'7.6
9FA. Guðjohnsen↓ 63'7.2
Coach: Tony Mowbray
Substitutes
30GH. Tyrer
3DJ. Bagan↓ 78'7.6
48DD. Lawlor↓ 78'6.3
2DW. T. Fish
27MJ. Colwill↓ 71'6.5
45MC. Ashford↓ 60'6.3
43MP. Moreno
50MC. Holt
47FC. Robinson↓ 71'7.3
Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy
Top stats
41%Possession59%
2.42Expected goals (xG)1.05
17Total shots10
8Shots on target1
5Big chances1
11Corners6
Shots
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots5
13Shots inside box8
4Shots outside box2
2Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed1
-0.14Goals prevented0.5
Attack
29Touches in box24
68Final third entries63
4Offsides1
6Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
329Passes462
239Accurate passes384
19/57 (33%)Long balls19/49 (39%)
6/18 (33%)Crosses6/26 (23%)
26Throw-ins19
Duels
51Duels49
34/72 (47%)Ground duels38/72 (53%)
14/22 (64%)Aerial duels8/22 (36%)
7/21 (33%)Dribbles7/19 (37%)
8Dispossessed9
Defending
21Tackles22
71Tackles won64
16Interceptions15
26Clearances25
55Recoveries56
Discipline
9Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Saves5
0Big saves2
12Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.25 @ 1xBet
1X2Cardiff to win 41% · 2.60 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.70 @ William Hill
Who winsCardiff to win (DNB) 50% · 1.72 @ Betsson
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.60 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.83 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.68 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
1X2Blackburn to win 33% · 3.10 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.91 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.86
Blackburn Rovers
3.60
Draw
2.29
Cardiff City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.58
Blackburn Rovers or Draw
1.26
Blackburn Rovers or Cardiff City
1.37
Draw or Cardiff City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.54
Yes
2.37
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.60
Over 2.50
2.29
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.62
Over 3.50
1.50
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.60
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.08
Blackburn Rovers
1.68
Cardiff City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.12
Over 7.50
4.75
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.25
Over 8.50
3.28
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.47
Over 9.50
2.39
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.84
Over 10.50
1.90
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.25
Over 11.50
1.57
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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