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Wolverhampton
Middlesbrough
Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton
Middlesbrough
Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Wolverhampton
Wolverhampton
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Wolverhampton
Kim Hellberg
Middlesbrough
Wolverhampton
Middlesbrough
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Wolverhampton
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Middlesbrough 1-0 Wolverhampton.
90+3'
Wolverhampton
Corner, Wolverhampton.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
88'
Attempt blocked. A. Phillips (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.09.
86'
Middlesbrough
Corner, Middlesbrough.
72'
Attempt missed. A. Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.
69'
Wolverhampton
Corner, Wolverhampton.
69'
Attempt missed. J. Bellegarde (Wolverhampton), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
65'
Wolverhampton
Corner, Wolverhampton.
64'
Middlesbrough
Offside, Middlesbrough.
62'
Wolverhampton
Corner, Wolverhampton.
62'
Wolverhampton
Corner, Wolverhampton.
57'
Goal! Middlesbrough 1-0 Wolverhampton. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough) scores, assisted by T. Conway.
48'
Middlesbrough
Offside, Middlesbrough.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Middlesbrough 0-0 Wolverhampton.
45'
1 minute of added time.
32'
Middlesbrough
Corner, Middlesbrough.
30'
Middlesbrough
Corner, Middlesbrough.
28'
Wolverhampton
Offside, Wolverhampton.
27'
Wolverhampton
Corner, Wolverhampton.
14'
Attempt missed. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.09.
8'
Middlesbrough
Offside, Middlesbrough.
5'
Middlesbrough
Corner, Middlesbrough.
3'
Wolverhampton
Offside, Wolverhampton.
1'
Kick-off: Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
110832 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
70.0%
-24.4 vs price
Away
150.0 · implied 0.7%
16.2%
+15.5 vs price
Draw
19.5 · implied 5.1%
13.9%
+8.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
32784 EUR · live
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
51.3%
+49.5 vs price
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
48.9%
-50.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2834 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
97.5%
+1.4 vs price
Over
28.0 · implied 3.6%
2.4%
-1.1 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
S. Berhalter · Foul
12'
N. Djiga · Foul
40'
N. Borges · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
51'
🔁
R. Saïd ◂ R. Gomes
53'
R. Saïd · Simulation
57'
⚽
W. Lankshear · assist T. Conway1–0
61'
🔁
F. López ◂ M. Mané
61'
🔁
J. Bellegarde ◂ T. Doyle
61'
🔁
J. James ◂ M. Munetsi
66'
J. Bellegarde · Foul
70'
🔁
M. Peart-Harris ◂ T. Conway
70'
🔁
L. Ayling ◂ S. Berhalter
80'
🔁
J. Sarmiento ◂ R. McGree
82'
🔁
S. Neave ◂ André
87'
🔁
M. Arfsten ◂ A. Cozier-Duberry
87'
🔁
K. Joseph ◂ W. Lankshear
Full-time · 1–0
90'+4
M. Peart-Harris · Time wasting
Coaches
Kim HellbergCesar Peixoto 
Recent form
MiddlesbroughDABirmingham City2-2
DHMillwall2-2
WHNorwich City4-3
LACrystal Palace0-3
WAQueens Park Rangers1-0
WolverhamptonWHWest Bromwich Albion1-0
LAEverton0-1
WASheffield United1-0
DABirmingham City2-2
LAWest Ham United2-4
About this match
**Boro host Wolves in a dead-rubber clash where both sides are desperately hunting form.** Middlesbrough's drawn their last two but keep grinding; Wolves have wobbled with back-to-back losses and need to rediscover their edge. 🔴
Historically, **Middlesbrough dominate this fixture** — 7 wins to Wolves' 5 in the last 12 meetings. Home advantage at the Riverside could tip it further in their favor, though Wolves' away win at Sheffield United shows they're still dangerous.
Key storylines:
- **W. Lankshear** leads the Boro attack with **A. Cozier-Duberry** buzzing on the wing; they'll face a **Wolverhampton** defense missing **R. Jiménez** up front
- **A. Morris** and **L. Ayling** hold the Middlesbrough midfield; can they control **André** and **M. Munetsi** in the middle?
- **Boro's** draw streak (2D) vs **Wolves'** recent collapse (2L) — consistency matters here
Expected lineups:
- **Middlesbrough**: R. Vítek, N. Borges, A. Malanda, A. Phillips, C. Brittain, A. Morris, L. Ayling, R. McGree, M. Peart-Harris, A. Cozier-Duberry, W. Lankshear
- **Wolverhampton**: J. Sá, H. Bueno, N. Djiga, T. Gomes, J. Tchatchoua, André, M. Munetsi, R. Gomes, F. López, T. Chirewa, A. Armstrong
Prediction:
**Middlesbrough 2-1 Wolverhampton.** Home form and head-to-head edge hand Boro a slight lean. 🎯
Where to watch
Paramount+
Viaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
CBS Sports GolazoParamount+
Match facts
Stadium
Riverside
City
Middlesbrough
Kickoff
10 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Middlesbrough
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Wolverhampton
1
R. Vítek
7.2
2
C. Brittain
7.4
4
A. Phillips
7.0
29
A. Malanda
7.3
30
N. Borges
7.2
10
A. Morris
7.4
12
L. Ayling
6.9
↑ 70'
17
M. Arfsten
6.7
↑ 87'
16
J. Sarmiento
6.4
↑ 80'
14
M. Peart-Harris
6.6
↑ 70'
22
K. Joseph
6.4
↑ 87'
1
J. Sá
6.6
2
K. Trippier
7.1
34
N. Djiga
6.7
24
T. Gomes
6.9
3
H. Bueno
6.2
8
J. James
6.8
↑ 61'
27
J. Bellegarde
7.0
↑ 61'
19
R. Saïd
6.4
↑ 51'
14
S. Neave
6.5
↑ 82'
28
F. López
7.0
↑ 61'
10
A. Armstrong
6.7
Substitutes
31GS. Brynn
3DS. Byram
11MA. Cozier-Duberry↓ 87'7.0
8MR. McGree↓ 80'6.7
6MS. Berhalter↓ 70'6.4
19ML. Castledine
18MC. Barron
9FT. Conway↓ 70'7.5
7FW. Lankshear↓ 87'7.2
Coach: Kim Hellberg
Substitutes
13GJ. Virgínia
33DG. Konan
37DL. Krejčí
7MAndré↓ 82'7.1
21MR. Gomes↓ 51'6.9
20MT. Doyle↓ 61'6.8
5MM. Munetsi↓ 61'6.5
38MJ. Tchatchoua
36FM. Mané↓ 61'6.9
Coach: Cesar Peixoto
Top stats
52%Possession48%
0.9Expected goals (xG)0.68
14Total shots12
6Shots on target2
0Big chances1
4Corners6
Shots
7Shots off target9
1Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box6
7Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances missed1
0.34Goals prevented0.03
Attack
22Touches in box18
55Final third entries50
3Offsides2
12Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
495Passes446
432Accurate passes376
13/41 (32%)Long balls19/47 (40%)
8/21 (38%)Crosses5/22 (23%)
16Throw-ins14
Duels
44Duels56
35/76 (46%)Ground duels41/76 (54%)
3/10 (30%)Aerial duels7/10 (70%)
9/18 (50%)Dribbles10/13 (77%)
11Dispossessed12
Defending
15Tackles20
53Tackles won45
7Interceptions10
28Clearances19
49Recoveries49
Discipline
11Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsMiddlesbrough to win (DNB) 76% · 1.56 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.28 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.70 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.85 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.67 @ 1xBet
1X2Wolves to win 30% · 3.30 @ William Hill
1X2Middlesbrough to win 44% · 2.42 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.57 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.91 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.14
Middlesbrough
3.61
Draw
3.09
Wolverhampton
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Middlesbrough or Draw
1.25
Middlesbrough or Wolverhampton
1.66
Draw or Wolverhampton
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.40
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.40
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50
4.91
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.60
Over 2.50
2.29
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.39
Over 3.50
1.50
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.53
Middlesbrough
2.35
Wolverhampton
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.12
Over 7.50
4.66
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.27
Over 8.50
3.21
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50
2.33
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.88
Over 10.50
1.85
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.32
Over 11.50
1.55
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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