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Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Stoke City
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
Mark Robins
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1
Middlesbrough
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Stoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough.
90+1'
Middlesbrough
Corner, Middlesbrough.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
85'
Goal! Stoke City 2-2 Middlesbrough. R. Boženík (Stoke City) scores, assisted by G. Hirst.
81'
Stoke City
Corner, Stoke City.
73'
Attempt saved. A. Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
73'
Middlesbrough
Corner, Middlesbrough.
62'
Middlesbrough
Offside, Middlesbrough.
48'
Goal! Stoke City 0-1 Middlesbrough. C. Brittain (Middlesbrough) scores, assisted by A. Cozier-Duberry.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Stoke City 0-0 Middlesbrough.
45'
1 minute of added time.
39'
Attempt blocked. A. Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.
34'
Stoke City
Corner, Stoke City.
33'
Stoke City
Corner, Stoke City.
32'
Stoke City
Corner, Stoke City.
16'
Middlesbrough
Corner, Middlesbrough.
6'
Stoke City
Offside, Stoke City.
1'
Kick-off: Stoke City vs Middlesbrough.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
256190 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
69.9%
-29.1 vs price
Draw
130.0 · implied 0.8%
18.1%
+17.3 vs price
Home
500.0 · implied 0.2%
12.0%
+11.8 vs price
Half time
867 EUR · live
Draw
1.75 · implied 57.1%
52.6%
-4.5 vs price
Home
6.0 · implied 16.7%
33.9%
+17.3 vs price
Away
2.92 · implied 34.2%
13.4%
-20.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
37369 EUR · live
Under
2.0 · implied 50.0%
50.1%
+0.1 vs price
Over
1.94 · implied 51.5%
49.9%
-1.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2686 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
95.8%
-1.2 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
4.1%
+1.3 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
48'
⚽
C. Brittain · assist A. Cozier-Duberry0–1
50'
⚽
N. Borges1–1
51'
S. Berhalter · Foul
64'
🔁
T. Conway ◂ J. Sarmiento
64'
🔁
R. McGree ◂ S. Berhalter
67'
🔁
J. Devenny ◂ B. Jun-Ho
67'
🔁
G. Hirst ◂ L. Cissé
68'
L. Graham · Foul
73'
⚽
W. Lankshear1–2
77'
🔁
K. Joseph ◂ W. Lankshear
78'
🔁
M. Arfsten ◂ A. Cozier-Duberry
79'
🔁
L. Bombino ◂ E. Bocat
79'
🔁
R. Boženík ◂ D. Soumaré
79'
🔁
B. Lawal ◂ J. Tchamadeu
85'
⚽
R. Boženík · assist G. Hirst2–2
Full-time · 2–3
90'+1
⚽
N. Borges2–3
Coaches
Mark RobinsKim Hellberg 
Recent form
Stoke CityWABolton Wanderers2-1
WHSheffield United2-1
WAWatford2-1
DACardiff City1-1
WHCharlton Athletic4-0
MiddlesbroughWHWolverhampton1-0
DABirmingham City2-2
DHMillwall2-2
WHNorwich City4-3
LACrystal Palace0-3
About this match
**Stoke are on fire right now, and Middlesbrough are coming in wobbly** — this could be a statement win for the hosts. 🔥
Stoke's won four of their last five with clinical efficiency (three consecutive 2-1 victories), while Boro are stuck drawing everything and just beat Wolves by the skin of their teeth. The Potteries should fancy this badly.
Key storylines:
- **Stoke's attacking rhythm** is the real story here — they've found a formula and aren't letting up, even without **Cresswell** (out injured)
- **Middlesbrough's defensive solidity** will be tested hard; they've leaked goals lately and face a team in ruthless form
- **Set-piece dominance** could swing it — Stoke have the platform and the mojo to press early
Expected lineups:
- **Stoke City**: V. Johansson, L. Graham, B. Johnson, E. Bocat, B. Wilmot, D. Soumaré, J. McGlynn, L. Cissé, J. Devenny, G. Hirst, S. Gallagher
- **Middlesbrough**: R. Vítek, C. Brittain, A. Malanda, L. Ayling, N. Borges, A. Morris, R. McGree, W. Lankshear, A. Cozier-Duberry, T. Conway, D. Strelec
Prediction:
**Stoke 2-0 Middlesbrough**. Stoke's momentum is real; Boro just don't have enough defensive steel to keep them out twice.
Where to watch
Paramount+
Disney+Disney+ BrazilNSports
Viaplay
V Sport 2 SuomiViaplayViaplay TV (FI)
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Viaplay
Sky Sports FootballSky Sports Main EventSky Sports+
NOW
TV2 PlayV Sport 1 NorwayViaplay
Viaplay
NOW
Paramount+
Match facts
Stadium
bet365 Stadium
City
Stoke
Kickoff
13 Oct, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Stoke City
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1
Middlesbrough
1
V. Johansson
8.4
2
B. Johnson
5.9
16
B. Wilmot
6.6
5
L. Graham
6.1
18
B. Lawal
6.4
↑ 79'
21
L. Bombino
6.2
↑ 79'
8
E. Galbraith
6.0
9
R. Boženík
7.2
↑ 79'
7
J. McGlynn
6.8
13
J. Devenny
6.3
↑ 67'
15
G. Hirst
6.5
↑ 67'
1
R. Vítek
6.2
12
L. Ayling
7.0
4
A. Phillips
6.2
29
A. Malanda
7.0
2
C. Brittain
8.1
8
R. McGree
6.8
↑ 64'
10
A. Morris
7.4
30
N. Borges
7.0
17
M. Arfsten
6.6
↑ 78'
9
T. Conway
6.9
↑ 64'
22
K. Joseph
6.2
↑ 77'
Top stats
34%Possession66%
0.65Expected goals (xG)2.57
8Total shots20
1Shots on target9
0Big chances2
4Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target5
2Blocked shots6
5Shots inside box16
3Shots outside box4
0Big chances scored2
1.97Goals prevented-1.3
Attack
11Touches in box36
33Final third entries78
1Offsides1
11Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
297Passes594
223Accurate passes524
16/46 (35%)Long balls17/41 (41%)
2/14 (14%)Crosses6/27 (22%)
21Throw-ins13
Duels
39Duels61
22/58 (38%)Ground duels36/58 (62%)
10/25 (40%)Aerial duels15/25 (60%)
6/14 (43%)Dribbles8/12 (67%)
12Dispossessed2
Defending
6Tackles20
50Tackles won55
6Interceptions8
27Clearances19
41Recoveries44
Discipline
9Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
7Saves0
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsMiddlesbrough to win (DNB) 61% · 1.47 @ Bwin
1X2Middlesbrough to win 47% · 2.32 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.30 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.97 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
1X2Stoke to win 27% · 3.66 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.50
Stoke City
3.60
Draw
2.00
Middlesbrough
Double Chanceconsensus
1.77
Stoke City or Draw
1.25
Stoke City or Middlesbrough
1.28
Draw or Middlesbrough
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.12
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.80
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.91
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50
2.02
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.83
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.75
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.62
Stoke City
1.45
Middlesbrough
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50
4.65
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.30
Over 8.50
3.10
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.57
Over 9.50
2.24
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.95
Over 10.50
1.78
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.45
Over 11.50
1.47
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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