Bolton Wanderers 1-5 Middlesbrough: Stats & xG

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Championship ·Fri 23 Oct

Bolton Wanderers

1–5

HT 1–3

Full time

Middlesbrough

Toughsheet Community Stadium , Horwich · Ref: Simon Hooper

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Bolton Wanderers 1-5 Middlesbrough.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

N. Borges

Attempt missed. N. Borges (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

86'

S. Berhalter

Substitution, Middlesbrough: M. Peart-Harris comes on for S. Berhalter.

84'

S. Berhalter

Attempt missed. S. Berhalter (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

83'

M. Arfsten

Attempt blocked. M. Arfsten (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

80'

X. Simons

Attempt blocked. X. Simons (Bolton Wanderers), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

80'

R. Hardie

Attempt missed. R. Hardie (Bolton Wanderers), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

79'

R. McGree

Substitution, Middlesbrough: L. Castledine comes on for R. McGree.

79'

A. Cozier-Duberry

Substitution, Middlesbrough: J. Sarmiento comes on for A. Cozier-Duberry.

79'

W. Lankshear

Substitution, Middlesbrough: K. Joseph comes on for W. Lankshear.

78'

W. Lankshear

Goal! Bolton Wanderers 1-5 Middlesbrough. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough) scores, assisted by R. McGree.

74'

K. Dong

Substitution, Bolton Wanderers: X. Simons comes on for K. Dong.

73'

A. Cozier-Duberry

Goal! Bolton Wanderers 1-4 Middlesbrough. A. Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough) scores, assisted by R. McGree.

70'

M. Conway

Attempt missed. M. Conway (Bolton Wanderers), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

69'

A. Cozier-Duberry

Attempt missed. A. Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

69'

T. Conway

Substitution, Middlesbrough: M. Arfsten comes on for T. Conway.

68'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

68'

W. Lankshear

Attempt saved. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.

67'

A. Malanda

Attempt missed. A. Malanda (Middlesbrough), header from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

65'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

65'

T. Conway

Attempt saved. T. Conway (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

65'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

63'

J. Sheehan

Yellow card for J. Sheehan (Bolton Wanderers) for persistent fouling.

63'

W. Lankshear

Attempt saved. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.19.

61'

A. Cozier-Duberry

Attempt saved. A. Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

59'

Bolton Wanderers

Corner, Bolton Wanderers.

55'

T. Bair

Substitution, Bolton Wanderers: S. Dalby comes on for T. Bair.

55'

E. Erhahon

Substitution, Bolton Wanderers: R. Hardie comes on for E. Erhahon.

51'

Middlesbrough

Offside, Middlesbrough.

46'

K. Dong

Attempt saved. K. Dong (Bolton Wanderers), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

46'

A. Famewo

Substitution, Bolton Wanderers: M. Conway comes on for A. Famewo.

46'

R. Rodrigues

Substitution, Bolton Wanderers: A. Ito comes on for R. Rodrigues.

46'

Middlesbrough

Offside, Middlesbrough.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Bolton Wanderers 1-3 Middlesbrough.

45+2'

T. Bair

Goal! Bolton Wanderers 1-3 Middlesbrough. T. Bair (Bolton Wanderers) scores, assisted by G. Larrazabal.

45+2'

T. Gale

Attempt blocked. T. Gale (Bolton Wanderers), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

45+2'

R. Rodrigues

Attempt missed. R. Rodrigues (Bolton Wanderers), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

45+2'

K. Dong

Attempt blocked. K. Dong (Bolton Wanderers), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

45+1'

W. Lankshear

Attempt blocked. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

42'

T. Conway

Attempt blocked. T. Conway (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

41'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

41'

A. Phillips

Attempt blocked. A. Phillips (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

39'

L. Brunt

Goal! Bolton Wanderers 0-3 Middlesbrough. Own goal by L. Brunt.

39'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

39'

T. Conway

Attempt blocked. T. Conway (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.19.

39'

A. Malanda

Attempt missed. A. Malanda (Middlesbrough), header from a corner. xG 0.11.

37'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

31'

W. Lankshear

Goal! Bolton Wanderers 0-2 Middlesbrough. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough) scores, assisted by T. Conway.

30'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

30'

C. Brittain

Attempt saved. C. Brittain (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

30'

W. Lankshear

Attempt saved. W. Lankshear (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot. xG 0.23.

28'

Middlesbrough

Offside, Middlesbrough.

27'

A. Morris

Attempt missed. A. Morris (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

26'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

25'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

25'

A. Cozier-Duberry

Attempt saved. A. Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

24'

Bolton Wanderers

Corner, Bolton Wanderers.

23'

R. McGree

Attempt missed. R. McGree (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

23'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

22'

A. Cozier-Duberry

Attempt blocked. A. Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

21'

Middlesbrough

Corner, Middlesbrough.

21'

T. Conway

Attempt blocked. T. Conway (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

20'

T. Bair

Attempt missed. T. Bair (Bolton Wanderers), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

17'

R. Rodrigues

Attempt saved. R. Rodrigues (Bolton Wanderers), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

17'

J. Sheehan

Attempt missed. J. Sheehan (Bolton Wanderers), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

13'

A. Morris

Goal! Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Middlesbrough. A. Morris (Middlesbrough) scores, assisted by A. Cozier-Duberry.

13'

R. Rodrigues

Attempt saved. R. Rodrigues (Bolton Wanderers), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

12'

A. Cozier-Duberry

Attempt blocked. A. Cozier-Duberry (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

12'

C. Brittain

Attempt blocked. C. Brittain (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

10'

T. Conway

Attempt blocked. T. Conway (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

S. Berhalter

Attempt blocked. S. Berhalter (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

Middlesbrough

Offside, Middlesbrough.

R. McGree

Attempt saved. R. McGree (Middlesbrough), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

T. Conway

Attempt missed. T. Conway (Middlesbrough), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

Kick-off: Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough.

Where the money is

479782 EUR matched · captured 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 375081 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

87.7%

-11.4 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.3%

+6.2 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.1%

+6.0 vs price

Half time 105 EUR

Away 2.16 · implied 46.3%

57.0%

+10.7 vs price

Draw 2.86 · implied 35.0%

41.3%

+6.4 vs price

Home 4.9 · implied 20.4%

1.7%

-18.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 21244 EUR · live

Over 1.07 · implied 93.5%

72.7%

-20.7 vs price

Under 13.5 · implied 7.4%

29.5%

+22.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 43 EUR

Over 5.0 · implied 20.0%

61.1%

+41.1 vs price

Under 1.25 · implied 80.0%

38.9%

-41.1 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

13' ⚽ A. Morris · assist A. Cozier-Duberry0–1

31' ⚽ W. Lankshear · assist T. Conway0–2

39' ⚽ L. Brunt0–3

Half-time · 1–3

45'⁺² ⚽ T. Bair · assist G. Larrazabal1–3

46' 🔁 A. Ito ◂ R. Rodrigues

46' 🔁 M. Conway ◂ A. Famewo

55' 🔁 R. Hardie ◂ E. Erhahon

55' 🔁 S. Dalby ◂ T. Bair

63' J. Sheehan · Persistent fouling

69' 🔁 M. Arfsten ◂ T. Conway

73' ⚽ A. Cozier-Duberry · assist R. McGree1–4

74' 🔁 X. Simons ◂ K. Dong

78' ⚽ W. Lankshear · assist R. McGree1–5

79' 🔁 K. Joseph ◂ W. Lankshear

79' 🔁 J. Sarmiento ◂ A. Cozier-Duberry

79' 🔁 L. Castledine ◂ R. McGree

86' 🔁 M. Peart-Harris ◂ S. Berhalter

Full-time · 1–5

Coaches

Steven Schumacher

Kim Hellberg

Recent form

Bolton Wanderers

DASouthampton0-0

WAWolverhampton3-1

LHStoke City1-2

WANorwich City4-3

WHCardiff City1-0

Middlesbrough

DHCardiff City2-2

WAStoke City3-2

WHWolverhampton1-0

DABirmingham City2-2

DHMillwall2-2

About this match

**Bolton's hitting form but Boro' won't roll over** — the hosts have won three of their last five, yet Middlesbrough's resilience (unbeaten in five) makes this a proper Championship scrap. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Bolton are clicking in attack after that demolition of Wolves, while Boro' keep grinding out results even without a win streak. The head-to-head tells the story: Middlesbrough's slight edge historically, but Bolton's home form is the wrinkle here.

Key storylines:

- **Bolton's attacking rhythm** versus **Middlesbrough's defensive solidity** — Boro' have injury depth issues up front but stay compact
- **G. Bazunu** and **R. Vítek** both face test in goal with plenty of creative traffic expected
- Bolton's midfield balance around **J. Sheehan** and **E. Erhahon** will be key to controlling tempo

Expected lineups:

- **Bolton Wanderers**: G. Bazunu, M. Conway, E. Toal, L. Brunt, G. Larrazabal, J. Sheehan, E. Erhahon, T. Gale, R. Rodrigues, K. Dong, S. Dalby
- **Middlesbrough**: R. Vítek, C. Brittain, A. Malanda, S. Berhalter, N. Borges, A. Morris, A. Cozier-Duberry, R. McGree, M. Arfsten, W. Lankshear, T. Conway

Prediction:

**Bolton 2–1 Middlesbrough** — home form and current momentum give Bolton the edge, but Boro' will make it tight. 📊

Where to watch

DStv NowESPN 2 AfricaSuperSport Football Plus

Match facts

Stadium

Toughsheet Community Stadium

City

Horwich

Referee

Simon Hooper

4.27 yellows/match · 26 matches

Kickoff

23 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Championship

Top stats

39%Possession61%

0.91Expected goals (xG)4.17

12Total shots31

4Shots on target12

0Big chances6

2Corners12

Shots

5Shots off target8

3Blocked shots11

7Shots inside box20

5Shots outside box11

0Big chances scored3

0Big chances missed3

-0.07Goals prevented-0.55

Attack

21Touches in box47

43Final third entries73

0Offsides4

9Free kicks9

0Fouled in final third2

Passing

367Passes557

308Accurate passes494

30/60 (50%)Long balls24/43 (56%)

2/8 (25%)Crosses5/23 (22%)

15Throw-ins11

Duels

49Duels51

25/51 (49%)Ground duels26/51 (51%)

10/20 (50%)Aerial duels10/20 (50%)

5/13 (38%)Dribbles8/14 (57%)

2Dispossessed5

Defending

11Tackles10

36Tackles won80

12Interceptions4

29Clearances7

37Recoveries54

Discipline

9Fouls9

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

8Saves3

3Big saves1

10Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Bolton 20%

22%

Middlesbrough 59%

1X2Middlesbrough to win 59% · 1.95 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 3.20 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.70 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.36 @ betfair

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.70 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 22% · 2.94 @ 1xBet

Who winsBolton to win (DNB) 51% · 3.75 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.67 @ betfair

1X2Bolton to win 20% · 4.50 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.74

Bolton Wanderers

4.30

Draw

1.60

Middlesbrough

Double Chanceconsensus

2.27

Bolton Wanderers or Draw

1.18

Bolton Wanderers or Middlesbrough

1.16

Draw or Middlesbrough

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.51

Yes

2.42

Home Win to Nilconsensus

10.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.13

Over 1.50

5.47

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.44

Over 2.50

2.54

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.19

Over 3.50

1.63

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.50

Over 4.50

1.25

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.60

Bolton Wanderers

1.26

Middlesbrough

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.17

Over 7.50

4.11

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.35

Over 8.50

2.87

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.62

Over 9.50

2.17

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.06

Over 10.50

1.72

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.66

Over 11.50

1.41

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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