Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Cardiff host Birmingham in a clash of contrasting form — the Bluebirds searching for consistency, while the Blues are quietly building something dangerous.** 🔵
Cardiff's stop-start season (2W-1D-2L lately) meets a Birmingham side on an absolute tear: **4 wins in their last 5**, including back-to-back demolition jobs at home. The hosts have that H2H edge historically, but momentum is absolutely Birmingham's friend right now.
Key storylines:
- **J. Stansfield and C. Vicente** will be the attacking focal points for Birmingham's high-flying visitors, coming off two impressive home victories.
- Cardiff's defensive frailty exposed: missing **G. Osho** through suspension and **R. Colwill** through injury leaves them stretched at the back against a clinical finishing unit.
- **C. Robinson** carries the creative load up top for Cardiff; he'll need early service to keep the hosts competitive.
Expected lineups:
- **Cardiff City**: N. Trott, J. Bagan, K. Bielik, W. T. Fish, P. Ng, A. Robertson, J. Colwill, C. Willock, J. Moylan, O. Tanner, C. Robinson
- **Birmingham City**: J. Beadle, A. Cochrane, C. Klarer, P. Neumann, B. Osayi-Samuel, T. Iwata, J. Solís, L. Millar, A. Priske, C. Vicente, J. Stansfield
Prediction:
**0-2 Birmingham** — the visitors' momentum and Cardiff's defensive gaps point to a comfortable away win. Lean Birmingham.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.