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Stoke City
Stoke City
Bristol City
Bristol City
Bristol City
Bristol City
Stoke City
Stoke City
Bristol City
Stoke City
Bristol City
Bristol City
Stoke City
Stoke City
Mark Robins
Stoke City
Bristol City
Stoke City
3-4-3 · 3-5-2
Bristol City
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Stoke City 0-0 Bristol City.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
86'
Stoke City
Corner, Stoke City.
83'
Stoke City
Corner, Stoke City.
78'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
75'
Attempt blocked. B. De Keersmaecker (Bristol City), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
74'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
74'
Attempt missed. B. De Keersmaecker (Bristol City), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
73'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
70'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
69'
Stoke City
Offside, Stoke City.
66'
Attempt missed. E. Galbraith (Stoke City), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
65'
Stoke City
Corner, Stoke City.
53'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Stoke City 0-0 Bristol City.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
38'
Stoke City
Corner, Stoke City.
36'
Attempt blocked. D. Ballard (Bristol City), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.
35'
Bristol City
Corner, Bristol City.
26'
Bristol City
Offside, Bristol City.
23'
Stoke City
Offside, Stoke City.
7'
Stoke City
Corner, Stoke City.
1'
Kick-off: Stoke City vs Bristol City.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
139919 EUR · live
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
45.0%
-54.0 vs price
Home
40.0 · implied 2.5%
41.5%
+39.0 vs price
Away
95.0 · implied 1.1%
14.1%
+13.1 vs price
Half time
128 EUR
Draw
2.26 · implied 44.2%
87.8%
+43.6 vs price
Away
3.85 · implied 26.0%
11.9%
-14.1 vs price
Home
3.2 · implied 31.2%
0.3%
-30.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
29008 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.9%
-21.1 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
22.1%
+21.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
30 EUR
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
76.2%
-14.7 vs price
Over
10.0 · implied 10.0%
23.8%
+13.8 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
21'
🔁
G. Hirst ◂ L. Cissé
31'
D. Soumaré · Foul
43'
L. McNally · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
62'
🔁
B. De Keersmaecker ◂ G. Yah
62'
🔁
S. Bell ◂ L. Tolaj
69'
🔁
J. Tchamadeu ◂ D. Soumaré
71'
J. Knight · Foul
81'
🔁
R. Boženík ◂ J. Devenny
87'
🔁
J. Wallace ◂ D. Ballard
88'
🔁
A. Randell ◂ J. Knight
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Mark RobinsMichael Skubala 
Recent form
Stoke CityWADerby County1-0
LHMiddlesbrough2-3
WABolton Wanderers2-1
WHSheffield United2-1
WAWatford2-1
Bristol CityLHSheffield United0-1
LHBlackburn Rovers0-1
DACharlton Athletic1-1
WACrystal Palace2-0
WHWatford1-0
About this match
**Stoke's rolling, and Bristol City's leaking goals at home — this feels like a Potters opportunity.** The hosts are on a **four-win streak** while City have dropped points in back-to-back home defeats. 🔴
Form tells the story: Stoke are sharp and dangerous in attack; Bristol City's defensive frailty — especially at Ashton Gate — is a genuine problem. That H2H leans Bristol's way overall, but momentum matters more in the Championship right now.
Key storylines:
- **Stoke's attacking trio** of **B. Jun-Ho**, **L. Cissé**, and **M. Manhoef** will hunt space against a leaky Bristol backline
- **Bristol City's home woes** continue with back-to-back 0-1 losses; **S. Twine** and crew need an outlet or it could get ugly
- **Midfield battle**: **J. McGlynn** and **E. Galbraith** anchor Stoke's press; can they smother **J. Knight** and **A. Randell**?
Expected lineups:
- **Stoke City**: V. Johansson, L. Graham, B. Wilmot, B. Lawal, B. Johnson, J. McGlynn, E. Galbraith, D. Soumaré, B. Jun-Ho, L. Cissé, M. Manhoef
- **Bristol City**: S. Tickle, C. Pring, L. N. Eissat, R. Dickie, G. Tanner, J. Knight, A. Randell, R. Cardines, S. Twine, J. Wallace, D. Ballard
Prediction:
**Stoke City 2–0 Bristol City**. Stoke's form and Bristol's home fragility point to a comfortable away-day scalp. 📋
Where to watch
TV2 PlayViaplay
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Match facts
Stadium
bet365 Stadium
City
Stoke
Kickoff
24 Oct, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Stoke City
3-4-3 · 3-5-2
Bristol City
1
V. Johansson
6.7
16
B. Wilmot
7.6
18
B. Lawal
7.2
5
L. Graham
7.5
2
B. Johnson
6.8
22
J. Tchamadeu
6.7
↑ 69'
8
E. Galbraith
7.4
21
L. Bombino
6.6
7
J. McGlynn
7.1
15
G. Hirst
6.3
↑ 21'
9
R. Boženík
6.7
↑ 81'
40
B. Collins
7.1
19
G. Tanner
7.1
15
L. McNally
7.4
2
L. N. Eissat
6.6
21
R. Cardines
7.1
4
A. Randell
↑ 88'
8
J. Williams
6.8
6
B. De Keersmaecker
6.5
↑ 62'
3
C. Pring
7.3
17
J. Wallace
6.8
↑ 87'
11
S. Bell
6.3
↑ 62'
Substitutes
24GJ. Griffiths
23DB. Gibson
40DM. Talovierov
27MD. Soumaré↓ 69'6.4
13MJ. Devenny↓ 81'6.3
19MT. Rigo
10MB. Jun-Ho
4MB. Pearson
11FL. Cissé↓ 21'6.4
Coach: Mark Robins
Substitutes
1GS. Tickle
5DR. Atkinson
12MJ. Knight↓ 88'7.3
27MG. Yah↓ 62'6.7
20MS. Greenwood
9FL. Tolaj↓ 62'6.4
23FD. Ballard↓ 87'6.0
10FS. Twine
7FY. Hirakawa
Coach: Michael Skubala
Top stats
63%Possession37%
1.05Expected goals (xG)0.78
11Total shots8
1Shots on target0
2Big chances1
5Corners6
Shots
7Shots off target6
3Blocked shots2
7Shots inside box4
4Shots outside box4
2Big chances missed1
0.0Goals prevented0.65
Attack
19Touches in box11
75Final third entries64
2Offsides1
13Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
578Passes333
476Accurate passes240
21/58 (36%)Long balls14/70 (20%)
6/27 (22%)Crosses5/19 (26%)
23Throw-ins14
Duels
51Duels49
32/60 (53%)Ground duels28/60 (47%)
15/33 (45%)Aerial duels18/33 (55%)
10/16 (63%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)
9Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles15
33Tackles won67
6Interceptions8
24Clearances45
51Recoveries54
Discipline
7Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Saves1
16Goal kicks13
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.35 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.41 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ Bet365
1X2Bristol City to win 32% · 3.30 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.20 @ William Hill
Who winsStoke to win (DNB) 55% · 1.72 @ Betano
1X2Stoke to win 39% · 2.70 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.37
Stoke City
3.30
Draw
2.90
Bristol City
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Stoke City or Draw
1.31
Stoke City or Bristol City
1.54
Draw or Bristol City
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.79
Yes
1.94
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.98
Over 2.50
1.79
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.40
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.28
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.68
Stoke City
2.10
Bristol City
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50
4.31
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50
2.91
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.64
Over 9.50
2.19
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.08
Over 10.50
1.68
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.67
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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