Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Bolton's hitting form at the right moment, but Bristol City won't roll over at the Toughsheet.** Halloween clash between two mid-table scramblers who've both found consistency elusive 🎃
Bolton's bouncing — **2W in their last 5** including a tasty 3-1 away at Wolves — though that 1-5 thrashing at home to Middlesbrough is still fresh. Bristol City, meanwhile, are stuck in a rut of draws and narrow defeats; they've won just once in five and look toothless going forward. Head-to-head leans Bristol's way historically (4 wins to Bolton's 3), but form is everything.
Key storylines:
- **Bolton's home fortress vs Bristol's away woes** — the hosts are clicking when it counts, and visiting teams have given them problems all season
- **Crewe's attack led by Dalby and Rodrigues** — need to finish better than Bristol City's blunt unit has managed lately
- **Tanner and the Bristol backline** — will they stay compact and nick a draw, or crack under Bolton's momentum?
Expected lineups:
- **Bolton Wanderers**: Bazunu, Conway, Toal, Brunt, Larrazabal, Sheehan, Erhahon, Gale, Rodrigues, Dong, Dalby
- **Bristol City**: Tickle, Pring, Eissat, Atkinson, Tanner, Knight, Randell, Cardines, Twine, Wallace, Ballard
Prediction:
**Bolton 2–1 Bristol City** — the hosts edge it on the back of their recent form and home advantage.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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