Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Middlesbrough have hit a hot streak, and Charlton are limping in** — this is the kind of mismatch that screams confident home performance. 🔴
Boro are 3W-2D unbeaten and putting teams to the sword (that 5-1 demolition of Bolton says it all), while Charlton are spiraling with just two draws in their last five. The Riverside faithful will fancy a rout here.
Key storylines:
- **Middlesbrough's attacking momentum** — three wins in their last four games have them purring, and Charlton's leaky defense will struggle to cope with the pace
- **Charlton chasing damage control** — without clear goalscoring form (0W in five), they'll park the bus and hope to nick something on the counter
- **H2H history** — Boro dominate this fixture with 12 wins to Charlton's 7, a psychological edge before kickoff ⚽
Expected lineups:
- **Middlesbrough**: R. Vítek, N. Borges, A. Malanda, C. Brittain, A. Morris, S. Berhalter, R. McGree, M. Peart-Harris, A. Cozier-Duberry, W. Lankshear
- **Charlton Athletic**: A. Okonkwo, J. Edwards, L. Jones, D. McNamara, C. Coventry, O. Skipp, T. Campbell, K. Grant, M. Alli, M. Leaburn
Prediction:
**Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton Athletic**
Boro's form is too strong and Charlton too vulnerable right now — expect a convincing home win.
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 87.0% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.