Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Blackburn host Stoke in a midweek Championship clash where recent form tells wildly different stories** — Rovers are all over the place (4-0 hammering to Swansea last time out), while Stoke have quietly strung together three wins. 📊
Blackburn's defensive woes are real; they've shipped goals freely and are without key midfielder **S. Morsy** due to suspension. Stoke arrive in better shape and have the H2H edge, but Ewood Park is still a proper fortress on paper.
Key storylines:
- **B. Tóth** and Blackburn's backline face a Stoke attack (led by **R. Boženík**) that's clicking at the right time
- Blackburn's midfield options are stretched with **T. Cantwell** and **K. Montgomery** having to shoulder more without Morsy
- Stoke's compact 3-4-3 under **B. Johnson** and **B. Wilmot** should frustrate a disjointed Rovers side
Expected lineups:
- **Blackburn Rovers**: B. Tóth, S. McLoughlin, H. Pickering, T. Atcheson, T. Cantwell, K. Montgomery, O. Afolayan, R. Alebiousu, A. Guðjohnsen, J. Fevrier
- **Stoke City**: V. Johansson, L. Graham, B. Johnson, B. Wilmot, B. Lawal, L. Bombino, E. Galbraith, D. Soumaré, R. Boženík, G. Hirst, T. Martin
Prediction:
**1-1 draw**. Blackburn scrape a point at home but can't break through Stoke's shape; visitors nick a goal but don't quite seal it. 🤝
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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