Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Derby's crunch time collides with Norwich's hot-streak swagger** — the Rams desperately need points after a rough patch, while the Canaries have just strung together back-to-back wins. Both squads are battered by injuries, but that's the Championship grind. ⚽
Derby's winless run (0W-2D-3L) has them in survival mode at Pride Park, where a boisterous crowd could matter. Norwich showed grit beating Watford and Charlton, but they've also dropped points to Portsmouth at home—consistency is the ask here.
Key storylines:
- **Derby's defensive woes** have them shipping goals left and right; they'll lean on **R. Brewster** up top to poach chances on the break
- **Norwich's midfield engine** — **A. Brooks** and **K. McLean** — will look to control tempo and starve Derby's attack of service
- **Missing bodies everywhere**: Derby without **C. Taylor** and **C. Forsyth**, Norwich minus **M. Touré** and key defensive depth, so this could get scrappy
Expected lineups:
- **Derby County**: J. W. Zetterström, R. Nyambe, M. Johnston, J. Robinson, S. Szmodics, B. Clark, C. Morris, R. Hedges, M. Fuseini, R. Brewster
- **Norwich City**: D. Grimshaw, R. McConville, P. Mattsson, B. Alves, A. Brooks, K. McLean, O. Schwartau, J. Wright, M. Kvistgaarden, J. Makama
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both teams hungry but fragile; expect a cagey, competitive tussle that neither can quite break open. 🔒
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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