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Burnley
Burnley
Burnley
Cardiff City
Burnley
Burnley
Cardiff City
Burnley
Burnley
Cardiff City
Cardiff City
Cardiff City
Brian Barry-Murphy
Cardiff City
Burnley
Cardiff City
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Burnley
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Cardiff City 5-4 Burnley.
90+7'
Burnley
Corner, Burnley.
90+4'
Goal! Cardiff City 5-4 Burnley. A. Robertson (Cardiff City) scores, assisted by C. Willock.
90+2'
Burnley
Corner, Burnley.
90'
10 minutes of added time.
82'
Goal! Cardiff City 4-4 Burnley. Y. Salech (Cardiff City) scores, assisted by R. Colwill.
69'
Burnley
Corner, Burnley.
69'
Attempt blocked. A. Hountondji (Burnley), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.
65'
Goal! Cardiff City 2-4 Burnley. Y. Salech (Cardiff City) scores, assisted by C. Ashford.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Cardiff City 1-2 Burnley.
45'
1 minute of added time.
42'
Attempt blocked. L. Ramazani (Burnley), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
40'
Goal! Cardiff City 1-2 Burnley. O. Tanner (Cardiff City) scores, assisted by R. Colwill.
40'
Cleared off the line! R. Colwill (Cardiff City), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.25.
40'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
35'
Burnley
Corner, Burnley.
35'
Burnley
Corner, Burnley.
31'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
29'
Burnley
Corner, Burnley.
22'
Burnley
Offside, Burnley.
15'
Goal! Cardiff City 0-1 Burnley. A. Hountondji (Burnley) scores, assisted by L. Pires.
13'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
12'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
6'
Attempt missed. A. Robertson (Cardiff City), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
5'
Cardiff City
Corner, Cardiff City.
1'
Kick-off: Cardiff City vs Burnley.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
270677 EUR · live
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
47.2%
+47.1 vs price
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
38.5%
-57.6 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
14.3%
+10.5 vs price
Half time
12 EUR
Draw
2.7 · implied 37.0%
100.0%
+63.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
8964 EUR · live
Over
1.09 · implied 91.7%
84.6%
-7.2 vs price
Under
13.5 · implied 7.4%
16.7%
+9.2 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
15'
⚽
A. Hountondji · assist L. Pires0–1
25'
⚽
M. Edwards · assist J. Banel0–2
40'
⚽
O. Tanner · assist R. Colwill1–2
Half-time · 1–2
50'
K. Bielik · Foul
55'
⚽
L. Ramazani1–3
58'
🔁
J. Cullen ◂ R. Hatate
58'
🔁
A. Ramsey ◂ M. Edwards
62'
⚽
A. Robertson1–4
63'
🔁
Y. Salech ◂ O. Tanner
64'
🔁
O. Sonne ◂ J. Banel
64'
🔁
C. Roberts ◂ L. Pires
65'
⚽
Y. Salech · assist C. Ashford2–4
71'
🔁
C. Scanlon ◂ K. Bielik
75'
⚽
J. Moylan (pen)3–4
79'
L. Ramazani · Argument
79'
J. Bagan · Argument
80'
🔁
Z. Amdouni ◂ A. Hountondji
82'
⚽
Y. Salech · assist R. Colwill4–4
Full-time · 5–4
90'+4
⚽
A. Robertson · assist C. Willock5–4
90'+6
🔁
R. Kpakio ◂ C. Willock
90'+6
🔁
J. Colwill ◂ J. Moylan
90'+9
K. Walker · Off the ball foul
90'+11
R. Colwill · Argument
90'+11
J. Laurent · Argument
90'+13
Y. Salech · Foul
Coaches
Brian Barry-MurphyFabio Celestini 
Recent form
Cardiff CityDHWest Ham United3-3
LAWolverhampton0-3
WHBirmingham City1-0
DAMiddlesbrough2-2
WHWatford5-1
BurnleyDAQueens Park Rangers1-1
DHPortsmouth0-0
LALincoln City1-4
LHWolverhampton1-2
DHCharlton Athletic2-2
About this match
**Cardiff host Burnley in a dead rubber of a Championship clash** — two sides stuck in the middle with injury troubles and inconsistent form. 🏴
Cardiff have wobbled after a strong patch (2W-2D-1L), with back-to-back results ranging from a wild 3-3 draw to a proper shellacking at Wolves. Burnley are even messier: winless in five, leaning heavy on draws but got taken apart 1-4 by Lincoln last time out.
Key storylines:
- **Cardiff's home turf** gives them a slight edge — they've won two at the stadium recently, even if consistency is dodgy.
- **Burnley's back line** (Júlio, Walker, Pires) have shipped goals without **Mejbri's** creative spark in midfield, a real blow.
- **J. Vardy and Z. Amdouni** will need support up front; Burnley can't afford another passive performance.
Expected lineups:
- **Cardiff City**: N. Trott, J. Bagan, G. Osho, W. T. Fish, P. Ng, J. Colwill, C. Ashford, C. Willock
- **Burnley**: G. Coudert, I. Júlio, K. Walker, L. Pires, M. Alleyne, J. Laurent, L. Ramazani
Prediction:
**Cardiff 1-0 Burnley**
Home comforts and Burnley's recent meltdown give Cardiff a slight lean in a low-energy affair. 📺
Where to watch
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
Viaplay
TV2 PlayViaplay
Viaplay
Match facts
Stadium
Cardiff City Stadium
City
Cardiff
Kickoff
07 Nov, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Championship
Highlights & clips
Cardiff City
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Burnley
1
N. Trott
7.3
38
P. Ng
6.8
2
W. T. Fish
6.6
23
C. Scanlon
7.1
↑ 71'
3
J. Bagan
6.3
18
A. Robertson
8.0
45
C. Ashford
6.7
9
Y. Salech
8.7
↑ 63'
10
R. Colwill
7.6
44
R. Kpakio
↑ 90'
27
J. Colwill
↑ 90'
37
G. Coudert
5.6
2
K. Walker
6.4
18
H. Ekdal
6.2
44
I. Júlio
5.7
14
C. Roberts
5.3
↑ 64'
29
J. Laurent
6.8
21
A. Ramsey
6.9
↑ 58'
19
L. Ramazani
9.0
24
J. Cullen
7.0
↑ 58'
22
O. Sonne
5.7
↑ 64'
11
Z. Amdouni
6.6
↑ 80'
Substitutes
30GH. Tyrer
5DK. Bielik↓ 71'7.1
11MO. Tanner↓ 63'7.1
16MC. Willock↓ 90'6.7
8MJ. Moylan↓ 90'6.3
14MD. Turnbull
52MT. Perret
50MC. Holt
33MR. Tankiewicz
Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy
Substitutes
1GM. Weiss
23DL. Pires↓ 64'7.2
3DM. Alleyne
5MR. Hatate↓ 58'7.0
34MJ. Banel↓ 64'6.9
8MU. Raghouber
10FM. Edwards↓ 58'7.3
17FA. Hountondji↓ 80'7.2
9FJ. Vardy
Coach: Fabio Celestini
Top stats
67%Possession33%
4.61Expected goals (xG)2.38
25Total shots15
11Shots on target8
8Big chances2
5Corners6
Shots
6Shots off target3
8Blocked shots4
13Shots inside box10
12Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork0
4Big chances scored1
4Big chances missed1
-0.14Goals prevented-1.4
Attack
36Touches in box18
86Final third entries40
0Offsides1
9Free kicks8
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
577Passes286
508Accurate passes220
25/45 (56%)Long balls21/56 (38%)
7/22 (32%)Crosses3/10 (30%)
19Throw-ins6
Duels
47Duels53
25/54 (46%)Ground duels29/54 (54%)
9/18 (50%)Aerial duels9/18 (50%)
7/13 (54%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)
9Dispossessed4
Defending
8Tackles15
63Tackles won53
5Interceptions15
12Clearances27
48Recoveries54
Discipline
8Fouls10
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves4
4Big saves3
3Goal kicks7
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsCardiff to win (DNB) 74% · 1.50 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 64% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.10 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.36 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.67 @ William Hill
1X2Cardiff to win 45% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 25% · 2.88 @ 1xBet
1X2Burnley to win 30% · 3.46 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.95
Cardiff City
3.90
Draw
3.40
Burnley
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Cardiff City or Draw
1.21
Cardiff City or Burnley
1.80
Draw or Burnley
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.42
Yes
2.70
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
17.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.11
Over 1.50
6.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.42
Over 2.50
2.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.09
Over 3.50
1.69
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.68
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.49
Cardiff City
2.50
Burnley
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.45
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.92
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.64
Over 9.50
2.20
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50
1.76
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.48
Over 11.50
1.45
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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