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Francesco Farioli
FC Porto
FC Alverca
FC Porto
4-3-3 · 3-4-3
FC Alverca
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1118003 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
97.3%
-1.7 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.6%
+1.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.2%
+1.1 vs price
Half time
20554 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
97.9%
-1.1 vs price
Draw
16.5 · implied 6.1%
1.6%
-4.5 vs price
Away
200.0 · implied 0.5%
0.5%
0.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
298345 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
68.5%
-28.6 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
31.5%
+27.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
20564 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.0%
-8.1 vs price
Over
15.0 · implied 6.7%
9.1%
+2.4 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
5'
VAR
Penalty check · A. Silva
8'
M. Mendes · Foul
9'
⚽
A. Silva (pen)1–0
40'
VAR
Penalty check · A. Silva
43'
N. Touaizi · Foul
44'
⚽
G. Veiga (pen)2–0
Half-time · 2–0
52'
Y. Bojang · Foul
58'
🔁
P. Rosario ◂ A. Varela
58'
🔁
B. Sainz ◂ W. Gomes
60'
🔁
F. Chissumba ◂ Y. Bojang
60'
🔁
S. Merheg ◂ V. Semedo
74'
🔁
N. Pérez ◂ M. Fernandes
74'
🔁
Z. Kassary ◂ Ian Luccas
75'
🔁
R. Mora ◂ G. Veiga
79'
🔁
M. Essimi ◂ Figueiredo
82'
🔁
D. Gül ◂ A. Silva
89'
Chiquinho · Argument
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Sérgio Ricardo Oliveira Ferreira 
Recent form
WHAston Villa2-1
LAGil Vicente0-1
WHSanta Clara1-0
LAAVS - Futebol SAD1-3
WHFC Alverca1-0
LHCD Mafra0-1
WHEstoril Praia2-0
WHC.F. Os Belenenses2-1
LAFamalicão0-1
DHEstoril Praia1-1
Where to watch
beIN SPORTS 2
Disney+ESPN
Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Cytavision Sports 8HD
Kanal1 Sport
DAZNSportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
DAZN
beIN SPORTS 2
MAGENTA | 2HD
beIN SPORTS 2
Eleven Sports 1 HD
Sport TV1
Kanal1 Sport
beIN Sports 3
MEGOGO Football 1
beIN SportsbeIN Sports en EspañolfuboTV
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio do Dragão
City
Porto
Kickoff
09 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
99
D. Costa
7.3
18
N. Pérez
6.9
↑ 74'
5
J. Bednarek
7.5
4
J. Kiwior
7.7
12
Z. Sanusi
7.4
8
V. Froholdt
7.1
13
P. Rosario
7.2
↑ 58'
86
R. Mora
6.6
↑ 75'
17
B. Sainz
6.7
↑ 58'
27
D. Gül
6.5
↑ 82'
11
Pepê
6.8
31
M. Mendes
5.5
14
S. Baseya
6.6
55
F. Chissumba
6.7
↑ 60'
33
B. Meupiyou
6.7
2
N. Touaizi
6.2
18
Z. Kassary
6.7
↑ 74'
6
D. Gui
6.5
12
I. James
6.5
10
Chiquinho
7.6
17
S. Merheg
6.7
↑ 60'
19
M. Essimi
6.6
↑ 79'
Substitutes
50GJ. Afonso
24GJ. Costa
52DM. Fernandes↓ 74'6.9
74DF. Moura
21DD. Prpić
10MG. Veiga↓ 75'7.1
22MA. Varela↓ 58'6.7
57MD. Cunha
6MS. Eustaquio
16MH. In-beom
19FA. Silva↓ 82'7.9
7FW. Gomes↓ 58'6.6
Coach: Francesco Farioli
Substitutes
91GJhonatan
4DY. Bojang↓ 60'5.5
21DS. Gómez
20DD. Spencer
15DI. Julian
27DT. Tamarit
25MIan Luccas↓ 74'6.2
8MV. Moreira
30MA. Soumare
22FFigueiredo↓ 79'6.7
9FV. Semedo↓ 60'6.2
11FC. Nuozzi
Coach: Sérgio Ricardo Oliveira Ferreira
Top stats
54%Possession46%
2.61Expected goals (xG)1.6
9Total shots15
3Shots on target5
4Big chances3
7Corners9
Shots
4Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
7Shots inside box8
2Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed3
0.38Goals prevented-0.37
Attack
26Touches in box14
61Final third entries31
8Free kicks13
7Fouled in final third2
Passing
397Passes339
344Accurate passes268
22/43 (51%)Long balls16/39 (41%)
3/22 (14%)Crosses3/14 (21%)
19Throw-ins18
Duels
45Duels55
30/76 (39%)Ground duels46/76 (61%)
12/17 (71%)Aerial duels5/17 (29%)
3/19 (16%)Dribbles10/17 (59%)
7Dispossessed10
Defending
17Tackles23
53Tackles won43
10Interceptions4
17Clearances30
48Recoveries36
Discipline
13Fouls10
0Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
1Big saves0
10Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 42 bookmakers
1X2Porto to win 78% · 1.25 @ Interwetten
Who winsPorto to win (DNB) 90% · 1.06 @ Betway
BTTSBTTS: No 61% · 1.63 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.85 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Betway
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 1.75 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.23 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.48 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.60 @ Interwetten
1X2Draw 15% · 6.70 @ Betano
1X2Alverca to win 7% · 16.50 @ Betsson
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.21
FC Porto ▲
6.11
Draw ▼
12.82
FC Alverca ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.03
FC Porto or Draw ▲
1.11
FC Porto or FC Alverca
4.32
Draw or FC Alverca ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.38
Yes ▼
1.54
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.90
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50 ▲
4.28
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50 ▼
2.18
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.63
Over 3.50 ▼
1.47
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.73
Over 4.50 ▼
1.18
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.04
FC Porto ▼
10.38
FC Alverca ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.95
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.43
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.46
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.48
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.90
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.27
Over 10.50
1.55
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
FC Porto to win or draw
✓
93% confidence
FC Porto to avoid defeat
✓
90% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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