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João Gião
CD Nacional
Estoril Praia
CD Nacional
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Estoril Praia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
148228 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
63.7%
-35.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
22.4%
+22.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
13.9%
+13.8 vs price
Half time
359 EUR
Away
3.2 · implied 31.2%
46.6%
+15.3 vs price
Home
3.85 · implied 26.0%
27.3%
+1.3 vs price
Draw
2.32 · implied 43.1%
25.9%
-17.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
65565 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
88.5%
-8.6 vs price
Over
28.0 · implied 3.6%
11.5%
+7.9 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
11'
Xeka · Foul
32'
Xeka · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
51'
Matheus Dias · Foul
63'
🔁
T. Brito ◂ A. Lacximicant
63'
🔁
F. Garcia ◂ R. Guitane
66'
🔁
S. Gavriel ◂ Matheus Dias
66'
🔁
D. S. Brito ◂ M. Baeza
68'
⚽
Zé Vitor · assist L. Santos1–0
75'
🔁
G. Costa ◂ F. Medrano
75'
🔁
P. Carvalho ◂ R. Sánchez
77'
⚽
L. Santos · assist D. Júnior2–0
79'
F. Soares · Foul
81'
🔁
D. d. L. Cruz ◂ D. Júnior
82'
I. S. Arnal · Foul
85'
🔁
J. Orellana ◂ A. Tsoungui
85'
Ferro · Foul
88'
🔁
J. Silva ◂ P. Messias Cardozo
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
João GiãoVasco Matos 
Recent form
CD NacionalDASanta Clara2-2
LACF Estrela Amadora0-2
DHLeganés0-0
DHLeixões SC3-3
WHVitória SC2-0
Estoril PraiaDHFamalicão1-1
DHC.F. Os Belenenses1-1
DHTorreense0-0
LAFC Alverca0-2
WHAtletico CP3-0
Where to watch
Sport TV1
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio da Madeira
City
Funchal
Kickoff
16 Aug, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
CD Nacional
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Estoril Praia
1
R. B. Marin
7.5
34
L. Santos
8.7
11
S. Gavriel
7.3
↑ 66'
38
Zé Vitor
8.6
52
Wesley Gasolina
7.0
28
Liziero
7.0
22
F. Soares
6.7
7
M. Jensen
7.2
88
D. S. Brito
6.7
↑ 66'
2
D. d. L. Cruz
6.6
↑ 81'
26
J. Silva
6.6
↑ 88'
1
J. Robles
6.7
22
P. Carvalho
6.6
↑ 75'
4
Ferro
7.0
15
I. S. Arnal
6.1
18
G. Costa
6.3
↑ 75'
8
Xeka
5.1
6
J. Orellana
6.6
↑ 85'
90
T. Brito
6.3
↑ 63'
12
J. Carvalho
7.1
98
F. Garcia
6.6
↑ 63'
14
Y. Begraoui
6.3
Top stats
59%Possession41%
2.08Expected goals (xG)0.82
20Total shots9
3Shots on target5
5Big chances0
7Corners4
Shots
9Shots off target3
8Blocked shots1
10Shots inside box4
10Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
4Big chances missed0
0.38Goals prevented-0.64
Attack
21Touches in box10
47Final third entries40
1Offsides0
13Free kicks13
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
453Passes316
391Accurate passes252
31/56 (55%)Long balls18/45 (40%)
9/21 (43%)Crosses0/10 (0%)
22Throw-ins24
Duels
54Duels46
32/58 (55%)Ground duels26/58 (45%)
14/27 (52%)Aerial duels13/27 (48%)
6/16 (38%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)
1Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles11
69Tackles won73
3Interceptions5
26Clearances30
52Recoveries41
Discipline
13Fouls13
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
1Big saves0
5Goal kicks12
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsEstoril to win (DNB) 53% · 1.83 @ kto
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.70 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.40 @ 888Sport
1X2Estoril to win 37% · 2.90 @ fonbet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.59 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.77 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 2.06 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.34 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.04 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Nacional to win 34% · 3.20 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.86
CD Nacional
3.26
Draw ▼
2.42
Estoril Praia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.52
CD Nacional or Draw
1.31
CD Nacional or Estoril Praia
1.39
Draw or Estoril Praia
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.68
Yes ▲
2.08
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.90
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.88
Over 2.50
1.86
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.14
Over 3.50
1.32
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.80
Over 4.50 ▼
1.12
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
2.01
CD Nacional
1.72
Estoril Praia
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
10.53
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
6.10
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.95
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50 ▼
2.88
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.63
Over 9.50
2.15
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.03
Over 10.50
1.70
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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