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Filipe Coelho
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Benfica
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
374174 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
93.2%
-5.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.9%
+3.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.0%
+2.9 vs price
Half time
3452 EUR · live
Away
1.09 · implied 91.7%
90.5%
-1.3 vs price
Home
75.0 · implied 1.3%
5.4%
+4.1 vs price
Draw
13.5 · implied 7.4%
4.1%
-3.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
58440 EUR · live
Over
1.16 · implied 86.2%
83.5%
-2.7 vs price
Under
7.6 · implied 13.2%
16.6%
+3.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2577 EUR · live
Under
1.45 · implied 69.0%
62.8%
-6.2 vs price
Over
3.15 · implied 31.7%
37.2%
+5.5 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 9 clips
Player of the match
Match events
3'
⚽
G. Prestianni0–1
14'
⚽
R. Silva · assist V. Pavlidis0–2
Half-time · 0–2
47'
⚽
V. Pavlidis0–3
49'
⚽
V. Pavlidis0–4
54'
⚽
V. Pavlidis · assist L. Barreiro0–5
58'
⚽
L. Ofori0–6
59'
🔁
A. Schjelderup ◂ R. Silva
59'
🔁
M. Silva ◂ T. Araújo
59'
🔁
J. Durán ◂ V. Pavlidis
59'
🔁
A. Jatta ◂ G. Pereira
59'
🔁
O. Osundina ◂ K. Prieto
61'
⚽
J. Durán · assist A. Bah0–7
62'
S. Pérez · Persistent fouling
64'
🔁
S. Clúa ◂ S. Pérez
67'
🔁
R. Ríos ◂ E. Barrenechea
77'
🔁
Kaly ◂ Rochinha
77'
🔁
P. Rosas ◂ H. Araújo
78'
🔁
D. Lukebakio ◂ G. Sudakov
79'
Kaly · Foul
Full-time · 0–7
90'+2
Kaly · Foul
Coaches
Filipe CoelhoMarco Silva 
Recent form
Casa PiaLACS Marítimo0-1
LALeixões SC2-6
WACF Estrela Amadora2-1
WHTorreense2-0
DATorreense0-0
BenficaDAHeart of Midlothian1-1
DHAcadémico Viseu FC2-2
WHHeart of Midlothian6-1
WHFC St. Gallen 18795-0
WHC.F. Os Belenenses5-1
Where to watch
Disney+ESPN
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Sport TV1
beIN Sports
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
City
Rio Maior
Kickoff
17 Aug, 19:15 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
Casa Pia
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Benfica
31
A. Gomes
5.6
18
A. Geraldes
5.7
4
J. Goulart
5.6
43
David Sousa
5.1
5
A. Conté
5.3
16
S. Clúa
6.7
↑ 64'
80
L. Ofori
5.3
13
O. Osundina
6.5
↑ 59'
20
A. Jatta
6.9
↑ 59'
3
Kaly
6.8
↑ 77'
75
P. Rosas
6.6
↑ 77'
24
S. Soares
6.9
6
A. Bah
7.4
16
M. Silva
6.9
↑ 59'
2
C. Lenglet
7.5
26
S. Dahl
6.8
18
L. Barreiro
6.5
20
R. Ríos
6.6
↑ 67'
21
A. Schjelderup
6.3
↑ 59'
11
D. Lukebakio
6.2
↑ 78'
25
G. Prestianni
8.8
22
J. Durán
7.5
↑ 59'
Top stats
36%Possession64%
0.12Expected goals (xG)3.04
3Total shots20
0Shots on target8
1Big chances5
1Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target4
0Blocked shots8
3Shots inside box14
0Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored4
1Big chances missed1
-2.68Goals prevented0.0
Attack
6Touches in box54
40Final third entries73
1Offsides4
13Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
343Passes621
272Accurate passes556
17/47 (36%)Long balls25/38 (66%)
1/10 (10%)Crosses2/10 (20%)
13Throw-ins16
Duels
46Duels54
31/65 (48%)Ground duels34/65 (52%)
7/17 (41%)Aerial duels10/17 (59%)
4/7 (57%)Dribbles11/21 (52%)
10Dispossessed4
Defending
14Tackles13
57Tackles won38
11Interceptions10
20Clearances7
46Recoveries51
Discipline
11Fouls13
3Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves0
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsBenfica to win (DNB) 90% · 1.11 @ merkurxtip
1X2Benfica to win 78% · 1.54 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 58% · 1.71 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 1.61 @ Marathon
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.20 @ Betano
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.65 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.07 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 14% · 3.70 @ fanatics
1X2Casa Pia to win 7% · 11.00 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
14.39
Casa Pia
7.01
Draw
1.17
Benfica
Double Chanceconsensus
4.52
Casa Pia or Draw
1.10
Casa Pia or Benfica
1.03
Draw or Benfica
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.23
Yes
1.59
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
13.18
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.18
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.49
Over 2.50
2.48
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.26
Over 3.50
1.59
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.28
Over 4.50
1.21
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
9.82
Casa Pia ▲
1.04
Benfica ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
8.65
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
6.35
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
3.96
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.49
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.27
Over 10.50
1.55
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Benfica to win or draw
✓
93% confidence
Benfica to avoid defeat
✓
90% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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