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Sérgio Ricardo Oliveira Ferreira
FC Alverca
CF Estrela Amadora
FC Alverca
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
CF Estrela Amadora
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
120650 EUR · live
Draw
1.08 · implied 92.6%
45.1%
-47.5 vs price
Home
50.0 · implied 2.0%
36.6%
+34.6 vs price
Away
19.5 · implied 5.1%
18.3%
+13.2 vs price
Half time
301 EUR
Draw
2.26 · implied 44.2%
87.5%
+43.2 vs price
Away
4.6 · implied 21.7%
9.6%
-12.1 vs price
Home
2.9 · implied 34.5%
2.7%
-31.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
29535 EUR · live
Under
2.62 · implied 38.2%
76.7%
+38.5 vs price
Over
1.6 · implied 62.5%
23.3%
-39.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
750 EUR
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
99.0%
+8.1 vs price
Over
10.0 · implied 10.0%
0.8%
-9.2 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
14'
D. Gui · Foul
17'
Luan Patrick · Foul
35'
S. Leković · Foul
43'
E. Doué · Foul
44'
V. Semedo · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
51'
⚽
L. Antonetti0–1
58'
⚽
Ian Luccas · assist I. James1–1
59'
🔁
R. Lucas ◂ D. Gui
62'
⚽
V. Semedo · assist R. Lucas2–1
64'
🔁
B. Souza ◂ I. Stoica
64'
🔁
M. Scholze ◂ J. Encada
64'
🔁
E. P. Vanga ◂ Robinho
69'
⚽
A. Marcus · assist R. Soares2–2
72'
VAR
Card check · Chiquinho
74'
Chiquinho · Violent conduct
75'
🔁
F. Chissumba ◂ I. James
83'
🔁
M. Essimi ◂ B. Meupiyou
83'
🔁
S. Merheg ◂ V. Semedo
83'
🔁
V. Moreira ◂ Ian Luccas
85'
E. P. Vanga · Foul
88'
🔁
S. v. Hooijdonk ◂ L. Antonetti
Full-time · 2–2
90'
🔁
L. M. Davin ◂ R. Soares
Coaches
Sérgio Ricardo Oliveira FerreiraPepa 
Recent form
FC AlvercaLAFC Porto0-2
LHCD Mafra0-1
WHEstoril Praia2-0
WHC.F. Os Belenenses2-1
LAFamalicão0-1
CF Estrela AmadoraDHSporting CP2-2
WHAl-Nassr4-2
WHLusitano Ginásio Clube1-0
DHPortimonense SAD1-1
WHCD Nacional2-0
Where to watch
Sport TV1
Match facts
Stadium
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
City
Alverca do Ribatejo
Kickoff
15 Aug, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
FC Alverca
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
CF Estrela Amadora
31
M. Mendes
6.8
14
S. Baseya
6.8
4
Y. Bojang
7.1
8
V. Moreira
6.5
↑ 83'
2
N. Touaizi
6.9
35
R. Lucas
7.8
↑ 59'
19
M. Essimi
6.6
↑ 83'
55
F. Chissumba
6.7
↑ 75'
10
Chiquinho
6.4
22
Figueiredo
7.3
17
S. Merheg
6.6
↑ 83'
24
L. Linck
6.8
21
M. Scholze
6.7
↑ 64'
30
Luan Patrick
6.8
5
S. Leković
6.7
3
L. M. Davin
↑ 90'
14
L. Zvonarek
6.0
39
E. Doué
7.0
93
B. Souza
6.9
↑ 64'
99
A. Marcus
8.1
9
S. v. Hooijdonk
6.3
↑ 88'
71
E. P. Vanga
6.5
↑ 64'
Substitutes
91GJhonatan
33DB. Meupiyou↓ 83'6.3
20DD. Spencer
15DI. Julian
27DT. Tamarit
12MI. James↓ 75'7.8
25MIan Luccas↓ 83'7.4
6MD. Gui↓ 59'6.3
18MZ. Kassary
30MA. Soumare
9FV. Semedo↓ 83'6.4
11FC. Nuozzi
Coach: Sérgio Ricardo Oliveira Ferreira
Top stats
46%Possession54%
1.75Expected goals (xG)1.29
14Total shots10
4Shots on target7
3Big chances2
2Corners0
Shots
9Shots off target3
1Blocked shots0
10Shots inside box8
4Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
-0.29Goals prevented-0.01
Attack
18Touches in box18
42Final third entries52
2Offsides1
12Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
331Passes397
268Accurate passes334
22/44 (50%)Long balls32/61 (52%)
5/16 (31%)Crosses4/13 (31%)
21Throw-ins18
Duels
56Duels44
39/66 (59%)Ground duels27/66 (41%)
11/23 (48%)Aerial duels12/23 (52%)
8/16 (50%)Dribbles3/8 (38%)
6Dispossessed14
Defending
19Tackles14
47Tackles won50
8Interceptions8
21Clearances22
45Recoveries36
Discipline
10Fouls12
2Yellow cards4
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.82 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.60 @ Interwetten
1X2Draw 29% · 2.48 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.04 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 2.06 @ betinasia
Who winsAlverca to win (DNB) 59% · 1.62 @ merkurxtip
1X2Alverca to win 43% · 2.65 @ Interwetten
1X2Estrela Amadora to win 28% · 3.90 @ tipico
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 1.94 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.42 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.12
FC Alverca
3.21
Draw
3.50
CF Estrela Amadora ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
FC Alverca or Draw
1.32
FC Alverca or CF Estrela Amadora
1.66
Draw or CF Estrela Amadora
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.81
Yes
1.90
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.98
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.05
Over 2.50
1.72
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.57
Over 3.50
1.26
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.50
FC Alverca
2.41
CF Estrela Amadora
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.50
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.47
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
5.32
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.28
Over 7.50 ▲
3.32
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50 ▲
2.40
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.84
Under 9.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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