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Francesco Farioli
FC Porto
FC Arouca
FC Porto
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
FC Arouca
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1519513 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.9%
-4.1 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.8%
+2.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.2%
+2.1 vs price
Half time
13034 EUR · live
Home
16.0 · implied 6.2%
81.5%
+75.3 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
16.3%
-82.8 vs price
Away
300.0 · implied 0.3%
2.2%
+1.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
143963 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
86.6%
-9.6 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
13.4%
+8.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6514 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.4%
-7.6 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
8.6%
+7.6 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
59'
VAR
Goal not given after review · J. Kiwior
62'
🔁
D. Nandín ◂ I. Barbero
62'
🔁
P. Gozálbez ◂ H. Lee
67'
⚽
G. Veiga · assist W. Gomes1–0
72'
🔁
B. Mansilla ◂ A. Trezza
72'
🔁
P. S. Carvalho ◂ E. v. Ee
72'
🔁
D. Gül ◂ A. Silva
76'
🔁
H. In-beom ◂ G. Veiga
76'
🔁
B. Sainz ◂ W. Gomes
83'
H. In-beom · Foul
86'
⚽
B. Sainz · assist Pepê2–0
88'
🔁
M. Flores ◂ T. Esgaio
88'
🔁
N. Pérez ◂ J. Bednarek
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Francesco FarioliVasco Seabra 
Recent form
FC PortoWARio Ave2-0
WHFC Alverca2-0
WHAston Villa2-1
LAGil Vicente0-1
WHSanta Clara1-0
FC AroucaWHMoreirense4-0
WAVitória SC1-0
WALusitânia Lourosa2-0
LASanta Clara0-3
DAFamalicão0-0
Where to watch
beIN SPORTS 1
DGODIRECTV Sports
DAZN Belgium
Disney+ESPN 4
DGO
DGO
Cytavision Sports 3HD
Sportdigital+
Bold+
DGO
beIN SPORTS 1
MAGENTA | 3HD
beIN SPORTS 1
DGODIRECTV Sports
Eleven Sports 3 HD
Sport TV1
fuboTV
DGO
DGO
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio do Dragão
City
Porto
Kickoff
23 Aug, 19:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
FC Porto
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
FC Arouca
99
D. Costa
7.2
20
A. Costa
7.4
18
N. Pérez
7.2
↑ 88'
4
J. Kiwior
7.2
12
Z. Sanusi
7.4
8
V. Froholdt
6.8
13
P. Rosario
6.9
16
H. In-beom
6.5
↑ 76'
17
B. Sainz
8.0
↑ 76'
27
D. Gül
6.8
↑ 72'
11
Pepê
7.0
12
I. de Arruabarrena
9.0
21
M. Flores
6.7
↑ 88'
15
J. Sánchez
6.6
3
J. Fontán
7.0
18
O. Lebedenko
5.9
89
P. S. Carvalho
6.6
↑ 72'
8
T. Fukui
6.7
24
B. Mansilla
6.5
↑ 72'
10
P. Gozálbez
6.2
↑ 62'
7
N. Djouahra
6.3
23
D. Nandín
6.4
↑ 62'
Substitutes
50GJ. Afonso
24GJ. Costa
5DJ. Bednarek↓ 88'7.2
21DD. Prpić
74DF. Moura
10MG. Veiga↓ 76'9.5
22MA. Varela
57MD. Cunha
6MS. Eustaquio
7FW. Gomes↓ 76'8.2
19FA. Silva↓ 72'6.1
59FT. Andrade
Coach: Francesco Farioli
Top stats
53%Possession47%
3.0Expected goals (xG)0.54
23Total shots4
10Shots on target1
9Big chances1
12Corners2
Shots
8Shots off target3
5Blocked shots1
17Shots inside box2
6Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
7Big chances missed1
0.19Goals prevented1.0
Attack
40Touches in box8
51Final third entries38
5Offsides1
8Free kicks16
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
461Passes414
394Accurate passes360
24/36 (67%)Long balls10/36 (28%)
8/30 (27%)Crosses2/14 (14%)
19Throw-ins12
Duels
53Duels47
28/60 (47%)Ground duels32/60 (53%)
21/33 (64%)Aerial duels12/33 (36%)
4/12 (33%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)
7Dispossessed9
Defending
16Tackles15
69Tackles won33
1Interceptions11
19Clearances47
35Recoveries33
Discipline
16Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves8
0Big saves2
7Goal kicks8
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 71 bookmakers
Who winsPorto to win (DNB) 87% · 1.08 @ Betano
1X2Porto to win 71% · 1.55 @ William Hill
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.22 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.50 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 3.90 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.91 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.55 @ BET-AT-HOME
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 2.02 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 19% · 3.20 @ Unibet
1X2Arouca to win 10% · 9.50 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.19
FC Porto
6.51
Draw ▼
13.14
FC Arouca ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.03
FC Porto or Draw
1.10
FC Porto or FC Arouca
4.26
Draw or FC Arouca ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.30
Yes ▲
1.55
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
1.65
YES
2.10
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
9.00
YES
1.04
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
1.89
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
19.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
14.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50 ▲
4.52
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50 ▲
2.29
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.42
Over 3.50 ▲
1.50
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.40
Over 4.50
1.18
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.07
FC Porto
8.00
FC Arouca
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.17
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.40
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.91
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
FC Porto to win or draw
✓
90% confidence
FC Porto to avoid defeat
✓
87% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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