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Marco Silva
Benfica
Estoril Praia
Benfica
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
Estoril Praia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
837471 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
96.7%
-1.3 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
1.9%
+0.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.4%
+1.3 vs price
Half time
7599 EUR · live
Home
1.47 · implied 68.0%
96.4%
+28.4 vs price
Draw
3.75 · implied 26.7%
2.8%
-23.8 vs price
Away
18.5 · implied 5.4%
0.7%
-4.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
134097 EUR · live
Over
2.2 · implied 45.5%
51.3%
+5.9 vs price
Under
1.84 · implied 54.3%
48.7%
-5.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4256 EUR · live
Under
1.27 · implied 78.7%
64.0%
-14.7 vs price
Over
4.9 · implied 20.4%
36.0%
+15.5 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
31'
🔁
J. Palhinha ◂ E. Barrenechea
40'
⚽
V. Pavlidis1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
J. Holsgrove ◂ Xeka
51'
⚽
C. Lenglet · assist T. Araújo2–0
63'
🔁
A. Schjelderup ◂ R. Silva
71'
🔁
Peixinho ◂ A. Lacximicant
72'
🔁
F. Garcia ◂ S. Andreou
72'
🔁
P. Carvalho ◂ R. Sánchez
75'
I. S. Arnal · Foul
80'
🔁
D. Lukebakio ◂ G. Prestianni
80'
🔁
G. Moreira ◂ G. Sudakov
80'
🔁
J. Durán ◂ V. Pavlidis
82'
🔁
R. Guitane ◂ F. Medrano
82'
⚽
Y. Begraoui · assist F. Medrano2–1
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Marco SilvaVasco Matos 
Recent form
BenficaWAAGF3-1
WHAGF3-1
WACasa Pia7-0
DAHeart of Midlothian1-1
DHAcadémico Viseu FC2-2
Estoril PraiaLHRio Ave0-2
LACD Nacional0-2
DHFamalicão1-1
DHC.F. Os Belenenses1-1
DHTorreense0-0
Where to watch
Disney+ESPN 4
Sportdigital FUSSBALL
DIRECTV Sports
Kanal1 Sport
DAZNSportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
beIN Sports MAX 6
MAGENTA | 1HD
VOYO
Benfica TV
Kanal1 Sport
Benfica TVbeIN Sports en EspañolfuboTV
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio da Luz
City
Lisbon
Kickoff
31 Aug, 19:15 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
Benfica
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
Estoril Praia
24
S. Soares
6.7
6
A. Bah
7.2
44
T. Araújo
8.0
2
C. Lenglet
8.1
26
S. Dahl
7.1
18
L. Barreiro
6.3
36
J. Palhinha
6.8
↑ 31'
21
A. Schjelderup
6.5
↑ 63'
77
G. Moreira
6.3
↑ 80'
11
D. Lukebakio
6.5
↑ 80'
22
J. Durán
6.6
↑ 80'
1
J. Robles
9.0
22
P. Carvalho
6.8
↑ 72'
4
Ferro
7.4
15
I. S. Arnal
6.3
98
F. Garcia
6.4
↑ 72'
10
J. Holsgrove
6.5
↑ 46'
5
A. Tsoungui
7.4
99
R. Guitane
6.6
↑ 82'
17
Peixinho
6.6
↑ 71'
14
Y. Begraoui
7.7
12
J. Carvalho
6.9
Top stats
66%Possession34%
2.03Expected goals (xG)0.36
25Total shots4
8Shots on target2
2Big chances0
9Corners0
Shots
7Shots off target1
10Blocked shots1
15Shots inside box3
10Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed0
-0.07Goals prevented0.85
Attack
49Touches in box8
90Final third entries45
2Offsides0
12Free kicks14
5Fouled in final third1
Passing
616Passes327
547Accurate passes243
28/45 (62%)Long balls34/64 (53%)
7/22 (32%)Crosses1/3 (0%)
18Throw-ins21
Duels
48Duels52
34/71 (48%)Ground duels37/71 (52%)
14/28 (50%)Aerial duels14/28 (50%)
7/17 (41%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
15Tackles16
80Tackles won50
11Interceptions13
14Clearances40
44Recoveries35
Discipline
14Fouls12
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
0Big saves1
3Goal kicks13
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Benfica to win 82% · 1.36 @ William Hill
Who winsBenfica to win (DNB) 91% · 1.04 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 2.62 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.50 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.62 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.38 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.30 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.92 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 12% · 4.45 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 2.22 @ 1xBet
1X2Estoril to win 6% · 10.70 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.12
Benfica
9.60
Draw
17.00
Estoril Praia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.02
Benfica or Draw
1.06
Benfica or Estoril Praia
5.75
Draw or Estoril Praia
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes
1.77
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
1.85
YES
1.85
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
15.00
YES
1.02
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
1.98
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
35.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
26.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.07
Over 1.50
7.85
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.26
Over 2.50
3.55
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.73
Over 3.50
2.10
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.63
Over 4.50
1.47
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.02
Benfica
12.00
Estoril Praia
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.88
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.31
Over 8.50
2.85
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.46
Over 9.50
2.30
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Benfica to win or draw
✓
94% confidence
Benfica to avoid defeat
✓
91% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
86% confidence
Benfica win
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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