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Vasco Seabra
FC Arouca
CS Marítimo
FC Arouca
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
CS Marítimo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
79918 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
78.7%
-20.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.1%
+12.0 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
9.4%
+8.4 vs price
Half time
303 EUR
Draw
2.22 · implied 45.0%
99.9%
+54.9 vs price
Home
0.0%
Away
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
44411 EUR · live
Under
3.45 · implied 29.0%
86.1%
+57.1 vs price
Over
1.4 · implied 71.4%
13.9%
-57.5 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
27'
⚽
M. Tejón0–1
44'
R. Guzzo · Argument
44'
⚽
E. v. Ee · assist A. Trezza1–1
Half-time · 1–1
55'
⚽
I. Barbero · assist P. Gozálbez2–1
62'
🔁
S. Bamba ◂ B. Limbombe
70'
🔁
B. Mansilla ◂ I. Barbero
70'
🔁
D. Nandín ◂ A. Trezza
75'
D. Nandín · Simulation
78'
🔁
M. Boakye ◂ V. Danilović
78'
🔁
I. Ayuma ◂ A. Butzke
79'
🔁
P. S. Carvalho ◂ E. v. Ee
79'
🔁
M. Flores ◂ P. Gozálbez
87'
🔁
N. Varela ◂ R. Fernandes
87'
🔁
M. Climent ◂ N. Djouahra
Full-time · 2–1
90'+2
J. Sánchez · Time wasting
Coaches
Mitchell van der Gaag 
Recent form
LAFC Porto0-2
WHMoreirense4-0
WAVitória SC1-0
WALusitânia Lourosa2-0
LASanta Clara0-3
DHAcadémico Viseu FC2-2
WAFamalicão2-1
WHCasa Pia1-0
WHAD Camacha2-0
WHLeixões SC3-2
Where to watch
Sport TV3
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
City
Arouca
Kickoff
29 Aug, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
12
I. de Arruabarrena
7.2
28
T. Esgaio
6.7
15
J. Sánchez
7.1
3
J. Fontán
7.0
18
O. Lebedenko
6.7
21
M. Flores
6.6
↑ 79'
8
T. Fukui
7.3
23
D. Nandín
6.4
↑ 70'
89
P. S. Carvalho
6.7
↑ 79'
37
M. Climent
6.7
↑ 87'
24
B. Mansilla
6.7
↑ 70'
13
A. Pastor
7.6
2
I. Julião
6.1
5
N. Varela
6.7
↑ 87'
44
R. Correia
7.3
23
P. Henrique
6.7
6
R. Andrade
6.3
66
I. Ayuma
7.0
↑ 78'
27
S. Bamba
6.6
↑ 62'
14
R. Guzzo
6.1
10
M. Tejón
8.1
90
M. Boakye
6.6
↑ 78'
Substitutes
71GM. Duarte
1GJ. Vinarčík
4DD. Monteiro
5DB. Popović
6ME. v. Ee↓ 79'8.1
10MP. Gozálbez↓ 79'7.2
19MA. Trezza↓ 70'6.7
7MN. Djouahra↓ 87'6.5
14MH. Lee
17FI. Barbero↓ 70'7.3
77FS. Park
9FF. Mayulu
Coach: Vasco Seabra
Substitutes
1GG. Tabuaço
30GF. Vieites
4DR. Fernandes↓ 87'6.3
22DG. Szalai
18MV. Danilović↓ 78'6.9
35MB. Limbombe↓ 62'6.3
16MF. Silva
68MN. Batista
21MI. Alani
17FA. Butzke↓ 78'6.0
Coach: Mitchell van der Gaag
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.65Expected goals (xG)0.67
17Total shots12
7Shots on target4
2Big chances1
2Corners3
Shots
8Shots off target5
2Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box8
7Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
-0.35Goals prevented0.34
Attack
25Touches in box21
77Final third entries67
9Free kicks8
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
491Passes456
419Accurate passes372
15/42 (36%)Long balls46/78 (59%)
6/20 (30%)Crosses5/19 (26%)
18Throw-ins31
Duels
48Duels52
23/49 (47%)Ground duels26/49 (53%)
16/33 (48%)Aerial duels17/33 (52%)
4/13 (31%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)
5Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles14
67Tackles won64
6Interceptions4
36Clearances22
53Recoveries41
Discipline
8Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
6Goal kicks14
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsMarítimo to win (DNB) 57% · 2.62 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 72% · 1.25 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.15 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 60% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 29% · 2.40 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.28 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ Bet365
1X2Arouca to win 43% · 2.60 @ Bet365
1X2Marítimo to win 28% · 3.66 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.30 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.97 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.16
FC Arouca
3.25
Draw
3.35
CS Marítimo
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
FC Arouca or Draw
1.30
FC Arouca or CS Marítimo
1.62
Draw or CS Marítimo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes
1.91
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.65
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.50
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.70
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.12
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50
2.97
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.71
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.77
Over 3.50
1.24
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.52
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.53
FC Arouca
2.38
CS Marítimo
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.53
Over 7.50
2.33
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.91
Over 8.50
1.86
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.38
Over 9.50
1.47
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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