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Pepa
CF Estrela Amadora
Famalicão
CF Estrela Amadora
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Famalicão
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
74695 EUR · live
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
73.9%
-21.4 vs price
Away
34.0 · implied 2.9%
15.9%
+13.0 vs price
Home
130.0 · implied 0.8%
10.2%
+9.5 vs price
Half time
696 EUR · live
Away
1.08 · implied 92.6%
50.3%
-42.3 vs price
Draw
8.2 · implied 12.2%
46.4%
+34.2 vs price
Home
55.0 · implied 1.8%
3.2%
+1.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
31526 EUR · live
Over
2.02 · implied 49.5%
67.9%
+18.4 vs price
Under
1.97 · implied 50.8%
32.1%
-18.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3779 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.6%
-12.4 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
13.4%
+8.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
2'
⚽
G. Koutsias · assist M. D. Amorim0–1
29'
M. Scholze · Foul
32'
🔁
Robinho ◂ E. P. Vanga
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
B. Souza ◂ I. Stoica
53'
Robinho · Foul
57'
⚽
L. Antonetti · assist B. Souza1–1
66'
M. Peña · Foul
68'
🔁
G. Dias ◂ R. Beney
68'
🔁
P. Santos ◂ M. Peña
69'
⚽
M. Scholze2–1
74'
🔁
Ó. Aranda ◂ Sorriso
74'
🔁
L. Meyer ◂ P. Bondo
80'
⚽
G. Koutsias (pen)2–2
81'
🔁
J. Encada ◂ M. Scholze
83'
🔁
U. Abubakar ◂ G. Koutsias
89'
🔁
A. S. d. Jesus ◂ L. Antonetti
89'
🔁
J. Jordán ◂ Robinho
Full-time · 2–2
90'
L. Meyer · Foul
90'
D. Grilo · Argument
90'
Pepa · Argument
Coaches
PepaCarlos Carvalhal 
Recent form
CF Estrela AmadoraWACD Nacional3-2
DAFC Alverca2-2
DHSporting CP2-2
WHAl-Nassr4-2
WHLusitano Ginásio Clube1-0
FamalicãoDHGil Vicente0-0
LASanta Clara0-1
LHCS Marítimo1-2
DAEstoril Praia1-1
DHCrystal Palace0-0
Where to watch
Sportdigital+
Sport TV2
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio José Gomes
City
Amadora
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
CF Estrela Amadora
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Famalicão
24
L. Linck
7.2
17
J. Encada
7.0
↑ 81'
30
Luan Patrick
7.1
5
S. Leković
6.6
55
R. Soares
6.4
39
E. Doué
6.9
8
Robinho
6.0
↑ 32'
99
A. Marcus
6.4
14
L. Zvonarek
6.6
93
B. Souza
6.8
↑ 46'
80
A. S. d. Jesus
↑ 89'
25
L. Carević
6.0
17
R. Pinheiro
6.9
3
L. Realpe
6.4
4
F. v. Breemen
7.1
5
L. Meyer
6.7
↑ 74'
14
M. D. Amorim
6.5
23
G. Dias
6.4
↑ 68'
10
P. Santos
6.4
↑ 68'
19
P. Moreira
6.6
11
Ó. Aranda
6.5
↑ 74'
9
U. Abubakar
6.4
↑ 83'
Substitutes
22GD. Grilo
51GD. Pinto
21DM. Scholze↓ 81'6.9
3DL. M. Davin
4DB. Schappo
79DA. Chernev
71ME. P. Vanga↓ 32'6.1
19MJ. Jordán↑ 89'
78MS. Serra
37FL. Antonetti↓ 89'8.0
10FI. Stoica↓ 46'6.4
72FH. Poniewas
Coach: Pepa
Substitutes
1GI. Zlobin
28DP. Bondo↓ 74'6.3
36DM. Mattara
15DV. Rofino
2DG. García
7MSorriso↓ 74'6.8
8MM. Peña↓ 68'6.7
24MM. Jangeal
21MT. Szűcs
70FG. Koutsias↓ 83'7.8
18FR. Beney↓ 68'6.5
33FP. Salas
Coach: Carlos Carvalhal
Top stats
41%Possession59%
0.94Expected goals (xG)1.8
14Total shots14
4Shots on target4
1Big chances2
5Corners5
Shots
7Shots off target7
3Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box6
4Shots outside box8
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
0.15Goals prevented-1.06
Attack
17Touches in box25
36Final third entries67
9Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
300Passes450
243Accurate passes381
14/32 (44%)Long balls15/44 (34%)
8/15 (53%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
20Throw-ins17
Duels
53Duels47
41/77 (53%)Ground duels36/77 (47%)
9/17 (53%)Aerial duels8/17 (47%)
8/19 (42%)Dribbles7/26 (27%)
7Dispossessed5
Defending
24Tackles18
50Tackles won61
9Interceptions6
30Clearances22
44Recoveries41
Discipline
11Fouls9
3Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
1Big saves0
11Goal kicks7
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsFamalicão to win (DNB) 59% · 1.78 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.14 @ William Hill
1X2Famalicão to win 38% · 2.87 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 30% · 2.33 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.67 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.70 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 2.05 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.35 @ Unibet
1X2Estrela Amadora to win 32% · 3.35 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.87
CF Estrela Amadora
3.18
Draw
2.48
Famalicão
Double Chanceconsensus
1.53
CF Estrela Amadora or Draw
1.30
CF Estrela Amadora or Famalicão
1.36
Draw or Famalicão
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.88
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.30
YES
1.28
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.75
YES
1.40
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.88
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.95
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
2.92
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.15
Over 2.50
1.67
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.10
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.98
CF Estrela Amadora
1.72
Famalicão
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.25
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.51
Over 8.50
2.28
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.84
Over 9.50
1.90
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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