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Sérgio Ricardo Oliveira Ferreira
FC Alverca
Sporting Braga
FC Alverca
3-4-3 · 3-4-3
Sporting Braga
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
235148 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
76.4%
-20.7 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
19.2%
+19.1 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
4.5%
+1.5 vs price
Half time
873 EUR · live
Away
3.2 · implied 31.2%
51.0%
+19.7 vs price
Draw
1.74 · implied 57.5%
30.5%
-27.0 vs price
Home
9.6 · implied 10.4%
18.3%
+7.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
38479 EUR · live
Under
2.84 · implied 35.2%
67.7%
+32.5 vs price
Over
1.54 · implied 64.9%
32.3%
-32.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5767 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
97.9%
-0.1 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
2.1%
+0.1 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
27'
⚽
Chiquinho (pen)1–0
40'
A. Bajrami · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
45'+3
Ian Luccas · Foul
46'
🔁
F. Navarro ◂ D. Rodrigues
46'
🔁
S. Barcia ◂ A. Bajrami
46'
🔁
G. Martínez ◂ D. Travassos
50'
⚽
P. Víctor · assist D. E. Tıknaz1–1
53'
🔁
D. Camara ◂ V. Semedo
53'
🔁
D. Gui ◂ R. Lucas
57'
⚽
P. Víctor1–2
64'
🔁
T. Marqués ◂ M. Dorgeles
66'
P. Víctor · Foul
71'
🔁
Z. Kassary ◂ Ian Luccas
71'
🔁
A. Vidigal ◂ Figueiredo
83'
🔁
J. Milošević ◂ D. E. Tıknaz
83'
🔁
C. Nuozzi ◂ S. Gómez
87'
G. Martínez · Foul
Full-time · 1–2
90'+1
G. Lagerbielke · Foul
Coaches
Carlos Vicens 
Recent form
DHSanta Clara1-1
LASporting CP1-3
DHCF Estrela Amadora2-2
LAFC Porto0-2
LHCD Mafra0-1
WHVitória SC1-0
DAFK Austria Wien0-0
WHFK Austria Wien2-0
DADinamo Minsk0-0
DAMoreirense2-2
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 6
Disney+YouTube - N Sports
beIN Sports MAX 6
Sport TV4
Match facts
Stadium
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
City
Alverca do Ribatejo
Kickoff
05 Sep, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
31
M. Mendes
7.1
14
S. Baseya
6.5
11
C. Nuozzi
6.6
↑ 83'
4
Y. Bojang
6.3
27
T. Tamarit
6.5
7
A. Vidigal
6.5
↑ 71'
6
D. Gui
7.1
↑ 53'
12
I. James
6.5
10
Chiquinho
8.2
19
D. Camara
6.3
↑ 53'
18
Z. Kassary
6.8
↑ 71'
31
B. Fontes
6.5
14
G. Lagerbielke
6.6
6
V. Carvalho
7.2
22
S. Barcia
6.9
↑ 46'
2
V. Gómez
6.8
17
J. Milošević
6.8
↑ 83'
8
J. Moutinho
7.3
77
G. Martínez
6.1
↑ 46'
16
T. Marqués
6.7
↑ 64'
10
P. Víctor
8.3
9
F. Navarro
6.5
↑ 46'
Substitutes
91GJhonatan
21DS. Gómez↓ 83'6.3
20DD. Spencer
15DI. Julian
77DÓ. Torrellas
35MR. Lucas↓ 53'6.2
25MIan Luccas↓ 71'6.1
8MV. Moreira
93MZ. Rafael
22FFigueiredo↓ 71'7.2
9FV. Semedo↓ 53'5.7
17FS. Merheg
Coach: Sérgio Ricardo Oliveira Ferreira
Top stats
32%Possession68%
1.08Expected goals (xG)2.27
6Total shots16
2Shots on target6
2Big chances4
2Corners2
Shots
2Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
3Shots inside box8
3Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed2
0.51Goals prevented-0.2
Attack
12Touches in box21
41Final third entries85
2Offsides3
14Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
309Passes691
223Accurate passes617
23/59 (39%)Long balls21/45 (47%)
4/17 (24%)Crosses2/5 (40%)
22Throw-ins26
Duels
48Duels52
37/67 (55%)Ground duels30/67 (45%)
7/24 (29%)Aerial duels17/24 (71%)
5/9 (56%)Dribbles8/20 (40%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
18Tackles11
67Tackles won91
9Interceptions7
15Clearances27
48Recoveries55
Discipline
11Fouls15
1Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
8Goal kicks4
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsBraga to win (DNB) 65% · 1.36 @ Novibet
1X2Braga to win 53% · 2.20 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.29 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.15 @ 10bet
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.25 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 59% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.95 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.31 @ 1xBet
1X2Alverca to win 20% · 4.55 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.60
FC Alverca
3.50
Draw
1.77
Sporting Braga
Double Chanceconsensus
2.00
FC Alverca or Draw
1.25
FC Alverca or Sporting Braga
1.18
Draw or Sporting Braga
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.03
Yes
1.70
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.25
YES
1.57
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.87
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50
3.09
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.02
Over 2.50
1.76
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.61
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.97
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.30
FC Alverca
1.30
Sporting Braga
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.45
Over 7.50
2.41
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.84
Over 8.50
1.88
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.26
Over 9.50
1.50
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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