Sporting CP vs CD Nacional — live & stats

Where the money is

1262658 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 740126 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

96.5%

-2.5 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.9%

+1.8 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.6%

+1.5 vs price

Half time 3694 EUR

Home 1.45 · implied 69.0%

93.8%

+24.8 vs price

Draw 3.95 · implied 25.3%

4.0%

-21.3 vs price

Away 18.0 · implied 5.6%

2.2%

-3.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 326097 EUR · live

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

77.8%

-15.6 vs price

Over 15.0 · implied 6.7%

22.2%

+15.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1940 EUR

Under 1.31 · implied 76.3%

65.0%

-11.3 vs price

Over 4.2 · implied 23.8%

34.9%

+11.1 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

5' M. Araújo · Foul

20' S. Altimira · Foul

32' ⚽ L. J. Suárez (pen)1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 D. S. Brito ◂ L. Santos

48' M. Jensen · Foul

49' ⚽ F. Gonçalves · assist L. J. Suárez 2–0

62' 🔁 C. Labidi ◂ M. Jensen

62' 🔁 A. Obando ◂ P. Messias Cardozo

67' 🔁 F. Ioannidis ◂ L. J. Suárez

67' 🔁 N. Irankunda ◂ R. Zalazar

67' 🔁 L. Guilherme ◂ G. Catamo

73' 🔁 M. Djaló ◂ S. Gavriel

78' 🔁 G. Vagiannidis ◂ M. Araújo

80' 🔁 D. Júnior ◂ M. Baeza

87' 🔁 S. Andersen ◂ S. Altimira

Full-time · 2–0

Coaches

Rui Borges

Bruno Miguel Gonçalves Abreu

Recent form

Sporting CP

WARio Ave4-0

WHFC Alverca3-1

WHVitória SC3-2

DACF Estrela Amadora2-2

WHNottingham Forest4-1

CD Nacional

LHCF Estrela Amadora2-3

LAVitória SC0-1

WHEstoril Praia2-0

DASanta Clara2-2

LACF Estrela Amadora0-2

Where to watch

Claro Sports

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio José Alvalade

City

Lisbon

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro

4.48 yellows/match · 48 matches

Kickoff

05 Sep, 19:30 UTC

Competition

Liga Portugal Betclic

Highlights & clips

Sporting CP 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1 CD Nacional

1 R. Silva 7.5 22 I. Fresneda 7.4 6 Z. Debast 8.0 25 G. Inácio 7.4 13 G. Vagiannidis 6.7 ↑ 78' 4 S. Andersen ↑ 87' 77 I. Doumbia 7.9 31 L. Guilherme 7.0 ↑ 67' 19 N. Irankunda 6.4 ↑ 67' 58 F. Gonçalves 6.6 7 F. Ioannidis 6.5 ↑ 67' 1 R. B. Marin 7.6 88 D. S. Brito 6.7 ↑ 46' 33 F. Gonçalves 6.6 38 Zé Vitor 6.5 52 Wesley Gasolina 6.3 6 Matheus Dias 6.4 10 D. Júnior 6.6 ↑ 80' 21 W. Kokolo 6.3 20 M. Djaló 6.7 ↑ 73' 15 C. Labidi 7.0 ↑ 62' 9 A. Obando 6.3 ↑ 62'

Substitutes

30GKaique 20DM. Araújo↓ 78'7.1 72DQuaresma 50DR. Dias 5MS. Altimira↓ 87'7.3 10MG. Catamo↓ 67'7.1 21MP. Lima 28MJ. Derry 73ME. Felicíssimo 97FL. J. Suárez ↓ 67'7.5 17FR. Zalazar↓ 67'6.4 9FR. Nel

Coach: Rui Borges

Substitutes

50GKevyn 34DL. Santos↓ 46'6.1 8MM. Baeza↓ 80'6.9 11MS. Gavriel↓ 73'6.7 7MM. Jensen↓ 62'6.6 17MF. Nava 31MD. Dongmo 2MD. d. L. Cruz 99FP. Messias Cardozo↓ 62'6.5

Coach: Bruno Miguel Gonçalves Abreu

Top stats

67%Possession33%

3.0Expected goals (xG)0.08

19Total shots3

8Shots on target2

6Big chances0

12Corners0

Shots

10Shots off target0

1Blocked shots1

10Shots inside box0

9Shots outside box3

1Hit woodwork0

2Big chances scored0

4Big chances missed0

0.46Goals prevented0.34

Attack

31Touches in box3

60Final third entries26

1Offsides2

6Free kicks10

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

660Passes318

586Accurate passes255

28/45 (62%)Long balls19/52 (37%)

1/13 (0%)Crosses1/5 (20%)

17Throw-ins16

Duels

50Duels50

32/66 (48%)Ground duels34/66 (52%)

11/20 (55%)Aerial duels9/20 (45%)

9/18 (50%)Dribbles7/20 (35%)

9Dispossessed3

Defending

16Tackles18

81Tackles won56

2Interceptions12

7Clearances25

41Recoveries34

Discipline

10Fouls7

2Yellow cards1

Goalkeeping

2Saves6

1Big saves4

3Goal kicks10

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Sporting 78%

15%

Nacional 8%

1X2Sporting to win 78% · 1.57 @ Bet365

Who winsSporting to win (DNB) 90% · 1.06 @ Bwin

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.12 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.73 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 64%

BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.78 @ Betano

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59%

1X2Draw 15% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 57% · 1.73 @ Bet365

1X2Nacional to win 8% · 9.50 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.17

Sporting CP

6.25

Draw

12.00

CD Nacional

Double Chanceconsensus

1.05

Sporting CP or Draw

1.12

Sporting CP or CD Nacional

4.33

Draw or CD Nacional

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.00

Yes

1.73

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

19.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.12

Over 1.50

6.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.44

Over 2.50

2.70

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.00

Over 3.50

1.73

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.50

Over 4.50

1.29

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.04

Sporting CP

11.00

CD Nacional

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.73

Over 9.50

2.00

Under 9.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

1.57

Sporting CP

3.00

Draw

9.50

CD Nacional

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Sporting CP to win or draw

✓

92% confidence

Sporting CP to avoid defeat

✓

90% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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