CS Marítimo 1-2 FC Porto: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. CS Marítimo 1-2 FC Porto.

90+5'

R. Correia

Attempt blocked. R. Correia (CS Marítimo), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

90+5'

CS Marítimo

Corner, CS Marítimo.

90+1'

O. Pietuszewski

Attempt missed. O. Pietuszewski (FC Porto), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

90'

P. Henrique

Attempt saved. P. Henrique (CS Marítimo), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90'

M. Boakye

Attempt saved. M. Boakye (CS Marítimo), header from a throw-in. xG 0.06.

89'

I. Alani

Substitution, CS Marítimo: S. Bamba comes on for I. Alani.

87'

I. Julião

Yellow card for I. Julião (CS Marítimo) for foul.

84'

O. Pietuszewski

VAR: goal for FC Porto ruled out.

84'

O. Pietuszewski

Goal! CS Marítimo 1-2 FC Porto. O. Pietuszewski (FC Porto) scores, assisted by J. Kiwior.

81'

O. Pietuszewski

Attempt missed. O. Pietuszewski (FC Porto), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

79'

M. Tejón

Substitution, CS Marítimo: M. Boakye comes on for M. Tejón.

79'

Pepê

Substitution, FC Porto: O. Pietuszewski comes on for Pepê.

78'

A. Butzke

Substitution, CS Marítimo: M. Bassouamina comes on for A. Butzke.

75'

G. Veiga

Attempt missed. G. Veiga (FC Porto), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

73'

G. Veiga

Attempt missed. G. Veiga (FC Porto), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

71'

FC Porto

Offside, FC Porto.

66'

T. Tavares

Substitution, CS Marítimo: S. Bouzaidi comes on for T. Tavares.

66'

M. Dominguez

Substitution, CS Marítimo: R. Andrade comes on for M. Dominguez.

66'

A. Silva

Substitution, FC Porto: S. Aghehowa comes on for A. Silva.

66'

FC Porto

Offside, FC Porto.

65'

G. Veiga

Attempt saved. G. Veiga (FC Porto), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

62'

V. Froholdt

Attempt missed. V. Froholdt (FC Porto), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

62'

A. Costa

Attempt saved. A. Costa (FC Porto), header from a corner. xG 0.21.

61'

FC Porto

Corner, FC Porto.

61'

V. Froholdt

Attempt saved. V. Froholdt (FC Porto), header. xG 0.13.

60'

A. Silva

Attempt missed. A. Silva (FC Porto), header. xG 0.28.

57'

Pepê

Yellow card for Pepê (FC Porto) for foul.

55'

W. Gomes

Substitution, FC Porto: B. Sainz comes on for W. Gomes.

54'

H. In-beom

Substitution, FC Porto: G. Veiga comes on for H. In-beom.

48'

Pepê

Attempt missed. Pepê (FC Porto), header. xG 0.03.

47'

Pepê

Attempt blocked. Pepê (FC Porto), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

47'

F. Moura

Attempt saved. F. Moura (FC Porto), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

47'

FC Porto

Corner, FC Porto.

46'

FC Porto

Corner, FC Porto.

46'

A. Varela

Substitution, FC Porto: P. Rosario comes on for A. Varela.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. CS Marítimo 1-1 FC Porto.

45+2'

I. Julião

Attempt missed. I. Julião (CS Marítimo), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

45+1'

CS Marítimo

Corner, CS Marítimo.

45'

1 minute of added time.

42'

F. Moura

Attempt saved. F. Moura (FC Porto), header. xG 0.18.

42'

V. Froholdt

Goal! CS Marítimo 1-1 FC Porto. V. Froholdt (FC Porto) scores.

39'

M. Tejón

Attempt blocked. M. Tejón (CS Marítimo), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

36'

A. Varela

Yellow card for A. Varela (FC Porto) for foul.

35'

A. Silva

Cleared off the line! A. Silva (FC Porto), header. xG 0.07.

27'

FC Porto

Corner, FC Porto.

27'

A. Costa

Attempt saved. A. Costa (FC Porto), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

25'

W. Gomes

Attempt blocked. W. Gomes (FC Porto), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

22'

W. Gomes

Attempt blocked. W. Gomes (FC Porto), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

22'

FC Porto

Corner, FC Porto.

16'

G. Szalai

Goal! CS Marítimo 1-0 FC Porto. G. Szalai (CS Marítimo) scores, assisted by M. Dominguez.

12'

G. Szalai

Attempt saved. G. Szalai (CS Marítimo), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

3'

FC Porto

Corner, FC Porto.

1'

Kick-off: CS Marítimo vs FC Porto.

Where the money is

1553598 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1134534 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

90.6%

-8.4 vs price

Draw 55.0 · implied 1.8%

6.1%

+4.3 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.3%

+3.2 vs price

Half time 5117 EUR · live

Away 8.8 · implied 11.4%

68.8%

+57.5 vs price

Home 1.75 · implied 57.1%

18.4%

-38.8 vs price

Draw 3.1 · implied 32.3%

12.8%

-19.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 151946 EUR · live

Over 2.34 · implied 42.7%

74.2%

+31.4 vs price

Under 1.73 · implied 57.8%

25.8%

-32.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2068 EUR · live

Under 1.19 · implied 84.0%

60.5%

-23.5 vs price

Over 6.4 · implied 15.6%

39.5%

+23.8 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 4 clips

Player of the match

Match events

16' ⚽ G. Szalai · assist M. Dominguez1–0

36' A. Varela · Foul

42' ⚽ V. Froholdt1–1

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 P. Rosario ◂ A. Varela

54' 🔁 G. Veiga ◂ H. In-beom

55' 🔁 B. Sainz ◂ W. Gomes

57' Pepê · Foul

66' 🔁 S. Aghehowa ◂ A. Silva

66' 🔁 R. Andrade ◂ M. Dominguez

66' 🔁 S. Bouzaidi ◂ T. Tavares

78' 🔁 M. Bassouamina ◂ A. Butzke

79' 🔁 O. Pietuszewski ◂ Pepê

79' 🔁 M. Boakye ◂ M. Tejón

84' ⚽ O. Pietuszewski · assist J. Kiwior1–2

84' VAR Goal check · O. Pietuszewski

87' I. Julião · Foul

89' 🔁 S. Bamba ◂ I. Alani

Full-time · 1–2

Coaches

Mitchell van der Gaag

Francesco Farioli

Recent form

CS Marítimo

DAGil Vicente1-1

LAMoreirense1-3

LHBenfica0-3

LAFC Arouca1-2

DHAcadémico Viseu FC2-2

FC Porto

WADeportivo de A Coruña3-1

WHBenfica3-1

WACasa Pia4-1

LHManchester City0-2

WHMoreirense2-1

About this match

**Porto roll into Madeira looking absolutely unstoppable — Marítimo are in serious trouble.** 🔴⚪

Marítimo are winless in five and leaking goals for fun (just got battered 3-0 at home by Benfica). Porto, meanwhile, are on a different planet: four wins in their last five with ruthless attacking displays. The visitors have absolutely dominated this H2H over decades.

Key storylines:

- **Porto's devastating form** vs a Marítimo side desperately searching for solidity in defense
- **G. Veiga and Pepê** pulling strings in midfield and wing play while Marítimo scramble to contain
- **A. Pastor** and the backline under constant siege — holding the line will be the bare minimum

Expected lineups:

- **CS Marítimo**: A. Pastor, P. Henrique, R. Correia, R. Fernandes, I. Julião, R. Guzzo, V. Danilović, M. Tejón, A. Butzke, B. Limbombe
- **FC Porto**: D. Costa, Z. Sanusi, J. Kiwior, J. Bednarek, A. Costa, G. Veiga, P. Rosario, B. Sainz, A. Silva, Pepê

Prediction:

**Porto 3-0 Marítimo** — clean sheet incoming. Porto's class difference is just too much to ask Marítimo to handle right now.

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 5

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio do Maritimo

City

Funchal

Referee

Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves

5.02 yellows/match · 42 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 17:00 UTC

Competition

Liga Portugal Betclic

Highlights & clips

CS Marítimo 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3 FC Porto

30 F. Vieites 7.9 2 I. Julião 6.0 44 R. Correia 6.6 22 G. Szalai 7.6 23 P. Henrique 6.2 27 S. Bamba 6.8 ↑ 89' 14 R. Guzzo 7.4 11 S. Bouzaidi 6.6 ↑ 66' 6 R. Andrade 6.4 ↑ 66' 90 M. Boakye 6.6 ↑ 79' 12 M. Bassouamina 6.5 ↑ 78' 99 D. Costa 5.9 20 A. Costa 6.8 5 J. Bednarek 8.1 4 J. Kiwior 7.4 74 F. Moura 7.0 8 V. Froholdt 6.9 13 P. Rosario 7.0 ↑ 46' 10 G. Veiga 6.5 ↑ 54' 17 B. Sainz 7.1 ↑ 55' 9 S. Aghehowa 6.5 ↑ 66' 77 O. Pietuszewski 8.2 ↑ 79'

Substitutes

13GA. Pastor 1GG. Tabuaço 3DN. Ogbeta 4DR. Fernandes 15MT. Tavares↓ 66'6.9 21MI. Alani↓ 89'6.9 10MM. Tejón↓ 79'6.6 8MM. Dominguez↓ 66'6.4 35MB. Limbombe 66MI. Ayuma 18MV. Danilović 17FA. Butzke↓ 78'6.6

Coach: Mitchell van der Gaag

Substitutes

14GC. Ramos 6DC. Smalling 33DSouza 52DM. Fernandes 22MA. Varela↓ 46'6.8 16MH. In-beom↓ 54'6.7 37MG. Mec 42MS. Fofana 11FPepê↓ 79'7.1 7FW. Gomes↓ 55'6.8 19FA. Silva↓ 66'6.4 29FS. Giménez

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Top stats

42%Possession58%

0.19Expected goals (xG)2.13

7Total shots19

4Shots on target9

0Big chances5

2Corners6

Shots

1Shots off target7

2Blocked shots3

2Shots inside box15

5Shots outside box4

0Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed4

1.29Goals prevented-0.72

Attack

4Touches in box47

47Final third entries74

0Offsides2

15Free kicks15

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

308Passes420

221Accurate passes346

16/62 (26%)Long balls24/44 (55%)

0/11 (0%)Crosses7/32 (22%)

16Throw-ins20

Duels

48Duels52

43/81 (53%)Ground duels38/81 (47%)

20/49 (41%)Aerial duels29/49 (59%)

6/14 (43%)Dribbles7/21 (33%)

8Dispossessed8

Defending

22Tackles16

45Tackles won63

4Interceptions7

36Clearances28

37Recoveries43

Discipline

15Fouls15

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

7Saves3

1Big saves0

16Goal kicks4

2Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Marítimo 10%

18%

Porto 72%

1X2Porto to win 72% · 1.67 @ William Hill

Who winsPorto to win (DNB) 69% · 1.09 @ Betano

BTTSBTTS: No 58% · 1.18 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 73% · 1.38 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.80 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.20 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 18% · 2.88 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 50% · 1.83 @ Bet365

1X2Marítimo to win 10% · 8.00 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

9.50

CS Marítimo

5.25

Draw

1.30

FC Porto

Double Chanceconsensus

3.35

CS Marítimo or Draw

1.15

CS Marítimo or FC Porto

1.05

Draw or FC Porto

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.28

Yes

1.58

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

13.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

1.91

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

10.95

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.64

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.87

Over 2.50

1.96

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.13

Over 3.50

1.33

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.15

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

7.50

CS Marítimo

1.07

FC Porto

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.34

Over 7.50

2.72

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.69

Over 8.50

2.08

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.06

Over 9.50

1.69

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.60

Over 10.50

1.38

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.29

Over 11.50

1.20

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

FC Porto to win or draw

✓

90% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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