Famalicão 1-4 FC Alverca: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Famalicão 1-4 FC Alverca.

90+1'

Sorriso

Attempt missed. Sorriso (Famalicão), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

88'

Famalicão

Offside, Famalicão.

88'

M. D. Amorim

Attempt blocked. M. D. Amorim (Famalicão), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

88'

Famalicão

Corner, Famalicão.

85'

A. Vidigal

Goal! Famalicão 1-4 FC Alverca. A. Vidigal (FC Alverca) converts the penalty.

81'

Z. Rafael

Attempt blocked. Z. Rafael (FC Alverca), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

81'

R. Lucas

Attempt missed. R. Lucas (FC Alverca), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

81'

FC Alverca

Corner, FC Alverca.

80'

A. Vidigal

Attempt missed. A. Vidigal (FC Alverca), header. xG 0.44.

80'

I. James

Substitution, FC Alverca: M. Jemide comes on for I. James.

79'

Matheus França

Attempt missed. Matheus França (FC Alverca), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.24.

78'

G. Koutsias

Substitution, Famalicão: U. Abubakar comes on for G. Koutsias.

77'

V. Semedo

Goal! Famalicão 1-3 FC Alverca. V. Semedo (FC Alverca) scores, assisted by M. Mendes.

74'

Chiquinho

Substitution, FC Alverca: Matheus França comes on for Chiquinho.

74'

Figueiredo

Substitution, FC Alverca: V. Semedo comes on for Figueiredo.

72'

Famalicão

Corner, Famalicão.

71'

T. Van De Looi

Attempt blocked. T. Van De Looi (Famalicão), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

71'

L. Realpe

Attempt blocked. L. Realpe (Famalicão), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

66'

D. Camara

Substitution, FC Alverca: A. Vidigal comes on for D. Camara.

66'

D. Gui

Substitution, FC Alverca: Z. Rafael comes on for D. Gui.

65'

T. Szűcs

Substitution, Famalicão: T. Van De Looi comes on for T. Szűcs.

65'

P. Bondo

Substitution, Famalicão: P. Salas comes on for P. Bondo.

65'

M. Peña

Substitution, Famalicão: P. Santos comes on for M. Peña.

64'

M. Peña

Attempt blocked. M. Peña (Famalicão), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

59'

Sorriso

Attempt missed. Sorriso (Famalicão), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

56'

Figueiredo

Goal! Famalicão 1-2 FC Alverca. Figueiredo (FC Alverca) scores, assisted by D. Spencer.

54'

D. Camara

Attempt missed. D. Camara (FC Alverca), header. xG 0.05.

52'

G. Koutsias

Attempt missed. G. Koutsias (Famalicão), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

48'

G. Koutsias

Attempt saved. G. Koutsias (Famalicão), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Famalicão 1-1 FC Alverca.

45+2'

D. Spencer

Yellow card for D. Spencer (FC Alverca) for foul.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

44'

D. Camara

Attempt blocked. D. Camara (FC Alverca), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

44'

S. Baseya

Attempt missed. S. Baseya (FC Alverca), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

44'

FC Alverca

Corner, FC Alverca.

42'

M. D. Amorim

Attempt blocked. M. D. Amorim (Famalicão), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

42'

T. Szűcs

Attempt missed. T. Szűcs (Famalicão), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

42'

Famalicão

Corner, Famalicão.

41'

Famalicão

Corner, Famalicão.

39'

V. Rofino

Goal! Famalicão 1-1 FC Alverca. V. Rofino (Famalicão) scores, assisted by M. Peña.

39'

Famalicão

Corner, Famalicão.

38'

Chiquinho

Attempt blocked. Chiquinho (FC Alverca), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

37'

M. D. Amorim

Yellow card for M. D. Amorim (Famalicão) for foul.

37'

Famalicão

Corner, Famalicão.

34'

F. Chissumba

Yellow card for F. Chissumba (FC Alverca) for foul.

33'

D. Camara

Attempt saved. D. Camara (FC Alverca), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.37.

20'

M. Mattara

Substitution, Famalicão: L. Realpe comes on for M. Mattara.

17'

M. Mattara

Attempt missed. M. Mattara (Famalicão), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

16'

P. Bondo

Attempt blocked. P. Bondo (Famalicão), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

14'

Chiquinho

Goal! Famalicão 0-1 FC Alverca. Chiquinho (FC Alverca) scores.

13'

V. Rofino

Yellow card for V. Rofino (Famalicão) for foul.

11'

P. Bondo

Yellow card for P. Bondo (Famalicão) for foul.

10'

R. Lucas

Attempt missed. R. Lucas (FC Alverca), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.09.

9'

FC Alverca

Corner, FC Alverca.

6'

Famalicão

Offside, Famalicão.

3'

Famalicão

Corner, Famalicão.

2'

Famalicão

Corner, Famalicão.

1'

Kick-off: Famalicão vs FC Alverca.

Where the money is

228080 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 153760 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

55.4%

-43.6 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

30.5%

+30.4 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

14.1%

+14.0 vs price

Half time 1105 EUR · live

Draw 2.24 · implied 44.6%

61.1%

+16.4 vs price

Away 5.2 · implied 19.2%

36.3%

+17.1 vs price

Home 2.72 · implied 36.8%

2.5%

-34.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 17837 EUR · live

Over 1.51 · implied 66.2%

55.9%

-10.3 vs price

Under 2.96 · implied 33.8%

44.1%

+10.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2212 EUR · live

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

97.0%

+3.5 vs price

Over 16.0 · implied 6.2%

3.0%

-3.3 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 6 clips

Player of the match

Match events

11' P. Bondo · Foul

13' V. Rofino · Foul

14' ⚽ Chiquinho0–1

20' 🔁 L. Realpe ◂ M. Mattara

34' F. Chissumba · Foul

37' M. D. Amorim · Foul

39' ⚽ V. Rofino · assist M. Peña1–1

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺² D. Spencer · Foul

56' ⚽ Figueiredo · assist D. Spencer1–2

65' 🔁 P. Santos ◂ M. Peña

65' 🔁 P. Salas ◂ P. Bondo

65' 🔁 T. Van De Looi ◂ T. Szűcs

66' 🔁 Z. Rafael ◂ D. Gui

66' 🔁 A. Vidigal ◂ D. Camara

74' 🔁 V. Semedo ◂ Figueiredo

74' 🔁 Matheus França ◂ Chiquinho

77' ⚽ V. Semedo · assist M. Mendes1–3

78' 🔁 U. Abubakar ◂ G. Koutsias

80' 🔁 M. Jemide ◂ I. James

85' ⚽ A. Vidigal (pen)1–4

Full-time · 1–4

Coaches

Carlos Carvalhal

Sérgio Ricardo Oliveira Ferreira

Recent form

Famalicão

WACD Nacional4-0

DHSporting CP1-1

DACF Estrela Amadora2-2

DHGil Vicente0-0

LASanta Clara0-1

FC Alverca

WHRio Ave1-0

WACD Nacional3-1

LHSporting Braga1-2

DHSanta Clara1-1

LASporting CP1-3

About this match

**Famalicão's home fortress meets a streaky Alverca side** — the hosts are unbeaten at the Estádio Municipal and looking to bounce back from a stuttering draw, while the visitors just can't find consistency. 🏟️

Famalicão have mixed solidity with frustration (1W 3D 1L), though they've posted that thumping 4-0 away win over CD Nacional. Alverca have the wins (2W in five) but also the wobbles — a 1-2 loss to Braga hurts their momentum. H2H favors Famalicão, who've taken two of the last three meetings.

Key storylines:

- **Famalicão's attack** relies on G. Koutsias and T. Van De Looi to break down a compact 3-4-3
- **Alverca's back line** (S. Baseya, Y. Bojang, S. Gómez) has to handle the home press without conceding in transitions
- R. Beney's red-card suspension is a blow; Famalicão need midfield control from M. D. Amorim and M. Peña

Expected lineups:

- **Famalicão**: L. Carević, P. Bondo, F. v. Breemen, L. Realpe, R. Pinheiro, M. D. Amorim, M. Peña, Sorriso, T. Van De Looi, G. Dias, G. Koutsias
- **FC Alverca**: M. Mendes, S. Baseya, Y. Bojang, S. Gómez, I. James, Chiquinho, Ian Luccas, D. Gui, Figueiredo, V. Semedo, N. Touaizi

Prediction:

**Famalicão 2–1 FC Alverca**

Home edge in a cagey matchup — Famalicão slight favorite to edge it. ⚽

Where to watch

Disney+

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio Municipal de Famalicão

City

Vila Nova de Famalicao

Referee

Sergio Guelho

4.68 yellows/match · 28 matches

Kickoff

12 Oct, 19:15 UTC

Competition

Liga Portugal Betclic

Highlights & clips

Famalicão 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3 FC Alverca

25 L. Carević 5.2 17 R. Pinheiro 6.5 3 L. Realpe 6.3 ↑ 20' 15 V. Rofino 6.9 10 P. Santos 7.5 ↑ 65' 6 T. Van De Looi 6.4 ↑ 65' 33 P. Salas 6.4 ↑ 65' 23 G. Dias 5.9 14 M. D. Amorim 7.3 7 Sorriso 6.9 9 U. Abubakar 6.6 ↑ 78' 31 M. Mendes 6.7 14 S. Baseya 6.7 21 S. Gómez 7.0 24 M. Jemide 6.7 ↑ 80' 20 D. Spencer 7.4 35 R. Lucas 6.3 7 A. Vidigal 6.8 ↑ 66' 55 F. Chissumba 6.1 9 V. Semedo 7.9 ↑ 74' 93 Z. Rafael 6.7 ↑ 66' 26 Matheus França 7.1 ↑ 74'

Substitutes

1GI. Zlobin 22GG. Cabral 36DM. Mattara↓ 20'6.4 28DP. Bondo↓ 65'6.3 30DV. Serafimović 2DG. García 8MM. Peña↓ 65'7.6 21MT. Szűcs↓ 65'6.9 19MP. Moreira 24MM. Jangeal 70FG. Koutsias↓ 78'6.4

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Substitutes

91GJhonatan 27DT. Tamarit 4DY. Bojang 6MD. Gui↓ 66'6.8 12MI. James↓ 80'6.6 8MV. Moreira 2MN. Touaizi 10FChiquinho↓ 74'8.5 22FFigueiredo↓ 74'8.2 19FD. Camara↓ 66'6.5 17FS. Merheg 11FC. Nuozzi

Coach: Sérgio Ricardo Oliveira Ferreira

Top stats

65%Possession35%

0.36Expected goals (xG)2.89

13Total shots14

2Shots on target5

1Big chances6

8Corners3

Shots

5Shots off target6

6Blocked shots3

5Shots inside box10

8Shots outside box4

1Big chances scored3

0Big chances missed3

-1.61Goals prevented-0.26

Attack

15Touches in box21

57Final third entries42

2Offsides0

27Free kicks10

7Fouled in final third3

Passing

540Passes301

469Accurate passes238

24/38 (63%)Long balls20/48 (42%)

5/24 (21%)Crosses4/7 (57%)

21Throw-ins13

Duels

56Duels44

59/102 (58%)Ground duels43/102 (42%)

8/18 (44%)Aerial duels10/18 (56%)

5/14 (36%)Dribbles10/20 (50%)

13Dispossessed17

Defending

27Tackles22

59Tackles won59

9Interceptions12

18Clearances26

42Recoveries45

Discipline

11Fouls27

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves1

4Goal kicks6

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Famalicão 50%

28%

Alverca 22%

Who winsFamalicão to win (DNB) 64% · 1.40 @ Unibet

1X2Famalicão to win 50% · 2.25 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 28% · 2.45 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.32 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.60 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.52 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.93 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ William Hill

1X2Alverca to win 22% · 4.40 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.85

Famalicão

3.31

Draw

4.25

FC Alverca

Double Chanceconsensus

1.20

Famalicão or Draw

1.30

Famalicão or FC Alverca

1.89

Draw or FC Alverca

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.80

Yes

1.91

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.10

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.30

Over 1.50

3.25

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.01

Over 2.50

1.80

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.56

Over 3.50

1.26

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.50

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.35

Famalicão

3.00

FC Alverca

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.10

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.48

Over 8.50

2.39

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.86

Over 9.50

1.90

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.30

Over 10.50

1.52

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.85

Over 11.50

1.31

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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