Sporting Braga 1-3 Sporting CP: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Sporting Braga 1-3 Sporting CP.

90+5'

V. Gómez

Attempt missed. V. Gómez (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

90+4'

Sporting Braga

Corner, Sporting Braga.

90+4'

J. Wind

Attempt saved. J. Wind (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

90+4'

M. Dorgeles

Attempt saved. M. Dorgeles (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

90+3'

Sporting CP

Offside, Sporting CP.

90+2'

Sporting Braga

Corner, Sporting Braga.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

89'

S. Barcia

Yellow card for S. Barcia (Sporting Braga) for argument.

89'

F. Gonçalves

Yellow card for F. Gonçalves (Sporting CP) for argument.

86'

Sporting CP

Offside, Sporting CP.

85'

F. Navarro

Attempt missed. F. Navarro (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

84'

A. Bajrami

Substitution, Sporting Braga: F. Navarro comes on for A. Bajrami.

84'

R. Zalazar

Substitution, Sporting CP: J. Simões comes on for R. Zalazar.

82'

R. Zalazar

Goal! Sporting Braga 1-3 Sporting CP. R. Zalazar (Sporting CP) scores, assisted by G. Catamo.

79'

T. Marqués

Attempt blocked. T. Marqués (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

79'

N. Irankunda

Substitution, Sporting CP: F. Gonçalves comes on for N. Irankunda.

75'

S. Altimira

Attempt missed. S. Altimira (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

75'

S. Altimira

Attempt missed. S. Altimira (Sporting CP), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

75'

M. Araújo

Attempt missed. M. Araújo (Sporting CP), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

75'

Sporting CP

Corner, Sporting CP.

74'

J. Moutinho

Substitution, Sporting Braga: T. Marqués comes on for J. Moutinho.

74'

P. Víctor

Substitution, Sporting Braga: J. Wind comes on for P. Víctor.

71'

B. Fontes

Goal! Sporting Braga 1-2 Sporting CP. Own goal by B. Fontes.

67'

Gabriel Silva

Substitution, Sporting Braga: G. Martínez comes on for Gabriel Silva.

66'

D. Huseinbašić

Substitution, Sporting Braga: M. Dorgeles comes on for D. Huseinbašić.

66'

L. J. Suárez

Goal! Sporting Braga 1-1 Sporting CP. L. J. Suárez (Sporting CP) scores, assisted by N. Irankunda.

61'

S. Barcia

Attempt missed. S. Barcia (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

61'

V. Carvalho

Attempt blocked. V. Carvalho (Sporting Braga), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

59'

F. Ioannidis

Substitution, Sporting CP: L. J. Suárez comes on for F. Ioannidis.

58'

G. Vagiannidis

Substitution, Sporting CP: M. Araújo comes on for G. Vagiannidis.

58'

S. Andersen

Substitution, Sporting CP: R. Zalazar comes on for S. Andersen.

52'

P. Víctor

Attempt saved. P. Víctor (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot. xG 0.34.

52'

Gabriel Silva

Cleared off the line! Gabriel Silva (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot. xG 0.44.

50'

G. Catamo

Attempt missed. G. Catamo (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.21.

49'

D. Huseinbašić

Attempt blocked. D. Huseinbašić (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

48'

R. Horta

Attempt blocked. R. Horta (Sporting Braga), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

48'

Sporting Braga

Corner, Sporting Braga.

47'

P. Víctor

Attempt blocked. P. Víctor (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

47'

Sporting Braga

Corner, Sporting Braga.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Sporting Braga 1-0 Sporting CP.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

41'

D. Huseinbašić

Off the woodwork! D. Huseinbašić (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

41'

R. Silva

Goal! Sporting Braga 1-0 Sporting CP. Own goal by R. Silva.

37'

Sporting Braga

Corner, Sporting Braga.

35'

G. Catamo

Attempt missed. G. Catamo (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

24'

I. Doumbia

Attempt missed. I. Doumbia (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

19'

G. Vagiannidis

Attempt saved. G. Vagiannidis (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

19'

Sporting CP

Corner, Sporting CP.

14'

D. Huseinbašić

Attempt blocked. D. Huseinbašić (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

9'

R. Horta

Attempt missed. R. Horta (Sporting Braga), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

1'

Kick-off: Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP.

Where the money is

1052084 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 632446 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

57.0%

-42.0 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

36.0%

+35.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

8.4%

+8.3 vs price

Half time 972 EUR · live

Draw 2.16 · implied 46.3%

90.3%

+44.0 vs price

Home 4.0 · implied 25.0%

5.7%

-19.3 vs price

Away 3.3 · implied 30.3%

3.9%

-26.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 74807 EUR · live

Under 2.16 · implied 46.3%

65.9%

+19.6 vs price

Over 1.85 · implied 54.1%

34.1%

-20.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2460 EUR · live

Under 1.08 · implied 92.6%

90.7%

-1.9 vs price

Over 14.0 · implied 7.1%

9.2%

+2.1 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 6 clips

Player of the match

Match events

41' ⚽ R. Silva1–0

Half-time · 1–0

58' 🔁 R. Zalazar ◂ S. Andersen

58' 🔁 M. Araújo ◂ G. Vagiannidis

59' 🔁 L. J. Suárez ◂ F. Ioannidis

66' 🔁 M. Dorgeles ◂ D. Huseinbašić

66' ⚽ L. J. Suárez · assist N. Irankunda1–1

67' 🔁 G. Martínez ◂ Gabriel Silva

71' ⚽ B. Fontes1–2

74' 🔁 J. Wind ◂ P. Víctor

74' 🔁 T. Marqués ◂ J. Moutinho

79' 🔁 F. Gonçalves ◂ N. Irankunda

82' ⚽ R. Zalazar · assist G. Catamo1–3

84' 🔁 J. Simões ◂ R. Zalazar

84' 🔁 F. Navarro ◂ A. Bajrami

89' F. Gonçalves · Argument

89' S. Barcia · Argument

Full-time · 1–3

Coaches

Carlos Vicens

Rui Borges

Recent form

Sporting Braga

DASanta Clara0-0

WHEstoril Praia1-0

LACF Estrela Amadora1-2

WAFC Alverca2-1

WHVitória SC1-0

Sporting CP

DHFC Arouca2-2

DAFamalicão1-1

WHGalatasaray3-1

WHCD Nacional2-0

WARio Ave4-0

About this match

**Two in-form sides collide in Braga**, and this could get properly spicy—Sporting CP have been rock-solid (3W-2D), but **Braga won't back down** with their own winning run and home advantage. 🔥

Sporting CP's draw habit (2 in their last 5) might actually be the tell here. Braga at home under the lights? That's live energy. Meanwhile, Sporting's missing Debast to suspension—a defensive wrinkle in an otherwise clean sheet machine.

Key storylines:

- **Sporting CP's depth vs Braga's home form**: Lisbon's been unbeaten but lukewarm lately; Braga burnt them before and have momentum
- **P. Víctor and F. Navarro vs R. Silva's backline**: Braga's attacking duo could test a Sporting defense missing key cover
- **Midfield battle**: V. Carvalho and J. Moutinho anchoring Braga against Sporting's I. Doumbia and S. Altimira

Expected lineups:

- **Sporting Braga**: B. Fontes, A. Bajrami, S. Barcia, A. L. Barišić, G. Martínez, V. Carvalho, J. Moutinho, P. Víctor
- **Sporting CP**: R. Silva, R. Dias, G. Inácio, Quaresma, I. Fresneda, I. Doumbia, F. Gonçalves, L. J. Suárez

Prediction:

**Braga 1–1 Sporting CP** — Coin flip. Both sides hit form, neither likely to blink. A draw feels like the most honest outcome here.

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 9

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio Municipal de Braga

City

Braga

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro

4.16 yellows/match · 70 matches

Kickoff

09 Oct, 19:15 UTC

Competition

Liga Portugal Betclic

Highlights & clips

Sporting Braga 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3 Sporting CP

31 B. Fontes 5.6 22 S. Barcia 6.0 6 V. Carvalho 6.5 9 F. Navarro 6.6 ↑ 84' 2 V. Gómez 6.4 29 J. Gorby 6.7 16 T. Marqués 6.6 ↑ 74' 77 G. Martínez 6.9 ↑ 67' 20 M. Dorgeles 6.4 ↑ 66' 21 R. Horta 7.3 19 J. Wind 7.1 ↑ 74' 1 R. Silva 7.6 22 I. Fresneda 7.8 72 Quaresma 7.9 25 G. Inácio 6.6 20 M. Araújo 6.9 ↑ 58' 17 R. Zalazar 8.0 ↑ 58' 5 S. Altimira 6.8 77 I. Doumbia 6.8 10 G. Catamo 8.0 97 L. J. Suárez 7.5 ↑ 59' 58 F. Gonçalves 6.3 ↑ 79'

Top stats

49%Possession51%

1.5Expected goals (xG)0.95

15Total shots9

4Shots on target3

3Big chances2

5Corners2

Shots

5Shots off target6

6Blocked shots0

11Shots inside box7

4Shots outside box2

1Hit woodwork1

0Big chances scored1

3Big chances missed1

-1.98Goals prevented0.51

Attack

35Touches in box27

45Final third entries43

0Offsides2

10Free kicks11

1Fouled in final third1

Passing

438Passes461

366Accurate passes394

16/34 (47%)Long balls29/57 (51%)

2/12 (17%)Crosses3/12 (25%)

23Throw-ins17

Duels

50Duels50

41/81 (51%)Ground duels40/81 (49%)

8/17 (47%)Aerial duels9/17 (53%)

10/19 (53%)Dribbles12/28 (43%)

8Dispossessed6

Defending

22Tackles17

77Tackles won59

7Interceptions7

18Clearances24

37Recoveries54

Discipline

11Fouls10

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

6Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Braga 30%

28%

Sporting 42%

Who winsSporting to win (DNB) 52% · 1.67 @ Betway

1X2Sporting to win 42% · 2.75 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 73% · 1.38 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 28% · 2.38 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.15 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.27 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle

1X2Braga to win 30% · 3.34 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.10

Sporting Braga

3.25

Draw

2.30

Sporting CP

Double Chanceconsensus

1.58

Sporting Braga or Draw

1.33

Sporting Braga or Sporting CP

1.33

Draw or Sporting CP

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.75

Yes

1.95

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.80

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.25

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.30

Over 1.50

3.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.04

Over 2.50

1.79

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.47

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.10

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.15

Sporting Braga

1.63

Sporting CP

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.42

Over 7.50

2.59

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.69

Over 8.50

2.07

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.08

Over 9.50

1.67

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.58

Over 10.50

1.38

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.27

Over 11.50

1.20

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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