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Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
CF Estrela Amadora
CF Estrela Amadora
CF Estrela Amadora
CF Estrela Amadora
CF Estrela Amadora
CF Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia
CF Estrela Amadora
CF Estrela Amadora
Pepa
CF Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia
CF Estrela Amadora
4-5-1 · 4-1-4-1
Casa Pia
Commentary
90'
Full-time. CF Estrela Amadora 0-2 Casa Pia.
90+2'
Goal! CF Estrela Amadora 0-2 Casa Pia. L. Ofori (Casa Pia) scores, assisted by H. Araújo.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
88'
Casa Pia
Corner, Casa Pia.
85'
Casa Pia
Corner, Casa Pia.
80'
Casa Pia
Corner, Casa Pia.
69'
Attempt blocked. L. Zvonarek (CF Estrela Amadora), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
65'
Casa Pia
Corner, Casa Pia.
58'
CF Estrela Amadora
Corner, CF Estrela Amadora.
49'
Attempt saved. R. Soares (CF Estrela Amadora), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.
49'
Attempt missed. I. Stoica (CF Estrela Amadora), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. CF Estrela Amadora 0-1 Casa Pia.
45+1'
Attempt blocked. I. Stoica (CF Estrela Amadora), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
45'
1 minute of added time.
45'
CF Estrela Amadora
Corner, CF Estrela Amadora.
44'
CF Estrela Amadora
Corner, CF Estrela Amadora.
43'
CF Estrela Amadora
Corner, CF Estrela Amadora.
41'
CF Estrela Amadora
Corner, CF Estrela Amadora.
41'
Attempt blocked. M. Scholze (CF Estrela Amadora), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.
37'
CF Estrela Amadora
Corner, CF Estrela Amadora.
31'
Goal! CF Estrela Amadora 0-1 Casa Pia. J. Rêgo (Casa Pia) scores, assisted by M. S. E. Boukammiri.
28'
Casa Pia
Corner, Casa Pia.
22'
CF Estrela Amadora
Corner, CF Estrela Amadora.
17'
CF Estrela Amadora
Corner, CF Estrela Amadora.
1'
Kick-off: CF Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
106902 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
59.1%
-39.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
32.7%
+32.6 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.2%
+8.1 vs price
Half time
20 EUR
Away
5.5 · implied 18.2%
93.2%
+75.0 vs price
Draw
2.4 · implied 41.7%
11.6%
-30.1 vs price
Home
2.42 · implied 41.3%
5.7%
-35.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
28929 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
70.1%
-26.1 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
30.3%
+26.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1 EUR
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
100.0%
+10.7 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
31'
⚽
J. Rêgo · assist M. S. E. Boukammiri0–1
Half-time · 0–1
60'
🔁
J. Livolant ◂ M. S. E. Boukammiri
60'
🔁
H. Araújo ◂ Cassiano
61'
🔁
L. M. Davin ◂ R. Soares
61'
🔁
B. Souza ◂ I. Stoica
68'
P. Sequeira · Foul
72'
🔁
T. Moustier ◂ L. Zvonarek
72'
🔁
J. Encada ◂ M. Scholze
78'
🔁
S. Clúa ◂ S. Pérez
78'
🔁
G. Pereira ◂ J. Rêgo
83'
🔁
K. Prieto ◂ B. Pauwels
83'
🔁
A. S. d. Jesus ◂ E. Doué
Full-time · 0–2
90'+2
⚽
L. Ofori · assist H. Araújo0–2
90'+4
P. Rosas · Foul
90'+4
J. Encada · Argument
Coaches
PepaFilipe Coelho 
Recent form
CF Estrela AmadoraWAAD Fazendense2-1
LAFC Arouca0-1
LHAcadémico Viseu FC0-2
DARio Ave3-3
WHSporting Braga2-1
Casa PiaWAFC Alpendorada1-0
LHSanta Clara0-1
WAEstoril Praia2-1
LHFC Porto1-4
DAVitória SC0-0
About this match
**Estrela's hosting Casa Pia in what looks like a proper coin flip** — both sides are running identical 2W-1D-2L form, and the hosts have a decisive edge in their head-to-head record. 🔥
Estrela own the recent matchup history 5-4, but Casa Pia just showed up with wins over Alpendorada and Estoril, so they're no pushovers. The fact that both teams are treading water in the middle tier of form makes this a straight-up toss-up at the Estádio José Gomes.
Key storylines:
- **Estrela's home turf advantage** paired with their historical dominance over Casa Pia could be the difference-maker here
- **David Sousa's red-card suspension** leaves Casa Pia short in the middle, a potential opening for **Estrela's midfield** to dictate tempo
- Both teams are deadlocked on confidence — it'll come down to **execution and set pieces**
Expected lineups:
- **CF Estrela Amadora**: L. Linck, R. Soares, Luan Patrick, M. Scholze, L. Zvonarek, E. Doué, I. Stoica, S. Serra, A. Marcus, L. Antonetti
- **Casa Pia**: I. Mandić, P. Rosas, Kaly, J. Goulart, A. Geraldes, L. Ofori, S. Clúa, B. Pauwels, J. Rêgo, M. S. E. Boukammiri, H. Araújo
Prediction:
**Estrela 1-1 Casa Pia** — home edge tips it slightly toward the hosts, but this feels like a share of the spoils.
Where to watch
Disney+ Brazil
Sportdigital+
Sport TV1
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio José Gomes
City
Amadora
Kickoff
24 Oct, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal Betclic
Highlights & clips
CF Estrela Amadora
4-5-1 · 4-1-4-1
Casa Pia
24
L. Linck
6.5
17
J. Encada
6.5
↑ 72'
30
Luan Patrick
7.7
5
S. Leković
6.5
3
L. M. Davin
6.1
↑ 61'
99
A. Marcus
7.9
28
T. Moustier
6.7
↑ 72'
78
S. Serra
6.9
80
A. S. d. Jesus
6.5
↑ 83'
93
B. Souza
6.4
↑ 61'
37
L. Antonetti
6.2
1
P. Sequeira
9.4
18
A. Geraldes
7.4
3
Kaly
7.8
43
David Sousa
8.2
75
P. Rosas
7.2
8
G. Pereira
6.7
↑ 78'
29
J. Livolant
6.7
↑ 60'
16
S. Clúa
6.4
↑ 78'
80
L. Ofori
8.1
19
K. Prieto
6.7
↑ 83'
9
H. Araújo
6.9
↑ 60'
Top stats
63%Possession37%
1.69Expected goals (xG)0.79
18Total shots10
6Shots on target4
2Big chances2
7Corners5
Shots
5Shots off target3
7Blocked shots3
14Shots inside box6
4Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed2
-0.64Goals prevented1.72
Attack
26Touches in box15
79Final third entries47
13Free kicks13
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
506Passes304
430Accurate passes227
31/59 (53%)Long balls18/52 (35%)
6/30 (20%)Crosses4/9 (44%)
18Throw-ins10
Duels
44Duels56
36/77 (47%)Ground duels41/77 (53%)
13/34 (38%)Aerial duels21/34 (62%)
10/23 (43%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
9Dispossessed7
Defending
14Tackles22
71Tackles won55
8Interceptions12
13Clearances42
51Recoveries55
Discipline
13Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Estrela Amadora to win 53% · 2.10 @ William Hill
Who winsEstrela Amadora to win (DNB) 63% · 1.34 @ Betano
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.17 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.53 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.34 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.10 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.87 @ 1xBet
1X2Casa Pia to win 21% · 4.60 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.75
CF Estrela Amadora
3.65
Draw
4.50
Casa Pia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
CF Estrela Amadora or Draw
1.25
CF Estrela Amadora or Casa Pia
2.02
Draw or Casa Pia
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.99
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
9.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.92
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.30
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.72
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.33
CF Estrela Amadora
3.20
Casa Pia
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
2.98
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.52
Over 8.50
2.33
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.87
Over 9.50
1.87
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.37
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.85
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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