Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting CP: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting CP.

90+4'

G. Catamo

Goal! Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting CP. G. Catamo (Sporting CP) scores, assisted by I. Fresneda.

90+3'

M. Araújo

Yellow card for M. Araújo (Sporting CP) for foul.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

87'

Kaly

Attempt missed. Kaly (Casa Pia), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

87'

Casa Pia

Corner, Casa Pia.

86'

L. J. Suárez

Substitution, Sporting CP: F. Ioannidis comes on for L. J. Suárez .

85'

H. Araújo

Substitution, Casa Pia: A. Jatta comes on for H. Araújo.

85'

David Sousa

Substitution, Casa Pia: Cassiano comes on for David Sousa.

84'

Sporting CP

Offside, Sporting CP.

82'

G. Catamo

Attempt saved. G. Catamo (Sporting CP), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

82'

Sporting CP

Corner, Sporting CP.

80'

I. Doumbia

Attempt blocked. I. Doumbia (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

80'

Sporting CP

Corner, Sporting CP.

77'

I. Fresneda

Attempt missed. I. Fresneda (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

76'

P. Lima

Substitution, Sporting CP: J. Simões comes on for P. Lima.

75'

A. Dafe

Attempt blocked. A. Dafe (Casa Pia), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

74'

David Sousa

Attempt saved. David Sousa (Casa Pia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

74'

B. Pauwels

Substitution, Casa Pia: A. Dafe comes on for B. Pauwels.

73'

H. Araújo

Attempt blocked. H. Araújo (Casa Pia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

73'

Casa Pia

Corner, Casa Pia.

71'

I. Fresneda

Attempt saved. I. Fresneda (Sporting CP), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

70'

F. Gonçalves

Attempt saved. F. Gonçalves (Sporting CP), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.61.

68'

J. Rêgo

Attempt blocked. J. Rêgo (Casa Pia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

64'

L. Ofori

Substitution, Casa Pia: G. Pereira comes on for L. Ofori.

63'

G. Catamo

Attempt saved. G. Catamo (Sporting CP), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

63'

G. Inácio

Attempt missed. G. Inácio (Sporting CP), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

63'

Sporting CP

Corner, Sporting CP.

62'

L. Guilherme

Substitution, Sporting CP: G. Catamo comes on for L. Guilherme.

62'

N. Irankunda

Substitution, Sporting CP: F. Gonçalves comes on for N. Irankunda.

62'

S. Andersen

Substitution, Sporting CP: I. Doumbia comes on for S. Andersen.

58'

B. Pauwels

Attempt blocked. B. Pauwels (Casa Pia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

58'

P. Rosas

Attempt missed. P. Rosas (Casa Pia), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

56'

P. Lima

Attempt saved. P. Lima (Sporting CP), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

52'

P. Rosas

Attempt saved. P. Rosas (Casa Pia), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

49'

Sporting CP

Offside, Sporting CP.

46'

M. S. E. Boukammiri

Substitution, Casa Pia: J. Livolant comes on for M. S. E. Boukammiri.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Casa Pia 0-1 Sporting CP.

45+1'

J. Rêgo

Attempt blocked. J. Rêgo (Casa Pia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

H. Araújo

Attempt blocked. H. Araújo (Casa Pia), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

44'

L. Guilherme

Attempt saved. L. Guilherme (Sporting CP), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

44'

Sporting CP

Corner, Sporting CP.

43'

L. J. Suárez

Attempt blocked. L. J. Suárez (Sporting CP), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

42'

L. J. Suárez

Attempt missed. L. J. Suárez (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

41'

P. Lima

Attempt blocked. P. Lima (Sporting CP), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

30'

P. Lima

Attempt saved. P. Lima (Sporting CP), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.01.

29'

S. Andersen

Yellow card for S. Andersen (Sporting CP) for foul.

28'

P. Lima

Attempt blocked. P. Lima (Sporting CP), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

28'

L. J. Suárez

Attempt blocked. L. J. Suárez (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

27'

S. Altimira

Attempt missed. S. Altimira (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

26'

P. Lima

Attempt blocked. P. Lima (Sporting CP), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

25'

M. S. E. Boukammiri

Attempt missed. M. S. E. Boukammiri (Casa Pia), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

23'

Casa Pia

Corner, Casa Pia.

22'

L. J. Suárez

Attempt saved. L. J. Suárez (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

20'

Kaly

Yellow card for Kaly (Casa Pia) for foul.

16'

L. J. Suárez

Attempt missed. L. J. Suárez (Sporting CP), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

16'

J. Rêgo

Attempt blocked. J. Rêgo (Casa Pia), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

13'

P. Lima

Goal! Casa Pia 0-1 Sporting CP. P. Lima (Sporting CP) scores, assisted by I. Fresneda.

13'

I. Fresneda

Attempt missed. I. Fresneda (Sporting CP), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

11'

N. Irankunda

Attempt saved. N. Irankunda (Sporting CP), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

9'

David Sousa

Yellow card for David Sousa (Casa Pia) for foul.

2'

Casa Pia

Corner, Casa Pia.

1'

Kick-off: Casa Pia vs Sporting CP.

Where the money is

1572557 EUR matched · captured 6 days, 8 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 996375 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

95.9%

-3.1 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

2.2%

+2.1 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.9%

+1.8 vs price

Half time 1035 EUR

Away 1.8 · implied 55.6%

94.4%

+38.8 vs price

Draw 3.1 · implied 32.3%

3.9%

-28.3 vs price

Home 8.8 · implied 11.4%

1.7%

-9.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 135354 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

79.7%

-19.3 vs price

Over 36.0 · implied 2.8%

20.3%

+17.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 13 EUR

Over 5.7 · implied 17.5%

100.0%

+82.5 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

9' David Sousa · Foul

13' ⚽ P. Lima · assist I. Fresneda0–1

20' Kaly · Foul

29' S. Andersen · Foul

Half-time · 0–1

46' 🔁 J. Livolant ◂ M. S. E. Boukammiri

62' 🔁 I. Doumbia ◂ S. Andersen

62' 🔁 F. Gonçalves ◂ N. Irankunda

62' 🔁 G. Catamo ◂ L. Guilherme

64' 🔁 G. Pereira ◂ L. Ofori

74' 🔁 A. Dafe ◂ B. Pauwels

76' 🔁 J. Simões ◂ P. Lima

85' 🔁 Cassiano ◂ David Sousa

85' 🔁 A. Jatta ◂ H. Araújo

86' 🔁 F. Ioannidis ◂ L. J. Suárez

Full-time · 0–2

90'⁺³ M. Araújo · Foul

90'⁺⁴ ⚽ G. Catamo · assist I. Fresneda0–2

Coaches

Filipe Coelho

Rui Borges

Recent form

Casa Pia

WACF Estrela Amadora2-0

WAFC Alpendorada1-0

LHSanta Clara0-1

WAEstoril Praia2-1

LHFC Porto1-4

Sporting CP

WHCS Marítimo2-1

LHAcadémico Viseu FC1-2

LHLASK2-3

WARC Lens2-0

WASporting Braga3-1

About this match

**Sporting comes to Rio Maior as the clear favorite — but Casa Pia's hot streak makes this a trickier test than the scoreline might suggest.** 🔥

Both teams riding 3W-2L form, though that's where the similarities end. Sporting's got the head-to-head hammer: **9 straight wins** over Casa Pia. That's a psychological mountain to climb, but streaky underdogs can catch anyone slipping.

Key storylines:

- **Sporting's invincibility**: Nine consecutive H2H victories is noise that gets louder the longer it goes untouched
- **Casa Pia's away prowess**: Two straight road wins (beating Estrela and Alpendorada) show real teeth — can they extend it against the big boys?
- **Missing Zalazar & Debast**: **Sporting** losing key defensive cover opens a crack for Casa Pia's front runners like **H. Araújo** and **B. Pauwels** to sniff chances

Expected lineups:

- **Casa Pia**: I. Mandić, P. Rosas, David Sousa, Kaly, A. Geraldes, L. Ofori, S. Clúa, H. Araújo
- **Sporting CP**: R. Silva, G. Inácio, I. Fresneda, M. Araújo, Quaresma, S. Altimira, I. Doumbia, F. Gonçalves

Prediction:

**Sporting 2–0 Casa Pia**

History and class prevail, but expect Casa Pia to frustrate for 60+ minutes.

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 10

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

City

Rio Maior

Referee

Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca

5.30 yellows/match · 30 matches

Kickoff

30 Oct, 20:15 UTC

Competition

Liga Portugal Betclic

Highlights & clips

Casa Pia 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Sporting CP

1 P. Sequeira 8.1 18 A. Geraldes 6.2 3 Kaly 7.1 20 A. Jatta 6.5 ↑ 85' 75 P. Rosas 6.0 24 S. Pérez 7.1 8 G. Pereira 6.8 ↑ 64' 29 J. Livolant 6.6 ↑ 46' 70 J. Rêgo 7.3 59 A. Dafe 6.5 ↑ 74' 90 Cassiano 6.3 ↑ 85' 30 Kaique 6.9 22 I. Fresneda 7.9 72 Quaresma 7.4 25 G. Inácio 8.0 20 M. Araújo 7.8 5 S. Altimira 7.4 77 I. Doumbia 6.7 ↑ 62' 10 G. Catamo 7.6 ↑ 62' 8 J. Simões 6.6 ↑ 76' 58 F. Gonçalves 6.7 ↑ 62' 7 F. Ioannidis 6.4 ↑ 86'

Top stats

45%Possession55%

0.31Expected goals (xG)2.65

12Total shots23

2Shots on target11

0Big chances3

3Corners4

Shots

3Shots off target6

7Blocked shots6

7Shots inside box11

5Shots outside box12

0Big chances scored2

0Big chances missed1

0.79Goals prevented0.14

Attack

22Touches in box24

47Final third entries43

0Offsides2

15Free kicks11

4Fouled in final third4

Passing

384Passes482

330Accurate passes424

12/27 (44%)Long balls21/47 (45%)

2/16 (13%)Crosses3/9 (33%)

28Throw-ins20

Duels

46Duels54

35/78 (45%)Ground duels43/78 (55%)

10/19 (53%)Aerial duels9/19 (47%)

6/19 (32%)Dribbles13/19 (68%)

6Dispossessed8

Defending

14Tackles19

64Tackles won58

8Interceptions7

22Clearances28

45Recoveries41

Discipline

11Fouls15

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

9Saves2

1Big saves0

6Goal kicks12

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Casa Pia 9%

16%

Sporting 75%

1X2Sporting to win 75% · 1.60 @ William Hill

Who winsSporting to win (DNB) 84% · 1.09 @ Betano

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.50 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.83 @ William Hill

BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.28 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.94 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.62 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 16% · 3.24 @ 1xBet

1X2Casa Pia to win 9% · 7.70 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

10.00

Casa Pia

5.88

Draw

1.27

Sporting CP

Double Chanceconsensus

3.75

Casa Pia or Draw

1.10

Casa Pia or Sporting CP

1.05

Draw or Sporting CP

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.91

Yes

1.80

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

17.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.15

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

14.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.15

Over 1.50

4.84

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.53

Over 2.50

2.40

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.36

Over 3.50

1.58

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.10

Over 4.50

1.21

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

7.38

Casa Pia

1.08

Sporting CP

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.23

Over 7.50

3.12

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.49

Over 8.50

2.38

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.85

Over 9.50

1.92

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.27

Over 10.50

1.54

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.83

Over 11.50

1.32

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Sporting CP to win or draw

✓

91% confidence

Sporting CP to avoid defeat

✓

84% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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