Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Iraklis are heavy favorites here** — they've got momentum and better form than an Atromitos side that's basically on life support. 🔴
Iraklis ground out three draws before smashing Asteras, while Atromitos have won zero of their last five and shipped goals to every decent team they've faced. The home advantage at Kaftanzoglio doesn't hurt either.
Key storylines:
- **Iraklis' attack** needs to stay sharp: **E. Koljić** and **K. Kushta** have been clicking, and Atromitos' leaky defense (especially without **L. Lyratzis**) should give them space
- **Atromitos' survival mode** — they can't afford another loss if they want to claw back into contention, but their recent draw vs Kalamata is the only sign they can hold a line
- **V. Sourlis** anchoring midfield for Iraklis will be crucial to controlling the tempo and cutting off Atromitos' few creative outlets
Expected lineups:
- **POT Iraklis**: G. Athanasiadis, V. Meer, Pina, C. Soria, V. Sourlis, Y. Bárcenas, I. López, M. Krainz, E. Koljić, K. Kushta
- **APS Atromitos Athinon**: L. Choutesiotis, J. Uronen, D. Stavropoulos, G. Mitoglou, S. Zuber, S. Moutoussamy, G. Tzovaras, P. Tsantilas, K. Batos
Prediction:
**Iraklis 2–0 Atromitos**. Home side's slight edge in form and fitness should see them cruise to three points. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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