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Fabian Bustos
Millonarios
Deportivo Pasto
Millonarios
5-4-1 · 4-4-2
Deportivo Pasto
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
68468 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.9%
-7.1 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
5.5%
+5.4 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
2.9%
+2.7 vs price
Half time
1111 EUR · live
Home
2.04 · implied 49.0%
84.2%
+35.2 vs price
Draw
2.76 · implied 36.2%
8.3%
-28.0 vs price
Away
9.2 · implied 10.9%
7.4%
-3.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
183034 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
86.8%
-9.4 vs price
Over
12.5 · implied 8.0%
13.2%
+5.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
575 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
77.2%
-12.9 vs price
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
22.8%
+11.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
11'
A. Llinás · Foul
20'
R. Ureña · Argument
20'
E. Serje · Argument
25'
⚽
A. Llinás · assist F. Chaverra1–0
27'
J. Micolta · Foul
29'
🔁
S. Jiménez ◂ J. Micolta
32'
E. Cabezas · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
47'
J. Quiñones · Foul
63'
⚽
L. Castro · assist R. Contreras2–0
66'
🔁
H. Mancilla ◂ J. Quiñones
66'
🔁
A. Ibargüen ◂ D. Chávez
66'
🔁
J. Obregón ◂ S. Córdoba
69'
🔁
D. Ruiz ◂ L. Castro
70'
🔁
S. d. Castillo ◂ M. García
75'
🔁
A. Estupiñán ◂ S. Valencia
83'
🔁
D. Banguero ◂ F. Chaverra
83'
J. Arias · Foul
84'
🔁
D. M. Silva ◂ R. Contreras
85'
🔁
F. Martínez ◂ E. Serje
Full-time · 2–0
-5'
F. Bustos · Argument
Coaches
Fabian BustosJonathan Risueño 
Recent form
MillonariosWAJunior Barranquilla1-0
LHAtlético Bucaramanga0-1
LHColo-Colo0-1
LAUniversitario de Deportes0-2
WAAtlético Cali8-1
Deportivo PastoLHRionegro Águilas Doradas1-2
WABogotá FC3-0
LAIndependiente Medellín2-3
LHBogotá FC0-1
LHDeportes Tolima0-2
Where to watch
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Betano
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra TeleWin Sports
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
City
Bogota
Referee
Sebastian Toro Gomez
Kickoff
05 Aug, 01:20 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
Millonarios
5-4-1 · 4-4-2
Deportivo Pasto
1
J. Burrai
7.1
34
J. Guerrero
7.2
26
A. Llinás
7.4
6
S. Mosquera
6.9
17
J. Arias
7.1
11
A. Estupiñán
6.6
↑ 75'
20
D. Banguero
6.7
↑ 83'
30
S. d. Castillo
6.6
↑ 70'
18
R. Ureña
7.3
10
D. Ruiz
7.0
↑ 69'
14
D. M. Silva
6.6
↑ 84'
1
E. Cabezas
7.5
33
M. Garavito
6.3
11
A. Ibargüen
6.4
↑ 66'
5
N. Gil Uribe
6.1
27
H. Goyes
5.9
6
S. Jiménez
6.7
↑ 29'
35
F. Martínez
6.8
↑ 85'
23
Y. Góez
7.3
16
M. Gil
6.3
15
H. Mancilla
7.0
↑ 66'
9
J. Obregón
6.3
↑ 66'
Substitutes
31GJ. Diaz
22DS. Valencia↓ 75'7.0
3DS. Martín
4DS. Barreiro
13MF. Chaverra↓ 83'7.3
19MM. García↓ 70'6.9
25MD. Quintero
27FR. Contreras↓ 84'8.5
23FL. Castro↓ 69'6.6
Coach: Fabian Bustos
Substitutes
12GG. Banguera
36DJ. Quiñones↓ 66'6.2
3DJ. Ossa
8ME. Serje↓ 85'7.3
10MD. Chávez↓ 66'6.8
18MJ. Micolta↓ 29'6.1
17MJ. Méndez
29FS. Córdoba↓ 66'6.3
19FP. Preciado
Coach: Jonathan Risueño
Top stats
33%Possession67%
1.76Expected goals (xG)0.17
17Total shots5
10Shots on target1
2Big chances0
7Corners3
Shots
3Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
13Shots inside box3
4Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
0.12Goals prevented0.43
Attack
25Touches in box5
37Final third entries54
2Offsides1
10Free kicks20
4Fouled in final third4
Passing
244Passes521
186Accurate passes460
16/42 (38%)Long balls29/44 (66%)
7/16 (44%)Crosses1/10 (0%)
9Throw-ins24
Duels
52Duels48
40/73 (55%)Ground duels33/73 (45%)
6/15 (40%)Aerial duels9/15 (60%)
7/13 (54%)Dribbles6/19 (32%)
3Dispossessed9
Defending
22Tackles9
91Tackles won78
7Interceptions7
15Clearances18
39Recoveries40
Discipline
20Fouls11
3Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
1Saves8
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks4
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 62 bookmakers
Who winsMillonarios to win (DNB) 85% · 1.14 @ betfair
1X2Millonarios to win 66% · 1.45 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.79 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ Betway
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.96 @ cmd
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.32 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.44 @ Bwin
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.77 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.39 @ betfair
1X2Draw 22% · 4.80 @ kto
1X2Dep. Pasto to win 12% · 9.75 @ Betano
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.39
Millonarios
4.26
Draw
7.73
Deportivo Pasto
Double Chanceconsensus
1.07
Millonarios or Draw
1.19
Millonarios or Deportivo Pasto
2.77
Draw or Deportivo Pasto
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.07
Yes
1.67
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50 ▲
10.45
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50
3.49
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50
1.88
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.09
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50 ▲
1.13
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.11
Millonarios
5.72
Deportivo Pasto
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.17
Over 6.50
4.60
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50 ▲
3.04
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.58
Over 8.50 ▲
2.17
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.99
Over 9.50 ▲
1.71
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.61
Over 10.50 ▲
1.41
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.58
Over 11.50 ▲
1.23
Under 11.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
5.20
Over 12.50
1.13
Under 12.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Millonarios to win or draw
✓
88% confidence
Millonarios to avoid defeat
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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