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Flavio Robatto
Rionegro Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
Rionegro Águilas Doradas
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Millonarios
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
19309 EUR · live
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
42.2%
-51.2 vs price
Away
32.0 · implied 3.1%
33.7%
+30.6 vs price
Home
38.0 · implied 2.6%
24.0%
+21.4 vs price
Half time
352 EUR · live
Away
16.5 · implied 6.1%
49.7%
+43.6 vs price
Home
13.5 · implied 7.4%
25.0%
+17.6 vs price
Draw
1.1 · implied 90.9%
25.0%
-65.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
53733 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
76.4%
-19.8 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
24.1%
+15.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1923 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.0%
-5.0 vs price
Over
140.0 · implied 0.7%
6.0%
+5.3 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
7'
J. Ontaneda · Foul
11'
J. Mena · Argument
14'
M. García · Foul
25'
🔁
A. Estupiñán ◂ R. Contreras
40'
J. Guerrero · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
50'
I. Rojas · Foul
50'
A. Vásquez · Foul
52'
⚽
L. Castro · assist S. Valencia0–1
55'
R. Ureña · Foul
57'
⚽
R. Ureña1–1
60'
S. Valencia · Foul
60'
R. Márquez · Argument
64'
🔁
M. Ramírez ◂ J. Noguera
64'
🔁
J. Ávalo ◂ A. Ricaurte
66'
🔁
D. Ruiz ◂ M. García
66'
🔁
Leonai ◂ A. Estupiñán
73'
🔁
D. M. Silva ◂ F. Chaverra
73'
🔁
D. Banguero ◂ S. Valencia
75'
A. Mosquera · Foul
76'
🔁
S. Rodríguez ◂ J. Meléndez
77'
🔁
R. Márquez ◂ A. Vásquez
Full-time · 1–1
90'
F. Bustos · Argument
90'+2
🔁
F. Suárez ◂ E. Arízalas
Coaches
Flavio RobattoFabian Bustos 
Recent form
Rionegro Águilas DoradasDHLlaneros FC1-1
WADeportivo Pasto2-1
WHIndependiente Santa Fe2-1
DAReal Cundinamarca2-2
DHDeportivo Pereira1-1
MillonariosWHDeportivo Pasto2-0
WAJunior Barranquilla1-0
LHAtlético Bucaramanga0-1
LHColo-Colo0-1
LAUniversitario de Deportes0-2
Where to watch
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Cincuentenario
City
Medellin
Kickoff
22 Aug, 20:30 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
Rionegro Águilas Doradas
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Millonarios
1
J. Soto
7.0
28
S. Rodríguez
6.7
↑ 76'
4
A. Mosquera
6.5
3
J. Ontaneda
6.9
32
J. Mena
6.3
19
F. Lozano
6.8
6
I. Rojas
6.6
24
J. Ávalo
6.7
↑ 64'
16
M. Ramírez
6.5
↑ 64'
15
F. Suárez
↑ 90'
21
R. Márquez
6.4
↑ 77'
1
J. Burrai
6.5
34
J. Guerrero
6.3
26
A. Llinás
6.9
6
S. Mosquera
6.7
4
S. Barreiro
6.5
20
D. Banguero
6.8
↑ 73'
14
D. M. Silva
6.5
↑ 73'
18
R. Ureña
7.0
55
Leonai
6.8
↑ 66'
23
L. Castro
7.7
11
A. Estupiñán
7.0
↑ 25'
Substitutes
12GJ. Hurtado
13DJ. Meléndez↓ 76'6.6
30DN. Lara
20DA. Higgins
7ME. Arízalas↓ 90'7.1
8MA. Ricaurte↓ 64'6.9
10MJ. Noguera↓ 64'6.2
9FA. Vásquez↓ 77'6.2
29FT. Blandón
Coach: Flavio Robatto
Substitutes
12GJ. Aguirre
22DS. Valencia↓ 73'6.8
3DS. Martín
43DC. Uparela
13MF. Chaverra↓ 73'6.6
10MD. Ruiz↑ 66'6.5
19MM. García↓ 66'6.4
24MJ. Angulo
27FR. Contreras↓ 25'6.8
Coach: Fabian Bustos
Top stats
59%Possession41%
0.58Expected goals (xG)1.47
9Total shots9
2Shots on target5
0Big chances1
6Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target1
3Blocked shots3
4Shots inside box4
5Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0.47Goals prevented-0.83
Attack
13Touches in box14
68Final third entries48
2Offsides2
15Free kicks13
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
404Passes270
310Accurate passes173
31/69 (45%)Long balls27/64 (42%)
3/9 (33%)Crosses1/11 (9%)
25Throw-ins24
Duels
37Duels63
21/58 (36%)Ground duels37/58 (64%)
5/13 (38%)Aerial duels8/13 (62%)
4/19 (21%)Dribbles5/7 (71%)
5Dispossessed3
Defending
5Tackles20
80Tackles won90
6Interceptions17
20Clearances15
49Recoveries36
Discipline
13Fouls15
6Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
5Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 61 bookmakers
Who winsMillonarios to win (DNB) 60% · 1.62 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.14 @ 10bet
1X2Millonarios to win 37% · 2.59 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.03 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 29% · 2.42 @ efbet.net
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.28 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.42 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.73 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.30 @ 888Sport
1X2Águilas Doradas to win 34% · 4.06 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.30
Rionegro Águilas Doradas ▲
3.10
Draw ▼
2.14
Millonarios ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.61
Rionegro Águilas Doradas or Draw ▲
1.31
Rionegro Águilas Doradas or Millonarios ▼
1.28
Draw or Millonarios ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes ▼
1.85
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.62
YES
1.42
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50 ▼
2.95
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.08
Over 2.50 ▼
1.67
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.69
Over 3.50 ▼
1.23
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.30
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.30
Rionegro Águilas Doradas
1.53
Millonarios
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.36
Over 7.50
2.80
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.68
Over 8.50
2.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.99
Over 9.50
1.73
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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