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José Luis García
Llaneros FC
Millonarios
Llaneros FC
4-1-4-1 · 5-3-2
Millonarios
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
34807 EUR · live
Away
1.14 · implied 87.7%
84.2%
-3.5 vs price
Draw
9.6 · implied 10.4%
8.6%
-1.9 vs price
Home
48.0 · implied 2.1%
7.2%
+5.1 vs price
Half time
362 EUR · live
Away
2.2 · implied 45.5%
63.6%
+18.1 vs price
Home
12.0 · implied 8.3%
20.7%
+12.4 vs price
Draw
2.24 · implied 44.6%
15.2%
-29.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
13572 EUR · live
Under
1.72 · implied 58.1%
52.2%
-5.9 vs price
Over
2.26 · implied 44.2%
48.5%
+4.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
518 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
85.9%
-9.3 vs price
Over
15.0 · implied 6.7%
13.9%
+7.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
4'
VAR
Card check · Jhon Vásquez
5'
Jhon Vásquez · Foul
8'
S. Valencia · Foul
29'
⚽
F. Chaverra · assist D. Ruiz0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
J. Contreras ◂ F. Castañeda
46'
🔁
C. Cortés ◂ Y. Mena
46'
🔁
K. Osorio ◂ N. Ospina
52'
VAR
Goal not given after review · D. Ruiz
55'
H. Mena · Argument
57'
D. Ruiz · Foul
61'
J. Escobar · Foul
64'
🔁
D. Quintero ◂ D. Quiñónes
70'
🔁
M. García ◂ S. Valencia
70'
🔁
A. Estupiñán ◂ D. Ruiz
74'
🔁
J. Ramirez ◂ L. Miranda
78'
S. Barreiro · Foul
80'
🔁
S. d. Castillo ◂ Leonai
80'
🔁
D. Quintero ◂ L. Castro
82'
⚽
A. Estupiñán0–2
86'
🔁
J. Angulo ◂ F. Chaverra
Full-time · 0–2
90'+1
J. Contreras · Argument
Coaches
Fabian Bustos 
Recent form
WADeportivo Pasto1-0
DARionegro Águilas Doradas1-1
WHFortaleza FC3-1
DAAtlético Bucaramanga1-1
WHDeportivo Pereira1-0
DARionegro Águilas Doradas1-1
WHDeportivo Pasto2-0
WAJunior Barranquilla1-0
LHAtlético Bucaramanga0-1
LHColo-Colo0-1
Where to watch
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”
City
Villavicencio
Referee
Kickoff
27 Aug, 23:10 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
22
R. Romaña
6.8
26
D. Quintero
6.8
↑ 64'
2
H. Mena
6.2
21
F. Meza
6.2
16
J. Escobar
6.2
13
J. Castilla
6.8
95
Jhon Vásquez
3.0
33
K. Osorio
6.7
↑ 46'
70
J. Contreras
6.6
↑ 46'
8
J. Ramirez
6.5
↑ 74'
9
C. Cortés
6.6
↑ 46'
1
J. Burrai
7.0
34
J. Guerrero
6.8
26
A. Llinás
6.9
4
S. Barreiro
7.2
20
D. Banguero
7.0
19
M. García
6.8
↑ 70'
24
J. Angulo
6.5
↑ 86'
25
D. Quintero
6.8
↑ 80'
18
R. Ureña
7.4
30
S. d. Castillo
6.7
↑ 80'
11
A. Estupiñán
8.1
↑ 70'
Substitutes
12GJ. Loaiza
99DD. Quiñónes↓ 64'6.3
94DJ. Medranda
3DV. Vidal
7ML. Miranda↓ 74'7.1
10MN. Ospina↓ 46'6.7
32MF. Castañeda↓ 46'6.4
30MJ. Beltran
17FY. Mena↓ 46'6.2
Coach: José Luis García
Substitutes
12GJ. Aguirre
22DS. Valencia↓ 70'6.9
3DS. Martín
43DC. Uparela
13MF. Chaverra↓ 86'8.1
55MLeonai↓ 80'7.2
10MD. Ruiz↓ 70'6.8
14MD. M. Silva
23FL. Castro↓ 80'6.5
Coach: Fabian Bustos
Top stats
32%Possession68%
0.48Expected goals (xG)1.57
5Total shots19
2Shots on target8
0Big chances2
2Corners5
Shots
3Shots off target8
0Blocked shots3
4Shots inside box8
1Shots outside box11
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
-0.92Goals prevented0.17
Attack
14Touches in box19
60Final third entries93
2Offsides2
14Free kicks13
2Fouled in final third5
Passing
232Passes502
160Accurate passes418
26/68 (38%)Long balls28/61 (46%)
0/11 (0%)Crosses4/15 (27%)
16Throw-ins17
Duels
45Duels55
32/64 (50%)Ground duels32/64 (50%)
6/21 (29%)Aerial duels15/21 (71%)
0/9 (0%)Dribbles7/18 (39%)
3Dispossessed9
Defending
20Tackles12
75Tackles won42
3Interceptions5
16Clearances14
32Recoveries40
Discipline
13Fouls14
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
6Saves2
1Big saves0
10Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Millonarios to win 43% · 2.70 @ William Hill
Who winsMillonarios to win (DNB) 53% · 1.55 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.11 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.22 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.85 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.50 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 30% · 2.38 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.51 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 2.55 @ 10bet
1X2Llaneros to win 27% · 4.01 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.48
Llaneros FC
3.04
Draw
2.10
Millonarios
Double Chanceconsensus
1.66
Llaneros FC or Draw
1.30
Llaneros FC or Millonarios
1.25
Draw or Millonarios
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.50
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.35
YES
1.53
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
7.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.40
Over 1.50
2.80
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.25
Over 2.50
1.61
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.20
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.39
Llaneros FC
1.53
Millonarios
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.31
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.37
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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