Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**El Salvador looking to repeat the dose** after a recent 1-0 win at home — this is a revenge mission for Martinique, who are desperate to avoid another defeat. 🇸🇻
El Salvador's form is streaky (1W-2D-2L), but they've got recent history on their side here. Martinique have won 2 of the last 4 H2H clashes though, so this isn't a layup — they're winless in their last 5 (0W-2D-3L) and look vulnerable.
Key storylines:
- **El Salvador's midfield control** with Valladares and Landaverde will be crucial to suffocating Martinique's creative outlets
- **Martinique's attacking depth** featuring Renel, Biron, and Fabian needs service — staying compact defensively is their only path
- **Recency bias cuts both ways**: El Salvador just beat these exact opponents 1-0 away, but that was months back in a different context
Expected lineups:
- **El Salvador**: M. González, J. Sibrián, J. Cruz, R. Clavel, D. Flores, J. Valladares, B. Landaverde, C. Martínez, H. Osorio, S. Vásquez, B. Gil
- **Martinique**: Y. Clementia, P. Burner, B. Moltenis, F. Poulolo, J. Moutachy, J. Varane, C. Mandouki, S. Renel, K. Fabian, B. Labeau, M. Biron
Prediction:
**El Salvador 1–0 Martinique**. Slight edge to the Salvadorans' experience and recent winning record in this fixture. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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