Dominica 1-5 Guyana: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 1, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Dominica 1-5 Guyana.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

D. Niles

Attempt saved. D. Niles (Guyana), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

90'

E. George

Goal! Dominica 1-5 Guyana. E. George (Guyana) scores.

88'

A. Laville

Yellow card for A. Laville (Dominica) for foul.

86'

D. Niles

Attempt missed. D. Niles (Guyana), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

85'

J. George

Yellow card for J. George (Dominica) for foul.

84'

Guyana

Corner, Guyana.

82'

J. George

Attempt saved. J. George (Dominica), right-footed shot. xG 0.21.

82'

N. Ferguson

Substitution, Guyana: C. Kellman comes on for N. Ferguson.

81'

O. D. Rosario

Substitution, Guyana: E. George comes on for O. D. Rosario.

79'

K. Benjamin

Goal! Dominica 1-4 Guyana. K. Benjamin (Guyana) scores, assisted by O. D. Rosario.

77'

T. S. Jr

Attempt missed. T. S. Jr (Dominica), header from a corner. xG 0.28.

77'

Guyana

Corner, Guyana.

76'

T. Jules

Off the woodwork! T. Jules (Dominica), header on the counter. xG 0.14.

76'

S. Anselm

Substitution, Dominica: J. Xavier comes on for S. Anselm.

75'

T. Jules

Attempt blocked. T. Jules (Dominica), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

75'

T. Jules

Goal! Dominica 1-3 Guyana. T. Jules (Dominica) scores, assisted by M. Bredas.

67'

N. Ferguson

Attempt missed. N. Ferguson (Guyana), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.15.

67'

K. Benjamin

Attempt missed. K. Benjamin (Guyana), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

67'

D. Niles

Attempt blocked. D. Niles (Guyana), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

64'

A. Laville

Attempt missed. A. Laville (Dominica), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.07.

64'

J. Johnville

Substitution, Dominica: T. Jules comes on for J. Johnville.

63'

O. Glasgow

Substitution, Guyana: D. Niles comes on for O. Glasgow.

63'

L. Gordon

Substitution, Guyana: I. Barker comes on for L. Gordon.

62'

S. Anselm

Attempt saved. S. Anselm (Dominica), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

54'

N. Moriah-Welsh

Attempt saved. N. Moriah-Welsh (Guyana), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

51'

A. Laville

Attempt blocked. A. Laville (Dominica), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

50'

D. Moore

Goal! Dominica 0-3 Guyana. D. Moore (Guyana) scores, assisted by O. D. Rosario.

46'

R. Cuffy

Substitution, Dominica: N. Harve comes on for R. Cuffy.

46'

R. Ritch

Substitution, Guyana: L. Lovell comes on for R. Ritch.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Dominica 0-2 Guyana.

45+1'

K. Benjamin

Attempt missed. K. Benjamin (Guyana), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

J. George

Attempt missed. J. George (Dominica), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

41'

O. Glasgow

Goal! Dominica 0-2 Guyana. O. Glasgow (Guyana) scores.

40'

L. Gordon

Attempt saved. L. Gordon (Guyana), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

40'

L. Edwards

Yellow card for L. Edwards (Dominica) for foul.

37'

O. D. Rosario

Attempt missed. O. D. Rosario (Guyana), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

27'

O. D. Rosario

Goal! Dominica 0-1 Guyana. O. D. Rosario (Guyana) scores.

27'

N. Ferguson

Off the woodwork! N. Ferguson (Guyana), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

25'

J. Jones

Attempt missed. J. Jones (Guyana), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

25'

Dominica

Offside, Dominica.

18'

J. George

Attempt missed. J. George (Dominica), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

6'

Dominica

Offside, Dominica.

5'

S. Anselm

Attempt missed. S. Anselm (Dominica), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

4'

R. Cuffy

Attempt missed. R. Cuffy (Dominica), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

1'

Kick-off: Dominica vs Guyana.

Where the money is

187604 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 54766 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

95.7%

-3.3 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

2.4%

+2.3 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

1.9%

+1.8 vs price

Half time 3803 EUR · live

Away 2.2 · implied 45.5%

68.6%

+23.1 vs price

Draw 2.08 · implied 48.1%

28.2%

-19.9 vs price

Home 14.5 · implied 6.9%

3.2%

-3.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 31735 EUR · live

Under 5.8 · implied 17.2%

63.0%

+45.7 vs price

Over 1.25 · implied 80.0%

37.1%

-42.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 3666 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

80.9%

-15.2 vs price

Over 27.0 · implied 3.7%

19.0%

+15.3 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

27' ⚽ O. D. Rosario0–1

40' L. Edwards · Foul

41' ⚽ O. Glasgow0–2

Half-time · 0–2

46' 🔁 L. Lovell ◂ R. Ritch

46' 🔁 N. Harve ◂ R. Cuffy

50' ⚽ D. Moore · assist O. D. Rosario0–3

63' 🔁 I. Barker ◂ L. Gordon

63' 🔁 D. Niles ◂ O. Glasgow

64' 🔁 T. Jules ◂ J. Johnville

75' ⚽ T. Jules · assist M. Bredas1–3

76' 🔁 J. Xavier ◂ S. Anselm

79' ⚽ K. Benjamin · assist O. D. Rosario1–4

81' 🔁 E. George ◂ O. D. Rosario

82' 🔁 C. Kellman ◂ N. Ferguson

85' J. George · Foul

88' A. Laville · Foul

Full-time · 1–5

90' ⚽ E. George1–5

Coaches

Kurt Herd

Jamaal Shabazz

Recent form

Dominica

LHPuerto Rico0-2

DACayman Islands0-0

WHAnguilla1-0

DHSint Maarten0-0

LAGuyana0-2

Guyana

WHCayman Islands2-0

WAPuerto Rico1-0

WHBelize3-1

WHDominica2-0

WAAntigua and Barbuda4-1

About this match

**Guyana's rolling hot, Dominica's treading water** — this is a classic David vs. Goliath vibe in a region where streaks matter. 🔥

Dominica's form is patchy (1W-2D-2L), while Guyana just demolished everyone 5-0 in their last five. The hosts also dropped 0-2 at home to Puerto Rico recently, which is never a good look before a tough opponent rolls into town.

Key storylines:

- **Guyana's perfect run** puts them heavy favorites after five straight wins with a +9 goal differential
- **Dominica's home advantage** is the only real card they hold — they've won once at the Estadio Centroamericano this window
- **Recent H2H edge to Guyana** — they beat Dominica last time, and form suggests they're on another level right now

Expected lineups:

- **Dominica**: D. Newton, E. Marshall, M. Bredas, T. Jnohope, L. Edwards, B. Thomas, J. George, T. Sandy, A. Laville, T. Jules, R. Cuffy
- **Guyana**: Q. Roberts, J. Jones, L. Gordon, T. Vancooten, I. Jones, N. Moriah-Welsh, N. Ferguson, O. Glasgow, E. Bonds, O. D. Rosario, K. Benjamin

Prediction:

**Guyana 2-0 Dominica**

Form's king in qualifiers, and **Guyana** looks like the only team showing up fully loaded. 🎯

Where to watch

ViX

Match facts

Stadium

Estadio Centroamericano de Mayaguez

City

Mayaguez

Kickoff

01 Oct, 21:00 UTC

Competition

CONCACAF Nations League

Highlights & clips

Dominica 5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1 Guyana

1 D. Newton 4.1 13 M. Bredas 5.3 2 T. Jnohope 5.6 3 T. S. Jr 5.5 10 T. Jules 7.3 ↑ 64' 16 T. Sandy 5.1 20 L. Edwards 6.2 6 J. Xavier 6.0 ↑ 76' 9 J. George 6.7 23 A. Laville 6.7 7 N. Harve 6.5 ↑ 46' 18 Q. Roberts 6.1 2 L. Lovell 6.6 ↑ 46' 23 E. Bonds 6.9 5 J. Jones 6.8 16 I. Barker 6.2 ↑ 63' 14 C. Kellman 6.8 ↑ 82' 6 N. Moriah-Welsh 6.7 11 K. Benjamin 7.8 19 D. Moore 7.7 8 D. Niles 6.8 ↑ 63' 21 E. George 6.9 ↑ 81'

Substitutes

12GD. Eloi 5DJ. Johnville↓ 64'6.1 17DD. Dangleben 4DE. Marshall 11MS. Anselm↓ 76'6.3 8MA. Kimmani 18MS. Lockhart 14FR. Cuffy↓ 46'6.3

Coach: Kurt Herd

Substitutes

22GA. Clarke 1GE. Lewis 13DL. Gordon↓ 63'7.1 4DK. Paul 17MR. Ritch↓ 46'7.2 7MN. Ferguson↓ 82'6.9 9FO. D. Rosario↓ 81'8.3 10FO. Glasgow↓ 63'7.7 3FB. Wharton

Coach: Jamaal Shabazz

Top stats

37%Possession63%

1.11Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.75

11Total shots16

3Shots on target8

0Big chances2

2Corners2

Shots

7Shots off target7

1Blocked shots1

7Shots inside box8

4Shots outside box8

1Hit woodwork1

0Big chances scored2

Attack

12Touches in box18

46Final third entries64

1Offsides2

13Free kicks13

2Fouled in final third3

Passing

263Passes472

173Accurate passes393

20/53 (38%)Long balls24/51 (47%)

3/9 (33%)Crosses3/8 (38%)

25Throw-ins26

Duels

41Duels59

30/63 (48%)Ground duels33/63 (52%)

3/17 (18%)Aerial duels14/17 (82%)

4/9 (44%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)

9Dispossessed6

Defending

13Tackles14

85Tackles won64

10Interceptions20

18Clearances17

53Recoveries54

Discipline

13Fouls13

3Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

10Goal kicks7

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Dominica 8%

16%

Guyana 76%

1X2Guyana to win 76% · 1.53 @ William Hill

Who winsGuyana to win (DNB) 79% · 1.07 @ Betano

BTTSBTTS: No 58% · 1.21 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.90 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.95 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.50 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 16% · 3.26 @ 1xBet

1X2Dominica to win 8% · 9.55 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

11.00

Dominica

5.75

Draw

1.22

Guyana

Double Chanceconsensus

3.78

Dominica or Draw

1.11

Dominica or Guyana

1.04

Draw or Guyana

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.25

Yes

1.57

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

19.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

1.85

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

13.95

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.62

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.58

Over 2.50

2.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.45

Over 3.50

1.49

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.42

Over 4.50

1.18

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

8.75

Dominica

1.05

Guyana

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

9.93

Dominica

2.62

Draw

1.61

Guyana

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

9.50

Dominica

3.20

Draw

1.45

Guyana

Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus

5.50

Yes

1.12

No

Both Teams to Score (2nd Half)consensus

4.00

Yes

1.20

No

Total Goals (1st Half) 0.50consensus

1.29

Over 0.50

3.40

Under 0.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Guyana to win or draw

✓

92% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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