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Fabio Ingolitsch
SK Sturm Graz
Fenerbahçe
SK Sturm Graz
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Fenerbahçe
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
889255 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
81.0%
-18.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.1%
+12.0 vs price
Draw
85.0 · implied 1.2%
7.1%
+6.0 vs price
Half time
8986 EUR · live
Draw
1.12 · implied 89.3%
69.7%
-19.6 vs price
Away
14.0 · implied 7.1%
20.6%
+13.4 vs price
Home
9.4 · implied 10.6%
9.8%
-0.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
138342 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.5%
-16.5 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
17.6%
+17.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
12621 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
93.2%
-5.8 vs price
Over
130.0 · implied 0.8%
6.8%
+6.0 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
40'
N. Semedo · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'
A. Brown · Foul
61'
🔁
B. Beganović ◂ S. Jatta
61'
🔁
J. Heil ◂ A. Malić
61'
🔁
N. Weiper ◂ A. Kayombo
62'
🔁
M. Müldür ◂ N. Semedo
63'
🔁
Fred ◂ M. Asensio
63'
🔁
O. Aydın ◂ M. Greenwood
66'
⚽
Talisca (pen)0–1
70'
🔁
R. Fosso ◂ J. G. Stanković
73'
🔁
İ. Yüksek ◂ N. Kanté
77'
🔁
V. Muriqi ◂ Talisca
79'
🔁
P. Koller ◂ P. Petrović
80'
F. Ingolitsch · Argument
84'
J. Mitchell · Foul
89'
K. Aktürkoğlu · Foul
Full-time · 0–1
90'+3
R. Fosso · Argument
Coaches
Fabio Ingolitschİsmail Kartal 
Recent form
SK Sturm GrazWATSV Hartberg2-0
LAFenerbahçe0-2
DAWSG Tirol1-1
WAHeart of Midlothian2-0
WHHeart of Midlothian4-0
FenerbahçeWHSK Sturm Graz2-0
DAGórnik Zabrze1-1
WHGórnik Zabrze1-0
WALASK2-1
WHPogoń Szczecin4-0
Where to watch
ORF 1ORF ON
ORF 1
ORF ON
S Sport+
ESPN AppESPN SelectfuboTV
Match facts
Stadium
Merkur Arena
City
Graz
Kickoff
11 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Champions League
SK Sturm Graz
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Fenerbahçe
53
D. Khudyakov
7.8
28
J. Heil
6.8
↑ 61'
2
J. Mitchell
7.8
30
P. Koller
6.9
↑ 79'
18
E. Soglo
7.2
19
S. Seidl
6.8
80
R. Fosso
6.8
↑ 70'
39
L. Weinhandl
6.7
43
J. Hödl
7.5
26
B. Beganović
6.3
↑ 61'
44
N. Weiper
6.6
↑ 61'
34
M. Günok
7.7
18
M. Müldür
6.7
↑ 62'
37
M. Škriniar
7.6
15
N. Aké
7.2
3
A. Brown
7.1
6
M. Guendouzi
7.2
5
İ. Yüksek
6.8
↑ 73'
7
Fred
6.4
↑ 63'
70
O. Aydın
6.5
↑ 63'
9
K. Aktürkoğlu
7.5
19
V. Muriqi
6.6
↑ 77'
Top stats
50%Possession50%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
19Total shots11
2Shots on target6
1Big chances4
7Corners6
Shots
8Shots off target3
9Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box8
13Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed3
Attack
37Touches in box17
67Final third entries30
1Offsides0
13Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
385Passes398
313Accurate passes318
27/47 (57%)Long balls21/59 (36%)
3/23 (13%)Crosses2/10 (20%)
23Throw-ins24
Duels
50Duels50
50/96 (52%)Ground duels46/96 (48%)
14/33 (42%)Aerial duels19/33 (58%)
12/31 (39%)Dribbles6/15 (40%)
9Dispossessed17
Defending
26Tackles28
58Tackles won71
11Interceptions11
19Clearances37
55Recoveries46
Discipline
12Fouls13
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
3Big saves1
4Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsFenerbahçe to win (DNB) 69% · 1.37 @ Unibet
1X2Fenerbahçe to win 53% · 2.03 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 1.59 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.62 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.67 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.21 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 24% · 4.45 @ Betano
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.57 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.61 @ Betway
1X2Sturm to win 23% · 4.21 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.01
SK Sturm Graz ▼
4.05
Draw ▼
1.72
Fenerbahçe
Double Chanceconsensus
1.96
SK Sturm Graz or Draw
1.21
SK Sturm Graz or Fenerbahçe ▼
1.22
Draw or Fenerbahçe
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.54
Yes
2.34
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50 ▼
13.52
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50 ▲
4.83
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50 ▲
2.39
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.40
Over 3.50 ▲
1.56
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.08
Over 4.50 ▲
1.23
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.99
SK Sturm Graz ▼
1.32
Fenerbahçe ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
17.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.67
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.67
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50 ▼
3.43
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.51
Over 8.50
2.38
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50 ▼
1.86
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.35
Over 10.50
1.51
Under 10.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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