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Alejandro Restrepo
Bolívar
São Paulo
Bolívar
4-4-2 · 3-5-1-1
São Paulo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
748306 EUR · live
Home
26.0 · implied 3.8%
44.7%
+40.8 vs price
Away
850.0 · implied 0.1%
43.4%
+43.3 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
12.0%
-84.2 vs price
Half time
27384 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
86.2%
-10.8 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.3%
+7.2 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
6.5%
+5.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
499654 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
90.1%
-7.0 vs price
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
9.9%
+5.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
37959 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.4%
-2.7 vs price
Over
110.0 · implied 0.9%
3.6%
+2.7 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
23'
⚽
R. Arboleda · assist I. Borduchi0–1
Half-time · 0–1
50'
I. Borduchi · Foul
54'
🔁
D. Batallini ◂ J. Sagredo
61'
🔁
Wendell ◂ I. Borduchi
63'
⚽
C. Melgar1–1
71'
🔁
Ferreira ◂ Luciano
71'
🔁
Danielzinho ◂ M. Antônio
76'
🔁
J. Velásquez ◂ P. Rodríguez
76'
🔁
B. Miranda ◂ M. Cauteruccio
83'
🔁
Cauly ◂ D. Bobadilla
83'
🔁
A. Buta ◂ L. Ramon
85'
🔁
E. Vaca ◂ E. Saavedra
85'
🔁
B. Arce ◂ R. Matheus
Full-time · 1–1
90'+6
A. Buta · Foul
Coaches
Alejandro RestrepoDorival Júnior 
Recent form
BolívarWAGrêmio1-0
WHGrêmio3-2
LHIndependiente Rivadavia1-3
LAFluminense1-2
DADeportivo La Guaira1-1
São PauloLAGrêmio1-2
DAFlamengo1-1
LHAthletico1-2
LARemo0-1
WHBoston River2-0
Where to watch
beIN Sports Xtra
DGOViX
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DGO
DGO
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Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Hernando Siles
City
La Paz
Kickoff
12 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Copa Sudamericana
Highlights & clips
Bolívar
4-4-2 · 3-5-1-1
São Paulo
1
C. Lampe
6.4
99
D. Batallini
6.8
↑ 54'
3
X. Arreaga
7.1
5
S. Echeverria
6.1
7
J. Velásquez
6.7
↑ 76'
10
B. Arce
6.7
↑ 85'
80
C. Melgar
8.0
26
E. Saavedra
6.7
11
B. Miranda
6.4
↑ 76'
27
D. Asprilla
6.4
6
E. Vaca
6.7
↑ 85'
23
Rafael
6.0
28
Newton
6.7
5
R. Arboleda
7.8
22
D. Duarte
6.7
20
A. Buta
6.8
↑ 83'
80
Cauly
6.5
↑ 83'
29
P. Maia
6.8
11
Ferreira
6.4
↑ 71'
18
Wendell
6.4
↑ 61'
94
Danielzinho
6.9
↑ 71'
9
J. Calleri
6.8
Substitutes
13GD. Méndez
2DJ. Sagredo↓ 54'6.3
4DJ. Sagredo↓ 54'6.3
35DE. Rivero
8DL. F. Paz
33DF. Mena
16DL. Zabala
14MR. Matheus↓ 85'7.0
20MC. Sejas
17FP. Rodríguez↓ 76'7.1
9FM. Cauteruccio↓ 76'6.7
77FD. Romero
Coach: Alejandro Restrepo
Top stats
64%Possession36%
1.14Expected goals (xG)0.67
22Total shots11
4Shots on target2
0Big chances2
8Corners4
Shots
13Shots off target6
5Blocked shots3
9Shots inside box5
13Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.14Goals prevented-0.4
Attack
23Touches in box9
60Final third entries46
2Offsides0
11Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
543Passes314
477Accurate passes227
22/36 (61%)Long balls15/51 (29%)
10/41 (24%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
32Throw-ins18
Duels
45Duels55
19/45 (42%)Ground duels26/45 (58%)
11/22 (50%)Aerial duels11/22 (50%)
3/7 (43%)Dribbles7/10 (70%)
9Dispossessed3
Defending
6Tackles13
33Tackles won46
9Interceptions9
17Clearances43
45Recoveries43
Discipline
7Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
0Big saves1
8Goal kicks14
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 50% · 1.80 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.52 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.33 @ Interwetten
Who winsBolívar to win (DNB) 71% · 1.33 @ 10bet
1X2Bolívar to win 52% · 1.81 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 51%
1X2Draw 27% · 3.74 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ Unibet
1X2São Paulo to win 21% · 4.84 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.73
Bolívar ▲
3.32
Draw ▲
4.49
São Paulo ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Bolívar or Draw ▼
1.28
Bolívar or São Paulo
1.92
Draw or São Paulo
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.70
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50 ▲
3.15
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.05
Over 2.50 ▲
1.74
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.60
Over 3.50 ▲
1.28
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50 ▲
1.10
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.28
Bolívar
3.23
São Paulo ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
15.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.01
Over 5.50
11.75
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.05
Over 6.50
8.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50 ▼
4.97
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.26
Over 8.50
3.39
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.47
Over 9.50 ▲
2.48
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.76
Over 10.50 ▼
1.94
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.19
Over 11.50 ▼
1.60
Under 11.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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