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Jorge González
Recoleta FC
Boca Juniors
Recoleta FC
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Boca Juniors
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
402751 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.6%
-7.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.8%
+5.7 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.6%
+2.5 vs price
Half time
2118 EUR · live
Away
2.9 · implied 34.5%
52.4%
+17.9 vs price
Home
9.8 · implied 10.2%
28.1%
+17.9 vs price
Draw
1.79 · implied 55.9%
19.5%
-36.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
111123 EUR · live
Under
4.9 · implied 20.4%
70.8%
+50.4 vs price
Over
1.27 · implied 78.7%
29.2%
-49.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4003 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
84.2%
-11.9 vs price
Over
44.0 · implied 2.3%
15.8%
+13.5 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
30'
⚽
S. Ascacíbar0–1
43'
⚽
S. Villa0–2
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
P. Charpentier ◂ B. Medina
46'
🔁
H. López ◂ L. Cardozo
46'
🔁
A. Velasco ◂ T. Aranda
50'
R. Dominguez · Foul
52'
⚽
M. Merentiel · assist M. Delgado0–3
57'
🔁
E. Valencia ◂ M. Merentiel
57'
🔁
C. R. Domenech ◂ M. Delgado
65'
🔁
K. Zenón ◂ S. Ascacíbar
71'
🔁
M. Pereira ◂ A. Silva
77'
⚽
A. Velasco · assist K. Zenón0–4
78'
🔁
F. Herrera ◂ A. Costa
81'
N. Ferreira · Argument
83'
🔁
F. Galeano ◂ R. Dominguez
83'
🔁
M. Shupp ◂ K. Parzajuk
Full-time · 0–4
Coaches
Jorge GonzálezRodolfo Arruabarrena 
Recent form
Recoleta FCLABoca Juniors1-3
WASan Lorenzo1-0
DADeportivo Cuenca2-2
DHSantos1-1
DHDeportivo Cuenca0-0
Boca JuniorsDAClub Atlético Platense1-1
WHRecoleta FC3-1
DHVélez Sarsfield1-1
WHEstudiantes de La Plata1-0
DANewell's Old Boys2-2
Where to watch
Paramount+
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Arena Sport 1 HR
Sport TV2
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
City
Asuncion
Kickoff
18 Aug, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Copa Sudamericana
Highlights & clips
Recoleta FC
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Boca Juniors
12
N. Ferreira
6.8
19
H. López
6.1
↑ 46'
5
N. Marotta
5.8
30
P. Charpentier
6.6
↑ 46'
32
L. Monzón
6.2
8
F. Galeano
6.6
↑ 83'
6
J. Espinola
6.2
4
M. Pereira
6.2
↑ 71'
18
P. Ríos
7.1
31
M. Shupp
6.4
↑ 83'
33
A. Gonzalez
6.1
1
Á. Montero
8.0
24
D. Gorosito
7.1
4
N. Figal
7.3
42
F. Herrera
7.2
↑ 78'
3
L. Blanco
7.7
8
T. Belmonte
7.1
23
C. R. Domenech
6.8
↑ 57'
21
K. Zenón
6.7
↑ 65'
20
A. Velasco
7.8
↑ 46'
30
E. Valencia
6.3
↑ 57'
22
S. Villa
7.5
Substitutes
13GO. Toledo
3DL. Cardozo↓ 46'6.2
15DB. Medina↓ 46'5.8
23DJ. Núñez
27DJ. Dominguez
10MA. Silva↓ 71'6.6
7MR. Dominguez↓ 83'6.6
20MM. Cañete
21MC. Garay
11FK. Parzajuk↓ 83'6.6
24FT. Vidal
9FR. Ortiz
Coach: Jorge González
Substitutes
12GL. Brey
32DA. Costa↓ 78'7.2
2DL. D. Lollo
27DM. Braida
25MS. Ascacíbar↓ 65'7.4
10MT. Aranda↓ 46'7.3
18MM. Delgado↓ 57'7.1
7MC. Palacios
16FM. Merentiel↓ 57'7.1
19FL. Flores
9FM. Giménez
11FÁ. Romero
Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena
Top stats
52%Possession48%
0.96Expected goals (xG)2.79
11Total shots18
4Shots on target11
3Big chances4
8Corners5
Shots
2Shots off target5
5Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box11
2Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored3
3Big chances missed1
-1.42Goals prevented1.15
Attack
15Touches in box18
69Final third entries42
2Offsides1
3Free kicks14
0Fouled in final third2
Passing
454Passes421
370Accurate passes330
31/51 (61%)Long balls20/55 (36%)
6/21 (29%)Crosses2/8 (25%)
24Throw-ins25
Duels
40Duels60
29/76 (38%)Ground duels47/76 (62%)
11/24 (46%)Aerial duels13/24 (54%)
9/16 (56%)Dribbles18/30 (60%)
9Dispossessed5
Defending
17Tackles16
59Tackles won56
11Interceptions14
18Clearances22
55Recoveries64
Discipline
14Fouls3
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
7Saves4
3Big saves0
8Goal kicks3
0Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 61 bookmakers
Who winsBoca Juniors to win (DNB) 74% · 1.28 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Boca Juniors to win 55% · 2.00 @ BetMGM.uk
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.18 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.91 @ bet9ja
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.02 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58%
1X2Draw 26% · 2.86 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 54%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.55 @ betinasia
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.32 @ betfair
1X2Recoleta to win 18% · 6.00 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.74
Recoleta FC ▼
4.09
Draw ▼
1.52
Boca Juniors ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
2.40
Recoleta FC or Draw ▼
1.21
Recoleta FC or Boca Juniors ▼
1.12
Draw or Boca Juniors ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.91
Yes ▼
1.80
No ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50 ▼
3.65
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.81
Over 2.50 ▲
1.94
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.01
Over 3.50 ▲
1.35
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.56
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.44
Recoleta FC ▲
1.18
Boca Juniors ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50
6.40
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50
4.30
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.45
Over 10.50 ▼
1.46
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
4.78
Over 12.50
1.14
Under 12.50
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
6.00
Over 13.50
1.08
Under 13.50
European Handicap 3.00consensus
1.16
Recoleta FC +3 ▲
7.26
Draw +3 ▼
9.81
Boca Juniors -3 ▼
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.84
E ▲
1.88
Over ▼
Total Cards 4.50consensus
1.39
Over 4.50
2.65
Under 4.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Boca Juniors to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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