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Leam Richardson
Reading
Luton Town
Reading
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Luton Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
102257 EUR · live
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
43.7%
+43.6 vs price
Away
1.07 · implied 93.5%
33.4%
-60.1 vs price
Draw
14.0 · implied 7.1%
22.9%
+15.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6373 EUR · live
Over
1.14 · implied 87.7%
84.8%
-2.9 vs price
Under
8.0 · implied 12.5%
15.2%
+2.7 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
J. Richards · assist J. Clark0–1
8'
⚽
J. Marriott1–1
31'
⚽
J. Marriott2–1
38'
⚽
J. Marriott · assist K. Lisbie3–1
39'
J. Wilshere · Argument
Half-time · 3–1
50'
⚽
K. Palmer3–2
52'
⚽
K. Palmer · assist N. Wells3–3
61'
🔁
B. Benagr ◂ E. Lawrence
65'
🔁
J. Brown ◂ J. Marriott
65'
🔁
R. Williams ◂ J. Stokes
70'
🔁
C. Marshall ◂ N. Wells
72'
L. Walsh · Argument
79'
🔁
P. Lane ◂ D. Kyerewaa
79'
🔁
C. Savage ◂ K. Lisbie
81'
🔁
H. Ashby ◂ I. Jones
81'
🔁
G. Kodua ◂ K. Palmer
Full-time · 3–4
90'
🔁
M. Andersen ◂ H. Odofin
90'+4
🔁
L. Fraser ◂ A. Rinomhota
90'+5
P. O’Connor · Foul
90'+6
⚽
G. Kodua · assist J. Richards3–4
90'+7
G. Kodua
Coaches
Jack Wilshere 
Recent form
DABromley1-1
WHCharlton Athletic3-0
WACrawley Town1-0
WANewport County4-0
WAWoking2-0
WAGillingham3-0
LHGo Ahead Eagles0-1
WHAl-Kholood2-0
DABarnet2-2
WAHitchin Town5-0
Match facts
Stadium
Select Car Leasing Stadium
City
Reading
Kickoff
15 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
1
J. Pereira
6.0
2
U. Godwin-Malife
6.3
15
P. O’Connor
6.4
16
B. Ward
6.0
3
J. Dorsett
5.9
10
L. Wing
7.0
6
L. Fraser
↑ 90'
8
C. Savage
6.5
↑ 79'
14
R. Williams
6.4
↑ 65'
32
P. Lane
6.6
↑ 79'
18
J. Brown
6.5
↑ 65'
24
J. Keeley
5.4
33
H. Ashby
6.7
↑ 81'
5
M. Andersen
6.6
↑ 90'
6
G. Johnston
6.5
3
K. Naismith
6.8
18
J. Clark
7.6
8
L. Walsh
7.0
7
J. Richards
7.8
30
G. Kodua
7.2
↑ 81'
31
B. Benagr
6.6
↑ 61'
9
C. Marshall
6.5
↑ 70'
Substitutes
25GJ. Stevens
39DA. Ahmed
11MD. Kyerewaa↓ 79'6.5
28MJ. Stokes↓ 65'6.4
4MA. Rinomhota↓ 90'6.4
19MK. Lisbie↓ 79'6.3
7FJ. Marriott↓ 65'10.0
Coach: Leam Richardson
Substitutes
1GJ. Shea
2DH. Odofin↓ 90'6.1
25DI. Jones↓ 81'5.9
45MK. Palmer↓ 81'7.4
11ME. Lawrence↓ 61'6.4
4MS. H. Sandal
21FN. Wells↓ 70'6.6
Coach: Jack Wilshere
Top stats
41%Possession59%
1.77Expected goals (xG)1.6
17Total shots12
5Shots on target5
3Big chances3
5Corners2
Shots
2Shots off target6
10Blocked shots1
11Shots inside box10
6Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed1
-1.65Goals prevented-1.77
Attack
24Touches in box24
71Final third entries48
4Offsides3
11Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
304Passes455
216Accurate passes377
34/77 (44%)Long balls9/41 (22%)
2/18 (11%)Crosses2/10 (20%)
24Throw-ins26
Duels
51Duels49
26/61 (43%)Ground duels35/61 (57%)
24/37 (65%)Aerial duels13/37 (35%)
4/15 (27%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)
8Dispossessed4
Defending
11Tackles19
64Tackles won79
9Interceptions10
28Clearances46
35Recoveries40
Discipline
12Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
6Goal kicks4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsLuton to win (DNB) 58% · 1.68 @ merkurxtip
1X2Luton to win 44% · 2.63 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.83 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.45 @ Betway
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.76 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 2.65 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.94 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.05 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
1X2Reading to win 29% · 3.50 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.06
Reading ▼
3.40
Draw
2.19
Luton Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.64
Reading or Draw
1.29
Reading or Luton Town
1.32
Draw or Luton Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.66
Yes
2.09
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.95
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.62
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.81
Over 2.50
1.92
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.00
Over 3.50
1.34
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.90
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.24
Reading ▼
1.59
Luton Town
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
9.86
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.90
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.87
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.72
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.68
Over 9.50 ▼
2.04
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.11
Over 10.50
1.64
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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