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Jack Wilshere
Luton Town
Notts County
Luton Town
4-1-4-1 · 5-3-2
Notts County
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
109690 EUR · live
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
61.6%
-30.1 vs price
Home
19.5 · implied 5.1%
31.2%
+26.1 vs price
Away
40.0 · implied 2.5%
7.1%
+4.6 vs price
Half time
808 EUR · live
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
59.0%
+35.2 vs price
Away
880.0 · implied 0.1%
22.5%
+22.4 vs price
Draw
1.34 · implied 74.6%
18.3%
-56.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
18287 EUR · live
Under
2.88 · implied 34.7%
53.4%
+18.7 vs price
Over
1.56 · implied 64.1%
46.6%
-17.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2846 EUR · live
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
93.0%
+6.0 vs price
Over
6.4 · implied 15.6%
7.0%
-8.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
18'
🔁
G. Kodua ◂ J. Clark
31'
L. Smyth · Foul
32'
G. Johnston · Foul
39'
S. Robertson · Foul
42'
⚽
N. Wells (pen)1–0
Half-time · 1–1
45'
K. Naismith · Foul
45'+1
⚽
C. Roberts1–1
47'
K. Palmer · Foul
56'
N. Wells · Foul
61'
⚽
O. Cooper · assist N. Tsaroulla1–2
62'
🔁
C. Grant ◂ L. Smyth
62'
🔁
C. Marshall ◂ N. Wells
62'
🔁
B. Benagr ◂ E. Lawrence
68'
⚽
C. Marshall · assist K. Palmer2–2
72'
🔁
H. Mustapha ◂ S. Robertson
73'
🔁
L. Ndlovu ◂ C. Roberts
73'
🔁
I. Samuels-Smith ◂ N. Tsaroulla
80'
🔁
H. Ashby ◂ I. Jones
86'
🔁
Q. Kouhyar ◂ O. Cooper
86'
🔁
M. Baker ◂ D. Lipsiuc
Full-time · 2–2
90'+3
L. Walsh · Argument
90'+3
H. Mustapha · Argument
Coaches
Jack WilshereMartin Paterson 
Recent form
Luton TownWAReading4-3
WAGillingham3-0
LHGo Ahead Eagles0-1
WHAl-Kholood2-0
DABarnet2-2
Notts CountyDHLeicester City1-1
DABurnley1-1
DAWalsall0-0
LHNottingham Forest0-2
LARanders FC1-3
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
Sky Sports+
Match facts
Kickoff
22 Aug, 11:30 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Luton Town
4-1-4-1 · 5-3-2
Notts County
24
J. Keeley
6.2
33
H. Ashby
6.5
↑ 80'
5
M. Andersen
6.4
6
G. Johnston
7.1
3
K. Naismith
7.1
8
L. Walsh
7.2
7
J. Richards
6.4
30
G. Kodua
6.7
↑ 18'
45
K. Palmer
6.7
31
B. Benagr
6.7
↑ 62'
9
C. Marshall
7.8
↑ 62'
1
J. Belshaw
6.2
26
I. Samuels-Smith
6.8
↑ 73'
2
J. Gibbons
6.6
12
L. Ness
6.4
4
J. Bedeau
6.7
44
M. Baker
6.7
↑ 86'
17
Q. Kouhyar
6.6
↑ 86'
42
H. Mustapha
6.5
↑ 72'
15
J. Evans
6.4
11
C. Grant
6.3
↑ 62'
39
L. Ndlovu
6.6
↑ 73'
Substitutes
1GJ. Shea
25DI. Jones↓ 80'6.0
2DH. Odofin
12DJ. Johnson
11ME. Lawrence↓ 62'7.2
18MJ. Clark↓ 18'6.5
21FN. Wells↓ 62'7.0
Coach: Jack Wilshere
Substitutes
21GH. Griffiths
7MC. Roberts↓ 73'7.9
8MO. Cooper↓ 86'7.7
20MS. Robertson↓ 72'6.4
25MN. Tsaroulla↓ 73'6.2
14MD. Lipsiuc↓ 86'6.1
19FL. Smyth↓ 62'6.2
Coach: Martin Paterson
Top stats
58%Possession42%
1.93Expected goals (xG)0.79
14Total shots6
4Shots on target4
2Big chances2
8Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target0
4Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box2
5Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
-0.64Goals prevented-0.24
Attack
25Touches in box12
76Final third entries44
1Offsides1
17Free kicks15
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
418Passes311
331Accurate passes221
15/46 (33%)Long balls17/63 (27%)
5/25 (20%)Crosses3/13 (23%)
37Throw-ins13
Duels
53Duels47
37/72 (51%)Ground duels35/72 (49%)
20/35 (57%)Aerial duels15/35 (43%)
11/17 (65%)Dribbles2/7 (29%)
12Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles18
56Tackles won83
10Interceptions12
30Clearances30
38Recoveries40
Discipline
15Fouls18
5Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
0Big saves1
3Goal kicks12
0Punches4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsLuton to win (DNB) 75% · 1.34 @ forbet
1X2Notts County to win 36% · 5.00 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.57 @ Betway
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 26% · 2.75 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.00 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
1X2Luton to win 38% · 2.00 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.60
Luton Town
3.94
Draw ▲
4.91
Notts County ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.15
Luton Town or Draw ▼
1.21
Luton Town or Notts County ▼
2.19
Draw or Notts County ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes
1.97
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50 ▼
3.91
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.71
Over 2.50 ▲
2.04
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.73
Over 3.50 ▼
1.40
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.98
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.24
Luton Town
3.69
Notts County
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
7.70
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50
4.95
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.50
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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