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Nigel Clough
Mansfield Town
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Luton Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
55766 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.0%
-17.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.2%
+14.1 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.8%
+3.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
3876 EUR · live
Over
1.1 · implied 90.9%
67.2%
-23.7 vs price
Under
3.35 · implied 29.9%
36.3%
+6.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
886 EUR · live
Under
1.25 · implied 80.0%
83.9%
+3.8 vs price
Over
7.2 · implied 13.9%
16.0%
+2.1 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
L. Reed · Foul
17'
⚽
N. Moriah-Welsh · assist J. Russell1–0
26'
I. Jones · Foul
28'
⚽
N. Moriah-Welsh · assist R. Hendry2–0
Half-time · 3–0
45'
⚽
L. Reed · assist N. Moriah-Welsh3–0
45'+2
R. Sweeney · Foul
46'
🔁
B. Benagr ◂ E. Lawrence
46'
🔁
H. Ashby ◂ K. Naismith
46'
🔁
J. Johnson ◂ I. Jones
47'
⚽
J. Russell4–0
53'
🔁
E. Hewitt ◂ L. Reed
53'
🔁
F. Blake-Tracy ◂ R. Sweeney
56'
⚽
J. Russell5–0
62'
🔁
G. Kodua ◂ J. Donley
62'
🔁
N. Wells ◂ C. Marshall
64'
G. Kodua · Foul
68'
🔁
R. Oates ◂ M. Smith
68'
🔁
D. McGoldrick ◂ J. Russell
77'
K. Knoyle · Foul
78'
⚽
N. Wells (pen)5–1
85'
🔁
L. Bolton ◂ K. Knoyle
Full-time · 5–2
90'+2
⚽
N. Wells5–2
90'+4
R. Hendry · Foul
Coaches
Nigel CloughJack Wilshere 
Recent form
Mansfield TownLAPeterborough United1-2
WHDoncaster Rovers2-1
LHSheffield United0-3
LHDerby County1-3
WAAlfreton Town FC4-0
Luton TownLAChelsea0-2
DHNotts County2-2
WAReading4-3
WAGillingham3-0
LHGo Ahead Eagles0-1
Match facts
Highlights & clips
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Luton Town
1
L. Roberts
6.9
8
L. Bolton
6.2
↑ 85'
23
A. Oshilaja
6.5
20
F. Blake-Tracy
6.3
↑ 53'
4
E. Hewitt
6.0
↑ 53'
22
N. Moriah-Welsh
9.9
17
D. McGoldrick
6.5
↑ 68'
16
L. Thompson
6.8
3
S. McLaughlin
7.0
24
R. Hendry
7.5
18
R. Oates
6.4
↑ 68'
24
J. Keeley
4.7
33
H. Ashby
5.9
↑ 46'
2
H. Odofin
6.1
6
G. Johnston
6.4
12
J. Johnson
6.3
↑ 46'
8
L. Walsh
7.4
7
J. Richards
6.2
30
G. Kodua
6.3
↑ 62'
45
K. Palmer
5.7
31
B. Benagr
6.0
↑ 46'
21
N. Wells
8.0
↑ 62'
Substitutes
5DR. Sweeney↓ 53'6.7
2DK. Knoyle↓ 85'6.0
39DO. Dodgson
13MJ. Russell↓ 68'10.0
25ML. Reed↓ 53'7.6
7ML. Akins
14FM. Smith↓ 68'6.6
Coach: Nigel Clough
Substitutes
1GJ. Shea
25DI. Jones↓ 46'6.3
3DK. Naismith↓ 46'5.9
5DM. Andersen
11ME. Lawrence↓ 46'6.0
10MJ. Donley↓ 62'5.9
9FC. Marshall↓ 62'6.3
Coach: Jack Wilshere
Top stats
42%Possession58%
1.37Expected goals (xG)1.35
21Total shots12
6Shots on target4
2Big chances2
4Corners7
Shots
7Shots off target4
8Blocked shots4
18Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
-0.86Goals prevented-2.8
Attack
48Touches in box27
63Final third entries51
1Offsides1
13Free kicks12
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
325Passes469
241Accurate passes380
23/59 (39%)Long balls16/44 (36%)
7/20 (35%)Crosses6/16 (38%)
22Throw-ins18
Duels
52Duels48
31/61 (51%)Ground duels30/61 (49%)
17/31 (55%)Aerial duels14/31 (45%)
4/8 (50%)Dribbles4/13 (31%)
9Dispossessed5
Defending
14Tackles13
64Tackles won62
13Interceptions10
24Clearances32
54Recoveries51
Discipline
13Fouls13
4Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
7Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.75 @ Bet365
1X2Luton to win 40% · 2.62 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.50 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.91 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.57 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.82 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.70 @ Unibet
Who winsMansfield to win (DNB) 57% · 2.25 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
1X2Mansfield to win 34% · 3.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.75
Mansfield Town
3.60
Draw
2.30
Luton Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.55
Mansfield Town or Draw
1.24
Mansfield Town or Luton Town
1.40
Draw or Luton Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.48
Yes
2.50
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50
4.78
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.58
Over 2.50
2.30
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.44
Over 3.50
1.52
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.42
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.20
Mansfield Town
1.61
Luton Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50
3.30
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50
2.30
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.44
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.60
Over 11.50
1.25
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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