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Jack Wilshere
Luton Town
Leyton Orient
Luton Town
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Leyton Orient
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
29300 EUR · live
Home
9.6 · implied 10.4%
48.6%
+38.1 vs price
Draw
1.14 · implied 87.7%
35.1%
-52.7 vs price
Away
21.0 · implied 4.8%
16.4%
+11.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
15216 EUR · live
Over
7.2 · implied 13.9%
70.5%
+56.6 vs price
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
29.5%
-56.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
182 EUR · live
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
69.4%
-18.3 vs price
Over
8.2 · implied 12.2%
30.3%
+18.1 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
21'
🔁
H. Fox ◂ H. Ashby
25'
⚽
J. Donley · assist G. Kodua1–0
34'
⚽
J. Kabia · assist D. Mitchell1–1
42'
J. Kabia · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
53'
J. Olowu · Foul
57'
Y. Akhamrich · Argument
57'
G. Johnston · Argument
61'
🔁
K. Palmer ◂ J. Donley
61'
🔁
D. Gore ◂ L. Walsh
61'
🔁
C. Marshall ◂ N. Wells
73'
I. Hayden · Foul
76'
🔁
S. Clare ◂ I. Hayden
76'
🔁
N. Oyekunle ◂ J. Kabia
82'
🔁
T. Springett ◂ D. Mitchell
83'
🔁
T. Mendel-Idowu ◂ G. Kodua
83'
🔁
T. Archibald ◂ P. Chinedu
83'
🔁
A. Dobra ◂ Y. Akhamrich
86'
D. Gore · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Jack WilshereRichie Wellens 
Recent form
Luton TownWHStockport County2-0
LAMansfield Town2-5
LAChelsea0-2
DHNotts County2-2
WAReading4-3
Leyton OrientWABromley5-0
LHBarnsley1-3
DAWalsall0-0
WAWigan Athletic2-0
LHSheffield Wednesday1-2
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League One
Highlights & clips
Luton Town
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Leyton Orient
24
J. Keeley
6.0
2
H. Odofin
6.9
5
M. Andersen
6.8
6
G. Johnston
7.5
22
H. Fox
6.5
↑ 21'
16
D. Gore
6.4
↑ 61'
7
J. Richards
6.5
25
I. Jones
7.3
45
K. Palmer
6.8
↑ 61'
17
T. Mendel-Idowu
6.3
↑ 83'
9
C. Marshall
6.4
↑ 61'
1
N. Baxter
6.5
2
F. Stevens
6.7
5
J. Olowu
7.4
6
W. Forrester
8.2
25
C. Wellens
6.1
28
S. Clare
6.9
↑ 76'
8
I. E. Mizouni
7.3
17
A. Dobra
6.4
↑ 83'
44
T. Archibald
6.4
↑ 83'
27
T. Springett
6.5
↑ 82'
49
N. Oyekunle
6.5
↑ 76'
Substitutes
1GJ. Shea
33DH. Ashby↓ 21'6.6
3DK. Naismith
10MJ. Donley↓ 61'7.7
30MG. Kodua↓ 83'7.7
8ML. Walsh↓ 61'6.3
21FN. Wells↓ 61'6.7
Coach: Jack Wilshere
Substitutes
23GO. Dovin
34DP. Chinedu↓ 83'6.1
11MD. Mitchell↓ 82'7.1
14MI. Hayden↓ 76'6.7
9FJ. Kabia↓ 76'7.4
22FY. Akhamrich↓ 83'6.5
18FD. Scarlett
Coach: Richie Wellens
Top stats
53%Possession47%
2.21Expected goals (xG)0.56
23Total shots7
7Shots on target3
3Big chances2
7Corners2
Shots
6Shots off target3
10Blocked shots1
14Shots inside box5
9Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed2
-0.82Goals prevented-0.38
Attack
28Touches in box10
51Final third entries51
1Offsides0
12Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
467Passes415
385Accurate passes317
14/50 (28%)Long balls13/61 (21%)
4/19 (21%)Crosses2/12 (17%)
20Throw-ins30
Duels
52Duels48
29/63 (46%)Ground duels34/63 (54%)
24/38 (63%)Aerial duels14/38 (37%)
7/17 (41%)Dribbles5/8 (63%)
10Dispossessed9
Defending
12Tackles20
67Tackles won65
8Interceptions7
43Clearances37
40Recoveries42
Discipline
9Fouls12
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks9
1Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Luton to win 56% · 2.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.70 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.34 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.85 @ William Hill
Who winsLuton to win (DNB) 63% · 1.31 @ Bwin
1X2Draw 24% · 2.85 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.85 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
1X2Leyton Orient to win 21% · 4.40 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.67
Luton Town
4.00
Draw
4.50
Leyton Orient
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Luton Town or Draw
1.20
Luton Town or Leyton Orient
2.12
Draw or Leyton Orient
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.61
Yes
2.20
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
14.95
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50
4.60
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.60
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.50
Over 3.50
1.50
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.25
Luton Town
3.70
Leyton Orient
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
4.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.30
Over 8.50
3.05
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.56
Over 9.50
2.25
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.91
Over 10.50
1.80
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.40
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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