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John Doolan
Accrington Stanley
Grimsby Town
Accrington Stanley
3-4-1-2 · 4-1-4-1
Grimsby Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
42417 EUR · live
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
54.7%
-39.6 vs price
Away
29.0 · implied 3.4%
37.8%
+34.4 vs price
Home
44.0 · implied 2.3%
7.9%
+5.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
1866 EUR
Over
1.95 · implied 51.3%
78.3%
+27.0 vs price
Under
2.0 · implied 50.0%
21.7%
-28.3 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
J. Anderson0–1
38'
⚽
A. Cook · assist K. Green0–2
Half-time · 1–2
45'+7
⚽
J. Woods (pen)1–2
46'
🔁
A. Henderson ◂ S. Mols
46'
🔁
S. Auton ◂ C. Pym
57'
🔁
S. Whalley ◂ D. Tutonda
58'
🔁
C. Warren ◂ C. Caton
60'
⚽
T. Walton · assist D. Love2–2
65'
🔁
C. Doyle ◂ R. Reynolds
65'
🔁
C. Vernam ◂ I. Morgan
70'
S. Whalley · Foul
76'
C. McJannett · Foul
77'
🔁
J. Walker ◂ K. Green
77'
🔁
C. Stockton ◂ T. Walton
86'
🔁
C. Grant ◂ S. Whalley
89'
J. Woods · Foul
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
D. Matthews · Foul
90'+8
J. Anderson · Time wasting
Coaches
John DoolanDavid Artell 
Recent form
Accrington StanleyLAWalsall2-3
LAExeter City0-2
DHColchester United2-2
LACrewe Alexandra1-2
DHSheffield Wednesday0-0
Grimsby TownDHFleetwood Town2-2
DAWalsall0-0
WHExeter City1-0
LHBlackpool1-3
LHGrimsby Borough2-3
Match facts
Kickoff
01 Sep, 18:45 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Accrington Stanley
3-4-1-2 · 4-1-4-1
Grimsby Town
1
L. Moulden
7.5
17
D. Matthews
7.2
5
F. Rawson
6.2
22
J. Anderson
6.0
2
D. Love
7.0
10
A. Henderson
6.6
↑ 46'
6
L. Coyle
6.9
7
S. Whalley
6.1
↑ 57'
39
J. Woods
7.0
13
C. Stockton
6.3
↑ 77'
30
C. Warren
6.1
↑ 58'
41
S. Auton
6.4
↑ 46'
5
H. Rodgers
6.8
2
M. Kacurri
6.9
17
C. McJannett
7.2
3
J. Sweeney
7.1
15
G. D. Turi
6.5
10
S. Finch
6.1
7
J. Walker
6.4
↑ 77'
8
C. Doyle
6.7
↑ 65'
30
C. Vernam
6.7
↑ 65'
39
A. Cook
7.2
Substitutes
21GJ. Rogerson
33DD. Tutonda↓ 57'6.1
14MS. Mols↓ 46'6.7
8MC. Grant↑ 86'6.6
20MC. Brown
23FT. Walton↓ 77'7.2
18FC. Caton↓ 58'6.1
Coach: John Doolan
Substitutes
31GC. Pym↓ 46'6.8
12DJ. Foulkes
26DE. Pruti
4MK. Green↓ 77'6.8
11MR. Reynolds↓ 65'6.5
23MH. Brown
9FI. Morgan↓ 65'6.9
Coach: David Artell
Top stats
46%Possession54%
2.18Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.45
12Total shots19
5Shots on target7
4Big chances6
2Corners8
Shots
5Shots off target10
2Blocked shots2
12Shots inside box13
0Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed5
Attack
25Touches in box28
89Final third entries80
4Offsides1
9Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
327Passes387
185Accurate passes248
31/109 (28%)Long balls31/87 (36%)
9/19 (47%)Crosses6/29 (21%)
28Throw-ins30
Duels
42Duels58
30/70 (43%)Ground duels40/70 (57%)
40/96 (42%)Aerial duels56/96 (58%)
4/17 (24%)Dribbles11/18 (61%)
8Dispossessed9
Defending
16Tackles21
69Tackles won52
10Interceptions17
46Clearances42
38Recoveries43
Discipline
9Fouls10
4Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
6Saves3
14Goal kicks5
4Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsGrimsby to win (DNB) 60% · 1.50 @ Betano
1X2Grimsby to win 46% · 2.45 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.80 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.49 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.34 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.11 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
1X2Accrington to win 27% · 3.75 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.51
Accrington Stanley
3.50
Draw
2.00
Grimsby Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.76
Accrington Stanley or Draw
1.26
Accrington Stanley or Grimsby Town
1.25
Draw or Grimsby Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.73
Yes
2.00
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.40
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.45
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.88
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.55
Accrington Stanley
1.44
Grimsby Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.57
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.54
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50
2.05
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.10
Over 10.50
1.66
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.36
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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