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Steve Cotterill
Cheltenham Town
Grimsby Town
Cheltenham Town
4-1-4-1 · 4-1-4-1
Grimsby Town
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
16448 EUR · live
Away
14.0 · implied 7.1%
47.0%
+39.9 vs price
Home
1.48 · implied 67.6%
45.5%
-22.0 vs price
Draw
3.9 · implied 25.6%
7.4%
-18.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
13392 EUR · live
Over
1.2 · implied 83.3%
84.5%
+1.2 vs price
Under
5.7 · implied 17.5%
15.5%
-2.1 vs price
4 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
⚽
C. McCann · assist J. Evans1–0
28'
J. Tomkinson · Foul
41'
⚽
A. Weimann (pen)2–0
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
M. Shelton ◂ C. Doyle
46'
🔁
A. Cook ◂ C. Vernam
47'
⚽
M. Shelton · assist H. Rodgers2–1
64'
🔁
J. Bickerstaff ◂ A. Weimann
64'
🔁
F. Willcox ◂ J. Evans
69'
🔁
R. Reynolds ◂ I. Morgan
69'
🔁
F. Cartwright ◂ S. Finch
72'
🔁
G. Nurse ◂ J. Shipley
79'
K. Green · Argument
82'
⚽
K. Green · assist J. Sweeney2–2
86'
🔁
J. Wilson ◂ J. Tomlinson
86'
🔁
K. Otchere ◂ S. McWilliams
Full-time · 2–2
90'
S. Cotterill · Argument
Coaches
Steve CotterillDavid Artell 
Recent form
Cheltenham TownWHYork City3-2
DABarnet2-2
LASwindon Town1-2
WHRotherham United2-1
LHCharlton Athletic1-3
Grimsby TownDAAccrington Stanley2-2
DHFleetwood Town2-2
DAWalsall0-0
WHExeter City1-0
LHBlackpool1-3
Match facts
Kickoff
05 Sep, 14:00 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Cheltenham Town
4-1-4-1 · 4-1-4-1
Grimsby Town
23
W. Stanway
6.6
3
J. Tomkinson
6.0
5
R. Cundy
6.4
25
P. Sweeney
7.6
6
J. Wilson
6.7
↑ 86'
7
B. Stevenson
6.7
33
F. Willcox
6.3
↑ 64'
9
K. Otchere
6.4
↑ 86'
8
C. McCann
7.6
21
G. Nurse
6.3
↑ 72'
11
J. Bickerstaff
6.5
↑ 64'
42
D. Harrington
6.7
5
H. Rodgers
6.7
2
M. Kacurri
6.5
17
C. McJannett
6.8
3
J. Sweeney
6.4
15
G. D. Turi
7.1
11
R. Reynolds
6.4
↑ 69'
4
K. Green
6.8
29
M. Shelton
7.7
↑ 46'
39
A. Cook
6.4
↑ 46'
28
F. Cartwright
6.9
↑ 69'
Substitutes
1GJ. Day
35DM. Barber
17MS. McWilliams↓ 86'6.7
26MJ. Shipley↓ 72'6.4
4MJ. Tomlinson↓ 86'6.4
19FJ. Evans↓ 64'7.6
18FA. Weimann↓ 64'7.2
Coach: Steve Cotterill
Substitutes
41GS. Auton
12DJ. Foulkes
30MC. Vernam↓ 46'6.9
8MC. Doyle↓ 46'5.9
7MJ. Walker
9FI. Morgan↓ 69'6.6
10FS. Finch↓ 69'6.3
Coach: David Artell
Top stats
42%Possession58%
1.22Expected goals (xG)2.25
8Total shots12
4Shots on target5
2Big chances3
3Corners7
Shots
4Shots off target4
0Blocked shots3
4Shots inside box9
4Shots outside box3
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed3
Attack
16Touches in box27
49Final third entries76
1Offsides1
9Free kicks8
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
340Passes474
237Accurate passes367
16/65 (25%)Long balls44/86 (51%)
2/18 (11%)Crosses7/22 (32%)
32Throw-ins28
Duels
50Duels50
28/48 (58%)Ground duels20/48 (42%)
25/57 (44%)Aerial duels32/57 (56%)
5/9 (56%)Dribbles4/10 (40%)
4Dispossessed8
Defending
14Tackles8
29Tackles won50
7Interceptions10
28Clearances31
36Recoveries44
Discipline
8Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
11Goal kicks5
3Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 20 bookmakers
Who winsGrimsby to win (DNB) 58% · 1.55 @ Betsson
1X2Grimsby to win 47% · 2.38 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.42 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.70 @ 1xBet
1X2Cheltenham to win 27% · 3.66 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.50
Cheltenham Town
3.55
Draw
2.00
Grimsby Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.75
Cheltenham Town or Draw
1.25
Cheltenham Town or Grimsby Town
1.29
Draw or Grimsby Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.16
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.65
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.80
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50
2.02
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.92
Over 3.50
1.38
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.40
Cheltenham Town
1.53
Grimsby Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.79
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.70
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50
2.04
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.10
Over 10.50
1.67
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.65
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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