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Grimsby Town
Rochdale
Grimsby Town
Rochdale
I. Watson
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
Rochdale
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town
Rochdale
Grimsby Town
Rochdale
Rochdale
Rochdale
Ian Watson
Rochdale
Grimsby Town
Rochdale
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Grimsby Town
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Rochdale 2-2 Grimsby Town.
90+6'
Grimsby Town
Corner, Grimsby Town.
90+3'
Rochdale
Corner, Rochdale.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
87'
Attempt blocked. G. D. Turi (Grimsby Town), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.
86'
Cleared off the line! I. Morgan (Grimsby Town), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.84.
85'
Attempt blocked. G. D. Turi (Grimsby Town), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
85'
Attempt missed. G. D. Turi (Grimsby Town), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
82'
Grimsby Town
Corner, Grimsby Town.
76'
Rochdale
Corner, Rochdale.
68'
I. Watson
Yellow card for I. Watson (Rochdale) for argument.
65'
Attempt blocked. M. Kacurri (Grimsby Town), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
59'
Grimsby Town
Offside, Grimsby Town.
55'
Grimsby Town
Corner, Grimsby Town.
53'
Grimsby Town
Corner, Grimsby Town.
51'
Rochdale
Corner, Rochdale.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Rochdale 1-0 Grimsby Town.
45'
1 minute of added time.
43'
Grimsby Town
Corner, Grimsby Town.
35'
Grimsby Town
Corner, Grimsby Town.
35'
Grimsby Town
Corner, Grimsby Town.
33'
Grimsby Town
Corner, Grimsby Town.
32'
Grimsby Town
Corner, Grimsby Town.
21'
Rochdale
Corner, Rochdale.
19'
Grimsby Town
Corner, Grimsby Town.
15'
Rochdale
Corner, Rochdale.
11'
Rochdale
Corner, Rochdale.
4'
Rochdale
Corner, Rochdale.
1'
Kick-off: Rochdale vs Grimsby Town.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
2668 EUR
Away
2.28 · implied 43.9%
52.3%
+8.4 vs price
Home
3.4 · implied 29.4%
43.8%
+14.4 vs price
Draw
3.7 · implied 27.0%
4.3%
-22.7 vs price
1 more market on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
C. Vernam · Simulation
20'
B. Adeeko · Foul
38'
⚽
D. Brown · assist G. Middleton1–0
42'
M. Kacurri · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
K. Taylor ◂ T. Adebayo-Rowling
49'
E. Francis · Foul
50'
J. Walker · Foul
57'
⚽
K. Green1–1
65'
🔁
S. Beckwith ◂ B. Adeeko
67'
C. Hayes · Foul
68'
I. Watson · Argument
72'
⚽
J. Walker1–2
75'
🔁
L. Hanannt ◂ C. Hayes
76'
🔁
C. Doyle ◂ J. Walker
76'
🔁
S. Finch ◂ J. Amaluzor
81'
🔁
I. Henderson ◂ K. Taylor
88'
⚽
I. Henderson2–2
89'
🔁
F. Cartwright ◂ I. Morgan
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
Ian WatsonDavid Artell 
Recent form
RochdaleLACrewe Alexandra2-3
DATranmere Rovers1-1
WHSwindon Town1-0
WAFleetwood Town2-1
WHOldham Athletic2-0
Grimsby TownLHNorthampton Town0-2
LAPort Vale0-1
LHShrewsbury Town1-2
LANewport County1-2
WHCrawley Town2-0
About this match
**Rochdale are cruising in League Two — Grimsby? Not so much.** This is basically a clash between form and a team desperately hunting a spark. 📊
Rochdale have won three of their last five and look solid defensively. Grimsby are stuck in neutral with just one win in their last five, and they've shipped goals for fun lately — two blanks in their last three games.
Key storylines:
- **Rochdale's attacking depth** with Brown, Taylor, and Smith could pick apart a creaky Grimsby backline
- **Grimsby need a reset** after back-to-back losses at home; McJannett and the back four are under real pressure
- **Head-to-head edge firmly favors Rochdale**, who've won four of the last seven meetings
Expected lineups:
- **Rochdale**: N. Ramming, K. Wilson, E. Ebanks-Landell, L. Maguire, D. Brown, B. Adeeko, H. Gilmour, K. Taylor, J. Smith, E. Dieseruvwe
- **Grimsby Town**: C. Pym, J. Sweeney, H. Rodgers, C. McJannett, M. Kacurri, K. Green, G. D. Turi, C. Vernam, M. Shelton, J. Amaluzor, A. Cook
Prediction:
**Rochdale 2–0 Grimsby Town** — Rochdale have the form, the fitness, and the history in this matchup. Grimsby's leaky defense gets picked apart. 🎯
Where to watch
Sky Sports+
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Match facts
Kickoff
20 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Competition
League Two
Highlights & clips
Rochdale
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Grimsby Town
20
S. Waller
6.7
21
K. Taylor
6.2
↑ 46'
44
A. Flint
7.2
3
K. Wilson
6.4
2
C. Tasker
6.5
33
S. Beckwith
6.1
↑ 65'
8
H. Gilmour
6.9
19
L. Hanannt
6.5
↑ 75'
14
E. Francis
6.3
45
G. Middleton
6.6
39
D. Brown
7.2
31
C. Pym
6.2
5
H. Rodgers
6.8
2
M. Kacurri
6.8
12
J. Foulkes
7.0
8
C. Doyle
6.7
↑ 76'
15
G. D. Turi
6.7
10
S. Finch
6.4
↑ 76'
30
C. Vernam
6.5
4
K. Green
7.9
28
F. Cartwright
6.5
↑ 89'
39
A. Cook
7.5
Substitutes
12GJ. Spaven
26DS. Sherring
13MT. Adebayo-Rowling↓ 46'7.0
17MB. Adeeko↓ 65'6.8
7MC. Hayes↓ 75'5.8
40FI. Henderson↑ 81'7.6
11FZ. Silcott-Duberry
Coach: Ian Watson
Substitutes
1GH. Cartwright
50DN. Golding
7MJ. Walker↓ 76'8.1
14MJ. Amaluzor↓ 76'7.0
11MR. Reynolds
23MH. Brown
9FI. Morgan↓ 89'6.4
Coach: David Artell
Top stats
53%Possession47%
1.88Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.64
16Total shots24
6Shots on target7
3Big chances5
7Corners10
Shots
6Shots off target9
4Blocked shots8
12Shots inside box12
4Shots outside box12
2Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed4
Attack
18Touches in box35
43Final third entries88
0Offsides1
8Free kicks13
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
383Passes329
256Accurate passes209
10/59 (17%)Long balls34/98 (35%)
8/17 (47%)Crosses7/24 (29%)
15Throw-ins16
Duels
43Duels57
21/53 (40%)Ground duels32/53 (60%)
25/55 (45%)Aerial duels30/55 (55%)
4/8 (50%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
7Dispossessed4
Defending
10Tackles11
60Tackles won64
3Interceptions14
38Clearances16
55Recoveries54
Discipline
13Fouls8
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
1Big saves0
13Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Grimsby to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365
Who winsRochdale to win (DNB) 67% · 2.40 @ Betsson
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.35 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 3.94 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.93 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.47 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.69 @ 1xBet
1X2Rochdale to win 30% · 3.42 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.20
Rochdale
3.54
Draw
2.08
Grimsby Town
Double Chanceconsensus
1.67
Rochdale or Draw
1.25
Rochdale or Grimsby Town
1.30
Draw or Grimsby Town
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes
2.30
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.32
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.67
Over 2.50
2.12
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.66
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.35
Rochdale
1.54
Grimsby Town
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.08
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50
2.78
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.67
Over 9.50
2.08
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.05
Over 10.50
1.69
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.54
Over 11.50
1.44
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.60
Rochdale
2.30
Draw
2.62
Grimsby Town
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.20
Rochdale
2.56
Draw
2.50
Grimsby Town
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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