Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
7'
J. Fory
14'
M. Evans
30'
🔁
C. Carter ◂ T. Hasal
32'
⚽
K. Velde · assist C. Bassett1–0
45'
⚽
1–0
45'
⚽
46'
🔁
T. Tillman ◂ M. Choinière
49'
⚽
J. Terry · assist M. Evans1–1
56'
🔁
M. Delgado ◂ M. Evans
56'
🔁
R. Porteous ◂ K. Nielsen
58'
A. Smoliakov
63'
🔁
I. Smith ◂ J. Fory
68'
🔁
J. Shaffelburg ◂ D. Bouanga
71'
🔁
A. Aravena ◂ A. Alves
76'
🔁
R. Raposo ◂ A. Smoliakov
82'
K. Velde
88'
⚽
R. Porteous
89'
🔁
A. Lassiter ◂ C. Bassett
89'
🔁
K. Kelsy ◂ F. Mora
90'
⚽
2–1
90'
⚽
90'+6
🔁
D. Chará ◂ K. Velde
90'+6
⚽
K. Kelsy · assist B. Bye2–1
-5'
Unknown
Coaches
Phil NevilleMarc Dos Santos 
Recent form
Portland TimbersLVancouver Whitecaps3-2Portland Timbers
DPortland Timbers1-1LA Galaxy
LHouston Dynamo3-2Portland Timbers
LPortland Timbers1-4Vancouver Whitecaps
LColorado Rapids2-0Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FCWLos Angeles FC6-0Orlando City SC
DAustin FC0-0Los Angeles FC
WLos Angeles FC2-0St.Louis City
WLos Angeles FC1-0FC Dallas
WHouston Dynamo0-2Los Angeles FC
Match facts
Stadium
Providence Park
City
Portland
Referee
Armando Villarrea
Kickoff
11 Apr, 20:45 UTC
Competition
MLS
Portland Timbers
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Los Angeles FC
41
J. Pantemis
7.2
5
B. Bye
7.2
20
F. Surman
7.5
6
A. Bonetig
6.8
27
J. Fory
6.3
17
C. Bassett
7.5
30
J. Caicedo
7.8
99
K. Velde
7.8
10
D. P. d. Costa
11
A. Alves
6.2
9
F. Mora
6.8
12
T. Hasal
6.5
24
R. Hollingshead
6.5
45
K. Nielsen
6.9
91
N. Tafari
6.5
29
A. Smoliakov
6.4
70
M. Evans
6.3
66
M. Choinière
6.7
22
J. Terry
7.7
19
T. Boyd
6.7
27
N. Ordaz
6.3
99
D. Bouanga
6.3
Substitutes
80J. Ortíz19K. Kelsy7.328A. Aravena6.715E. Miller23I. Smith6.84K. Miller21D. Chara25T. Muse7A. Lassiter6.6
Coach: Phil Neville
Substitutes
5R. Porteous6.54E. Segura31C. Carter7.730D. M. Morales17J. Ebobisse21R. Raposo6.411T. Tillman6.68M. Delgado7.118J. Shaffelburg6.4
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
58%Possession42%
1.52Expected goals (xG)1.03
10Total shots18
8Shots on target4
4Big chances1
1Corners7
9Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
Model prediction BSD ML
Both Teams to ScoreBTTS Yes 53%
Total Goals 1.5Over 1.5 goals 89% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%
Total Goals 3.5Over 3.5 goals 36%