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Bruce Arena
San Jose Earthquakes
LA Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
LA Galaxy
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'
⚽
J. Paintsil · assist M. Reus0–1
20'
🔁
I. Harkes ◂ J. Gonzalez
43'
L. Sanabria · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
45'+3
J. Aude · Foul
60'
🔁
J. Nelson ◂ J. Aude
60'
🔁
E. Wynder ◂ R. Taylor
62'
⚽
R. Roberts1–1
73'
🔁
P. Marie ◂ N. Fernandez
73'
🔁
D. Johnson ◂ J. Skahan
79'
B. Leroux · Foul
81'
I. Harkes · Foul
82'
🔁
I. Parente ◂ L. Sanabria
Full-time · 1–1
90'
J. Ricketts · Foul
90'+7
J. Paintsil · Argument
90'+7
B. Kikanović · Argument
Coaches
Greg Vanney 
Recent form
LHOrlando City SC0-4
LHClub Tijuana1-2
WAPortland Timbers3-1
LHFC Dallas2-3
LASeattle Sounders FC2-3
LHSt.Louis City1-3
LHLos Angeles FC0-3
WHClub América1-0
DHHouston Dynamo1-1
WASeattle Sounders FC2-0
Where to watch
Betano
Apple TV (DE)
Match facts
Stadium
Stanford Stadium
City
Stanford
Referee
Armando Villarrea
Kickoff
26 Jul, 02:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Highlights & clips
1
A. Gunn
7.2
28
B. Kikanović
6.2
5
D. Munie
6.5
18
R. Roberts
8.3
2
J. Ricketts
6.9
6
I. Harkes
7.0
↑ 20'
34
B. Leroux
7.2
79
D. Johnson
6.7
↑ 73'
3
P. Marie
6.8
↑ 73'
11
T. Werner
7.0
7
O. Bouda
7.5
12
J. Marcinkowski
7.9
2
M. Yamane
6.3
4
M. Yoshida
6.1
15
J. Haak
7.2
14
J. Nelson
6.3
↑ 60'
26
H. Miller
6.6
6
E. Cerrillo
7.4
16
I. Parente
6.5
↑ 82'
22
E. Wynder
6.2
↑ 60'
28
J. Paintsil
8.2
18
M. Reus
7.5
Substitutes
31GF. Montali
4DD. Romney
25DM. Floriani
17DJ. Jasinski
20MN. Fernandez↓ 73'6.9
40MJ. Gonzalez↓ 20'6.6
16MJ. Skahan↓ 73'6.0
21MN. Buck
87MV. Costa
Coach: Bruce Arena
Substitutes
1GN. Mićović
3DJ. Aude↓ 60'6.5
20DC. Rindov
60DS. Hernandez
8ML. Sanabria↓ 82'7.0
76MT. Elgersma
21FR. Taylor↓ 60'6.8
Coach: Greg Vanney
Top stats
58%Possession42%
3.27Expected goals (xG)1.28
20Total shots9
5Shots on target2
4Big chances3
6Corners6
Shots
12Shots off target3
3Blocked shots4
17Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed2
0.52Goals prevented1.49
Attack
42Touches in box19
72Final third entries45
0Offsides1
15Free kicks14
8Fouled in final third2
Passing
453Passes336
376Accurate passes252
20/44 (45%)Long balls12/44 (27%)
6/41 (15%)Crosses2/11 (18%)
25Throw-ins23
Duels
49Duels51
36/71 (51%)Ground duels35/71 (49%)
12/27 (44%)Aerial duels15/27 (56%)
7/12 (58%)Dribbles11/19 (58%)
8Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles13
77Tackles won62
8Interceptions17
24Clearances37
58Recoveries49
Discipline
14Fouls16
4Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
1Big saves0
3Goal kicks15
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 44 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 66% · 1.50 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 66% · 1.43 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.36 @ Betsson
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.15 @ Unibet
Who winsSan Jose to win (DNB) 63% · 1.57 @ 10bet
1X2San Jose to win 48% · 2.10 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 24% · 3.96 @ Pinnacle
1X2LA Galaxy to win 28% · 3.30 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 55% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.97
San Jose Earthquakes ▼
3.79
Draw ▼
3.16
LA Galaxy ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.32
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw ▼
1.21
San Jose Earthquakes or LA Galaxy ▼
1.75
Draw or LA Galaxy ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.40
Yes ▼
2.78
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
16.64
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.12
Over 1.50 ▼
5.90
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.43
Over 2.50 ▼
2.75
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.05
Over 3.50 ▼
1.74
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.35
Over 4.50 ▼
1.31
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.54
San Jose Earthquakes ▲
2.23
LA Galaxy ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.25
Under 4.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
10.25
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50 ▲
6.70
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50 ▲
4.28
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.34
Over 8.50 ▼
2.95
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.59
Over 9.50 ▲
2.21
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.96
Over 10.50 ▲
1.75
Under 10.50 ▼
2.4 – 1.4Expected goals
2-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 66% | 66% | 1.42 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 66% | 66% | 1.41 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 58% | 58% | 1.58 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 69% | 69% | 1.33 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 84% | 84% | 1.12 | Fair | high |
| San Jose to win (DNB)Who wins | 63% | 63% | 1.49 | Overpriced | medium |
| San Jose to win1X2 | 48% | 48% | 1.96 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 24% | 24% | 3.88 | Overpriced | low |
| LA Galaxy to win1X2 | 28% | 28% | 3.34 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 53% | 53% | 1.76 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 55% | 54% | 1.72 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: San Jose to win (DNB) — we say 78%, they say 63%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 79% | +5% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 60% | +6% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 37% | +8% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 60% | +6% | Yes |
| Home win | 48% | 46% | +2% | Yes |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 0% | No |
| Away win | 28% | 30% | -2% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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