Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United — preview

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MLS ·Sat 01 Aug

Philadelphia Union

23:30UTC

Upcoming

Atlanta United

Subaru Park, Chester · Ref: Allen Chapman

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers

Philadelphia 56%

23%

Atlanta 21%

Who winsPhiladelphia to win (DNB) 72% · 1.30 @ 888Sport

1X2Philadelphia to win 56% · 1.70 @ Betano

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 1.64 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.62 @ Betano

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.87 @ Novibet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.20 @ Betano

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Interwetten

1X2Draw 23% · 4.15 @ Betsson

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.55 @ Interwetten

1X2Atlanta to win 21% · 4.75 @ Betano

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.56 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.68

Philadelphia Union ▼

3.98

Draw ▲

4.47

Atlanta United ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.20

Philadelphia Union or Draw

1.23

Philadelphia Union or Atlanta United

2.15

Draw or Atlanta United ▲

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.58

Yes ▼

2.24

No ▲

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50 ▼

14.08

Under 0.50 ▲

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.18

Over 1.50 ▼

4.60

Under 1.50 ▲

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.60

Over 2.50 ▼

2.30

Under 2.50 ▲

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.44

Over 3.50 ▼

1.53

Under 3.50 ▲

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.30

Over 4.50 ▼

1.21

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.29

Philadelphia Union ▼

3.34

Atlanta United ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus

1.01

Over 4.50

12.25

Under 4.50

Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus

1.05

Over 5.50

8.00

Under 5.50

Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus

1.12

Over 6.50 ▲

5.20

Under 6.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.31

Under 7.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.49

Over 8.50

2.38

Under 8.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.83

Over 9.50

1.85

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.32

Over 10.50 ▲

1.52

Under 10.50 ▼

Full odds via API →

2.0 – 1.0Expected goals

2-1Most likely score

~10Expected corners

No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.

Every market recommended rows highlighted

Our call	How likely	Bookmakers say	Their odds	Price check	Confidence
Philadelphia to win (DNB)Who wins	72%	72%	1.29	Overpriced	high
Philadelphia to win1X2	56%	56%	1.68	Overpriced	low
Over 2.5 goalsGoals	59%	59%	1.58	Overpriced	low
Both teams to scoreBTTS	59%	59%	1.58	Overpriced	low
Over 9.5 cornersCorners	50%	50%	1.83	Overpriced	low
Over 1.5 goalsGoals	80%	80%	1.17	Overpriced	high
Over 8.5 cornersCorners	62%	62%	1.49	Overpriced	medium
Draw1X2	23%	23%	3.98	Overpriced	low
Under 10.5 cornersCorners	60%	60%	1.52	Overpriced	medium
Atlanta to win1X2	21%	21%	4.47	Overpriced	low
Under 3.5 goalsGoals	62%	61%	1.52	Overpriced	medium

Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Philadelphia to win (DNB) — we say 82%, they say 72%.

Probability vs league average

Market	This match	League avg	Diff	More likely?
Over 1.5 goals	80%	79%	+1%	Yes
Over 2.5 goals	59%	60%	-1%	No
Over 3.5 goals	38%	37%	+1%	Yes
Both teams to score	59%	60%	-1%	No
Home win	56%	46%	+10%	Yes
Draw	23%	24%	-1%	No
Away win	21%	30%	-9%	No

How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.

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