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Michael Bradley
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Philadelphia Union
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
15247 EUR · live
Away
2.38 · implied 42.0%
62.9%
+20.9 vs price
Home
3.1 · implied 32.3%
19.2%
-13.0 vs price
Draw
3.75 · implied 26.7%
18.2%
-8.5 vs price
Half time
114 EUR
Away
2.74 · implied 36.5%
99.6%
+63.1 vs price
Home
0.0%
Draw
2.78 · implied 36.0%
0.0%
-36.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
3588 EUR · live
Under
2.24 · implied 44.6%
53.0%
+8.3 vs price
Over
1.82 · implied 54.9%
49.4%
-5.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
361 EUR
Under
1.24 · implied 80.6%
82.9%
+2.2 vs price
Over
4.9 · implied 20.4%
16.6%
-3.8 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
20'
⚽
M. Iloski · assist I. Vassilev0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
E. M. Choupo-Moting ◂ J. Ruvalcaba
50'
⚽
C. Sullivan · assist D. Jean Jacques0–2
64'
⚽
N. Pierre · assist B. Damiani0–3
64'
🔁
Q. Sullivan ◂ I. Vassilev
67'
🔁
M. Sofo ◂ E. Forsberg
67'
🔁
C. Harper ◂ C. Cowell
67'
🔁
J. Marshall-Rutty ◂ M. D. Santos
74'
⚽
E. M. Choupo-Moting · assist M. Sofo1–3
79'
R. Donkor · Foul
80'
🔁
J. Bueno ◂ C. Sullivan
80'
🔁
A. Anello ◂ B. Damiani
84'
🔁
E. Alladoh ◂ D. Jean Jacques
Full-time · 1–3
90'+1
A. Anello · Time wasting
90'+2
Q. Sullivan · Foul
Coaches
Ryan Richter 
Recent form
DHChicago Fire1-1
LHNashville SC0-1
LAAtlanta United1-2
WHOrlando City SC3-2
LHCharlotte FC0-2
DAAustin FC1-1
DHInter Miami CF2-2
WANew York City FC3-2
WHAtlanta United3-2
WHSeattle Sounders FC1-0
Where to watch
Apple TV (DE)
Match facts
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
City
Harrison
Kickoff
29 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Highlights & clips
34
E. Horvath
6.2
12
D. Nealis
7.2
2
J. Che
7.7
14
J. Bazán
7.0
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
6.8
↑ 67'
48
R. Donkor
6.8
15
A. Mehmeti
6.8
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
7.4
↑ 46'
17
C. Harper
6.3
↑ 67'
37
M. Sofo
6.9
↑ 67'
16
J. Hall
6.3
18
A. Blake
6.8
39
F. Westfield
6.8
44
N. Pierre
7.4
26
N. Harriel
7.5
27
K. Wagner
6.5
8
J. Bueno
6.5
↑ 80'
23
E. Alladoh
6.4
↑ 84'
4
J. Lukić
7.1
33
Q. Sullivan
6.6
↑ 64'
10
M. Iloski
7.2
28
A. Anello
6.3
↑ 80'
Substitutes
77GJ. McCarthy
56DM. D. Santos↓ 67'5.9
5DO. Valencia
26DT. Parker
10ME. Forsberg↓ 67'6.5
11MJ. Ruvalcaba↓ 46'6.2
7FC. Cowell↓ 67'6.6
92FD. Nelich
91FM. Jiménez
Coach: Michael Bradley
Substitutes
76GA. Rick
2DG. Martínez
5DJ. Sery Larsen
6MC. Sullivan↓ 80'8.2
21MD. Jean Jacques↓ 84'7.3
19MI. Vassilev↓ 64'7.1
16MB. Bender
14MJ. Rafanello
9FB. Damiani↓ 80'6.9
Coach: Ryan Richter
Top stats
60%Possession40%
2.05Expected goals (xG)2.53
11Total shots18
4Shots on target7
3Big chances3
4Corners7
Shots
4Shots off target5
3Blocked shots6
10Shots inside box13
1Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed2
-0.38Goals prevented0.17
Attack
23Touches in box35
67Final third entries65
3Offsides4
13Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
464Passes308
385Accurate passes214
27/51 (53%)Long balls30/65 (46%)
0/10 (0%)Crosses3/16 (19%)
25Throw-ins17
Duels
46Duels54
38/82 (46%)Ground duels44/82 (54%)
15/32 (47%)Aerial duels17/32 (53%)
12/18 (67%)Dribbles11/17 (65%)
15Dispossessed8
Defending
14Tackles21
57Tackles won67
12Interceptions18
22Clearances16
55Recoveries52
Discipline
12Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
5Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 2.75 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 68% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Philadelphia to win 44% · 2.40 @ William Hill
Who winsPhiladelphia to win (DNB) 53% · 1.61 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.57 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.50 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 24% · 3.05 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.05 @ 10bet
1X2NY Red Bulls to win 33% · 3.10 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.90
New York Red Bulls
3.90
Draw
2.12
Philadelphia Union
Double Chanceconsensus
1.67
New York Red Bulls or Draw
1.21
New York Red Bulls or Philadelphia Union
1.37
Draw or Philadelphia Union
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.37
Yes
2.85
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.50
YES
1.11
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50
6.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.39
Over 2.50
2.98
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.98
Over 3.50
1.83
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.19
Over 4.50
1.33
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.25
New York Red Bulls
1.57
Philadelphia Union
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.50
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.50
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.25
Over 10.50
1.57
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
86% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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