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Davy Arnaud
Austin FC
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin FC
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1
San Jose Earthquakes
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
58146 EUR · live
Away
190.0 · implied 0.5%
49.3%
+48.8 vs price
Home
250.0 · implied 0.4%
32.8%
+32.4 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
18.0%
-81.0 vs price
Half time
948 EUR · live
Away
1.26 · implied 79.4%
47.7%
-31.7 vs price
Home
55.0 · implied 1.8%
30.3%
+28.5 vs price
Draw
5.6 · implied 17.9%
21.8%
+4.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
36271 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
69.8%
-28.2 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
30.2%
+28.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8041 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
91.5%
-4.6 vs price
Over
27.0 · implied 3.7%
8.4%
+4.7 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
B. Leroux · assist N. Tsakiris0–1
12'
VAR
Goal not given after review · B. Sabović
Half-time · 0–1
61'
🔁
J. Bell ◂ O. Svatok
61'
🔁
Ž. Kolmanič ◂ J. Gallagher
65'
R. Roberts · Foul
69'
🔁
P. Judd ◂ O. Bouda
70'
🔁
P. Płacheta ◂ J. Rosales
70'
🔁
C. Ramirez ◂ J. Alastuey
75'
🔁
B. Hines-Ike ◂ M. Desler
81'
🔁
I. Harkes ◂ N. Tsakiris
81'
🔁
V. Costa ◂ J. Ricketts
81'
🔁
J. Jasinski ◂ B. Kikanović
87'
B. Stuver · Argument
88'
🔁
N. Fernandez ◂ E. Löwen
Full-time · 1–1
90'+6
⚽
Guilherme Biro · assist C. Ramirez1–1
Coaches
Bruce Arena 
Recent form
WAPortland Timbers2-1
DHPhiladelphia Union1-1
WASeattle Sounders FC2-1
LHFC Dallas1-2
LAColorado Rapids0-1
DAHouston Dynamo0-0
LHMinnesota United1-5
LALA Galaxy0-1
LHSt.Louis City1-3
LAFC Cincinnati2-4
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Q2 Stadium
City
Austin
Kickoff
06 Sep, 00:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Highlights & clips
1
B. Stuver
6.7
4
B. Hines-Ike
7.4
↑ 75'
15
J. Bell
6.9
↑ 61'
29
Guilherme Biro
8.6
77
P. Płacheta
6.5
↑ 70'
38
E. Torres
6.8
14
B. Sabović
7.1
23
Ž. Kolmanič
7.0
↑ 61'
11
F. Torres
7.6
9
B. Vázquez
6.6
21
C. Ramirez
7.0
↑ 70'
1
A. Gunn
6.8
25
M. Floriani
6.6
5
D. Munie
7.2
18
R. Roberts
6.4
17
J. Jasinski
6.6
↑ 81'
14
R. Vieira
6.7
34
B. Leroux
8.4
6
I. Harkes
6.5
↑ 81'
87
V. Costa
6.4
↑ 81'
20
N. Fernandez
6.5
↑ 88'
19
P. Judd
6.2
↑ 69'
Substitutes
12GD. Las
3DM. Desler↓ 75'7.1
5DO. Svatok↓ 61'6.9
17DJ. Gallagher↓ 61'6.7
35DM. Đorđević
24MJ. Alastuey↓ 70'7.0
30MJ. Rosales↓ 70'6.4
6MI. Sánchez
32FM. Burton
Coach: Davy Arnaud
Top stats
53%Possession47%
1.23Expected goals (xG)1.03
16Total shots10
3Shots on target3
2Big chances2
7Corners7
Shots
7Shots off target1
6Blocked shots6
14Shots inside box10
2Shots outside box0
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed2
-0.06Goals prevented0.09
Attack
28Touches in box24
74Final third entries47
3Offsides0
12Free kicks10
Passing
472Passes426
418Accurate passes359
32/57 (56%)Long balls16/47 (34%)
11/27 (41%)Crosses5/14 (36%)
23Throw-ins20
Duels
51Duels49
23/50 (46%)Ground duels27/50 (54%)
12/19 (63%)Aerial duels7/19 (37%)
2/15 (13%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
3Dispossessed5
Defending
11Tackles16
82Tackles won69
10Interceptions8
19Clearances24
43Recoveries41
Discipline
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
2Goal kicks10
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.35 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.62 @ Bet365
Who winsSan Jose to win (DNB) 51% · 2.20 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.70 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.43 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.77 @ 10bet
1X2San Jose to win 33% · 3.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 25% · 2.90 @ Unibet
1X2Austin to win 42% · 2.55 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.22
Austin FC
3.70
Draw
2.86
San Jose Earthquakes
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Austin FC or Draw
1.23
Austin FC or San Jose Earthquakes
1.60
Draw or San Jose Earthquakes
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.45
Yes
2.59
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.95
YES
1.20
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.50
YES
1.17
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.78
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.88
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
17.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.52
Over 2.50
2.46
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.30
Over 3.50
1.60
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.20
Over 4.50
1.22
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.66
Austin FC
2.15
San Jose Earthquakes
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.98
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.77
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50
2.22
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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