Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**DC United host Atlanta in a scruffy mid-table battle** where neither side is exactly lighting the MLS on fire right now. 🔥 This is a "who wants it less" kind of vibe, and that's actually the spice of it.
DC are streaky at home (beat Columbus but drew LA and lost to Charlotte), while Atlanta just got spanked by Charlotte and are bleeding consistency. Both sides have injury headaches — DC missing **Segal** and **Rowles**, Atlanta without **Fortune** and **Brennan** — so this could get a little scraggly.
Key storylines:
- **Peglow** and **Dozzell** need to run the midfield show for DC; Atlanta's **Almirón** and **Sanchez** have to match their intensity or this gets away quick
- **Baribo** and **Munteanu** up top for DC against a shaky **Almirón**-led Atlanta back four
- Atlanta's **Miranchuk** and **Embolo** could punish DC on the break if the hosts don't keep shape — that's the X-factor
Expected lineups:
- **DC United**: S. Johnson, K. Kurokawa, S. Hefti, L. Bartlett, K. Nono, Peglow, A. Dozzell, B. Servania, M. Peltola, L. Munteanu, T. Baribo
- **Atlanta United**: L. Hoyos, J. Alonso, T. Jacob, E. Báez, M. Edwards, M. Almirón, T. Muyumba, C. Sanchez, A. Miranchuk, F. Picault, B. Embolo
Prediction:
**DC United 1-1 Atlanta United**. Slight edge to the home side's comfort, but Atlanta's counterattack keeps it level. 🤝
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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